Malaga
v
Villarreal

La Liga · Thu 17 Sep · 21:30 · Referee: Miguel Chua

Head-to-head — last 5 at Malaga (home)

L 2026-09-17 Malaga 1–3 Villarreal
W 2018-04-01 Malaga 1–0 Villarreal
L 2016-09-10 Malaga 0–2 Villarreal
L 2015-09-23 Malaga 0–1 Villarreal
D 2015-01-10 Malaga 1–1 Villarreal
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Villarreal (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HSantander
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABetis
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
AAlaves
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSociedad
L
2–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-09
HEspanol
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AGetafe
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-17
HVillarreal
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACelta
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACelta
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HLevante
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AReal Madrid
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AReal Madrid
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
HLa Coruna
D
1–1
7–4
1–4
0–0
2026-08-24
HLa Coruna
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-19
AAth Madrid
L
0–2
1–6
3–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HGetafe
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-30
HEspanol
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AValencia
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HElche
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AReal Madrid
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLevante
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-17
AMalaga
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HBetis
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HBetis
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HLa Coruna
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
AAlaves
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
AAlaves
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AAth Madrid
D
2–2
3–5
2–3
0–1
2026-08-23
AAth Madrid
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-16
ASantander
D
2–2
10–6
4–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-17
HVillarreal
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2018-04-01
HVillarreal
W
1–0
3–6
2–3
0–0
2017-11-05
AVillarreal
L
0–2
4–6
4–2
0–0
2017-02-12
AVillarreal
D
1–1
9–9
5–0
0–1
2016-09-10
HVillarreal
L
0–2
9–7
2–1
0–0
2016-02-13
AVillarreal
L
0–1
1–5
1–2
0–0
2015-09-23
HVillarreal
L
0–1
8–5
2–3
0–0
2015-05-17
AVillarreal
L
1–2
9–3
1–3
0–0
2015-01-10
HVillarreal
D
1–1
5–3
4–4
0–0
2014-04-21
HVillarreal
W
2–0
6–5
3–3
1–0
2013-11-29
AVillarreal
D
1–1
8–9
4–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Malaga
Villarreal
Possession %
—
45
xG
—
0.56
Shots
—
4.0
On target
—
1.1
Off target
—
1.9
Corners (est.)
2.3
3.0
Yellow cards (est.)
0.8
0.0
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Malaga
Villarreal
Possession %
—
48
xG
—
0.74
Shots
—
6.1
On target
—
1.9
Off target
—
1.8
Corners (est.)
2.5
6.0
Yellow cards (est.)
1.6
1.0
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Malaga
18%
X · Draw
25%
2 · Villarreal
57%
Malaga at home
Expected goals: 0.67
Conceded goals: 1.3
Villarreal away
Expected goals: 1.29
Conceded goals: 1.56
Projected for this match: Malaga 1.02 — 1.77 Villarreal
Expected goals: Malaga 1.02 — 1.77 Villarreal

Likely scores

1-111.4%
0-110.6%
1-29.8%

Goals markets

Over 1.577%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS53.3%

Corners (90 min)

Malaga4.8
Villarreal5.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Malaga2.4
Villarreal1.8
1H total1.3
2H total2.8

Second half

Malaga
17%
Level
41%
Villarreal
42%
Expected 2H goals Malaga 0.42 — 0.81 Villarreal

2H corners split

Expected total5.2
Malaga2.5
Villarreal2.8

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.8
Malaga1.6
Villarreal1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Malaga
22%
1H · Draw
34%
1H · Villarreal
44%
Expected 1H goals Malaga 0.66 — 1.06 Villarreal · Over 0.5: Over (82%) · Over 1.5: Over (51%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.8
Malaga2.3
Villarreal2.6
O/U 4.5Over · 52%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.3
Malaga0.8
Villarreal0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 63%
2H expected total2.8
Malaga 2H1.6
Villarreal 2H1.2

Dani Parejo (0.79 xG) is Villarreal's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Malaga · 5 listed

Carlos Pugadoubt
1 · Other
Rafitadoubt
1 · Hamstring
Diego Murilloinjury
1 · Other
Julen Lobeteinjury
1 · Knee
Aaron Ochoadoubt
1 · Other

Villarreal · 4 listed

Alassane Diattadoubt
1 · Hamstring
Juan Foythdoubt
1 · Other
Gerard Morenodoubt
1 · Other
Ilias Akhomachdoubt
1 · Other

Match analysis

Malaga vs Villarreal (La Liga). Model call: Villarreal to win match full time (18% / 25% / 57%).

Villarreal holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Malaga 1.02 — 1.77 Villarreal. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Villarreal. Malaga home form -0.63; Villarreal away form -0.27.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Julen Lobete, Malaga's full-time attack is trimmed.