Alavesv
Villarreal

La Liga · Fri 28 Aug · 21:30 · Referee not yet confirmed
Head-to-head — last 5 at Alaves (home)
W
2026-08-28
Alaves 1–0 Villarreal
D
2026-03-13
Alaves 1–1 Villarreal
W
2025-03-08
Alaves 1–0 Villarreal
D
2024-02-10
Alaves 1–1 Villarreal
W
2022-04-30
Alaves 2–1 Villarreal
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Villarreal (5 meetings on file)
Last Matches
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
ASantander
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-20
AVallecano
D
1–1
7–9
2–1
0–0
2026-08-15
HGetafe
W
3–0
5–3
4–3
0–1
2026-05-23
HVallecano
L
1–2
10–5
3–3
0–0
2026-05-17
AOviedo
W
1–0
2–5
1–3
0–0
2026-05-13
HBarcelona
W
1–0
6–4
1–2
0–0
2026-05-09
AElche
D
1–1
3–7
6–3
0–0
2026-05-02
HAth Bilbao
L
2–4
4–7
4–4
0–0
2026-04-25
HMallorca
W
2–1
9–4
2–1
0–0
2026-04-21
AReal Madrid
L
1–2
6–9
1–1
0–0
2026-04-11
ASociedad
D
3–3
5–9
4–2
0–1
2026-04-05
HOsasuna
D
2–2
7–1
2–5
0–0
2026-03-22
ACelta
W
4–3
1–4
2–2
0–0
2026-03-13
HVillarreal
D
1–1
5–2
4–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
HBetis
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
AAlaves
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AAth Madrid
D
2–2
3–5
2–3
0–1
2026-08-16
ASantander
D
2–2
10–6
4–2
0–0
2026-05-24
HAth Madrid
W
5–1
5–9
0–1
0–0
2026-05-17
AVallecano
L
0–2
9–1
1–2
0–0
2026-05-13
HSevilla
L
2–3
6–4
2–1
0–0
2026-05-10
AMallorca
D
1–1
4–5
0–2
0–0
2026-05-02
HLevante
W
5–1
7–3
3–1
0–0
2026-04-26
HCelta
W
2–1
7–5
3–6
0–0
2026-04-23
AOviedo
D
1–1
0–7
1–1
0–0
2026-04-12
AAth Bilbao
W
2–1
3–15
3–2
0–0
2026-04-06
AGirona
L
0–1
4–7
2–2
0–0
2026-03-20
HSociedad
W
3–1
4–5
0–2
0–0
2026-03-13
AAlaves
D
1–1
2–5
1–4
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-28
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-13
HVillarreal
D
1–1
5–2
4–1
0–0
2026-01-10
AVillarreal
L
1–3
6–1
2–0
0–0
2025-03-08
HVillarreal
W
1–0
1–6
3–1
2–0
2024-11-09
AVillarreal
L
0–3
2–7
3–1
0–0
2024-02-10
HVillarreal
D
1–1
10–9
0–2
0–0
2023-10-22
AVillarreal
D
1–1
3–9
3–4
0–0
2022-04-30
HVillarreal
W
2–1
5–8
5–2
0–0
2021-12-21
AVillarreal
L
2–5
2–6
2–0
0–0
2021-04-21
HVillarreal
W
2–1
3–8
2–1
0–0
2020-09-30
AVillarreal
L
1–3
0–2
2–0
0–0
2020-01-25
HVillarreal
L
1–2
7–4
2–1
0–0
2019-10-25
AVillarreal
L
1–4
4–5
2–2
0–0
2019-03-02
AVillarreal
W
2–1
2–8
3–2
0–0
2018-10-28
HVillarreal
W
2–1
8–4
1–1
0–0
Venue tag: H = home, A = away.
Period stats — 1H / 2H
First half lean: Alaves — higher 1H xG, SOT and shots
Alaves

VillarrealPossession %
41
45
xG
0.73
0.56
Shots
5.6
4.0
On target
2.4
1.1
Off target
1.4
1.9
Corners
4.5
3.0
Yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Villarreal — higher 2H xG, possession and corners
Alaves

VillarrealPossession %
32
48
xG
0.42
0.74
Shots
6.2
6.1
On target
3.4
1.9
Off target
0.8
1.8
Corners
3.7
6.0
Yellow cards
2.1
1.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Full-time call
NO BET
1 · Alaves
42%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Villarreal
31%
Alaves at home
Expected goals: 1.55
Conceded goals: 1.32
Villarreal away
Expected goals: 1.29
Conceded goals: 1.56
Projected for this match: Alaves 1.55 — 1.61 Villarreal
Expected goals: Alaves 1.55 — 1.61 Villarreal
Likely scores
1-110.9%
1-28.5%
2-18.2%
Goals markets
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
BTTS63.3%
Corners (90 min)
Alaves5.5
Villarreal5.4
Yellow cards (90 min)
Alaves2.5
Villarreal2.1
1H total1.5
2H total3.1
Second half
Alaves
34%
Level
34%
Villarreal
32%
2H corners split
Expected total5.7
Alaves2.9
Villarreal2.8
2H yellow cards split
Expected total3.1
Alaves1.7
Villarreal1.4
2H reds (exp.)0.1
First half
No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Alaves
27%
1H · Draw
36%
1H · Villarreal
37%
1H corners split
Expected total5.2
Alaves2.6
Villarreal2.6
O/U 5.5Under · 58%
1H yellow cards split
Expected total1.5
Alaves0.8
Villarreal0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 56%
2H expected total3.1
Alaves 2H1.7
Villarreal 2H1.4
1H reds (exp.)0.1
Toni Martínez (0.53 xG) is Alaves' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Dani Parejo (0.79 xG) is Villarreal's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Squad availability
Alaves · 3 listed
Mikel Rodriguezinjury
Facundo Garcesinjury
Moussa Diarrainjury
Villarreal · 0 listed
None listed
Match analysis
Alaves vs Villarreal (La Liga). Model call: Alaves to win match full time (42% / 27% / 31%).
Projected xG Alaves 1.55 — 1.61 Villarreal. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Villarreal. Alaves home form +0.23; Villarreal away form -0.27.
First-half lean: No bet. Without Mikel Rodriguez, Alaves' full-time chance creation is trimmed.