Milanv
Venezia
Serie A · Fri 28 Aug · 20:45 · Referee: Gianluca Manganiello
Head-to-head — last 3 at Milan (home)
W
2026-08-28
Milan 2–0 Venezia
W
2024-09-14
Milan 4–0 Venezia
W
2021-09-22
Milan 2–0 Venezia
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.28 → Milan (4 meetings on file)
Last Matches
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
4–2
1–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HCagliari
L
1–2
5–5
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
AGenoa
W
2–1
4–4
3–2
0–0
2026-05-10
HAtalanta
L
2–3
2–2
3–3
0–0
2026-05-03
ASassuolo
L
0–2
3–2
4–4
1–0
2026-04-26
HJuventus
D
0–0
1–3
2–3
0–0
2026-04-19
AVerona
W
1–0
1–6
0–2
0–0
2026-04-11
HUdinese
L
0–3
4–3
1–1
0–0
2026-04-06
ANapoli
L
0–1
3–4
0–2
0–0
2026-03-21
HTorino
W
3–2
4–6
3–1
0–0
2026-03-15
ALazio
L
0–1
9–1
1–4
0–0
2026-03-08
HInter
W
1–0
1–6
2–2
0–0
2026-03-01
ACremonese
W
2–0
7–6
0–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-11
HFiorentina
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
AMilan
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HLecce
L
0–2
5–3
1–3
0–0
2025-05-25
HJuventus
L
2–3
6–6
1–2
0–0
2025-05-18
ACagliari
L
0–3
8–8
1–1
0–0
2025-05-12
HFiorentina
W
2–1
1–5
1–4
0–0
2025-05-02
ATorino
D
1–1
1–5
0–1
0–0
2025-04-27
HMilan
L
0–2
7–2
1–0
0–0
2025-04-20
AEmpoli
D
2–2
5–2
1–2
0–0
2025-04-12
HMonza
W
1–0
3–4
5–3
1–0
2025-04-06
ALecce
D
1–1
3–8
4–2
0–0
2025-03-29
HBologna
L
0–1
2–3
4–1
0–0
2025-03-16
HNapoli
D
0–0
3–8
2–1
0–0
2025-03-08
AComo
D
1–1
5–3
3–2
0–0
2025-03-01
AAtalanta
D
0–0
2–3
2–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-04-27
AVenezia
W
2–0
2–7
0–1
0–0
2024-09-14
HVenezia
W
4–0
6–1
1–3
0–1
2022-01-09
AVenezia
W
3–0
7–1
3–1
0–1
2021-09-22
HVenezia
W
2–0
4–4
0–2
0–0
Venue tag: H = home, A = away.
Period stats — 1H / 2H
Too close to call
Milan
VeneziaPossession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.0
1.9
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Milan
VeneziaPossession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.2
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
1.3
1.3
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Full-time call
NO BET
1 · Milan
66%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Venezia
10%
Milan at home
Expected goals: 1.21
Conceded goals: 1.32
Venezia away
Expected goals: 0.82
Conceded goals: 1.69
Projected for this match: Milan 1.6 — 0.92 Venezia
Expected goals: Milan 1.6 — 0.92 Venezia
Likely scores
1-012.5%
1-112.2%
2-010.3%
Goals markets
Over 1.572%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS48.4%
Corners (90 min)
Milan4.2
Venezia4
Yellow cards (90 min)
Milan1.9
Venezia1.9
1H total1.2
2H total2.6
Second half
Milan
42%
Level
35%
Venezia
23%
2H corners split
Expected total4.3
Milan2.2
Venezia2.1
2H yellow cards split
Expected total2.6
Milan1.3
Venezia1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.1
First half
No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Milan
24%
1H · Draw
53%
1H · Venezia
23%
1H corners split
Expected total3.9
Milan2
Venezia1.9
O/U 3.5Over · 55%
1H yellow cards split
Expected total1.2
Milan0.6
Venezia0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.6
Milan 2H1.3
Venezia 2H1.3
Without Santiago Giménez (0.17 xG), Milan's first-half goal line is trimmed.
Squad availability
Milan · 1 listed
Santiago Gimenezsuspension
Venezia · 3 listed
Bartol Franjicinjury
Andrea Adoranteinjury
Marin Sverkoinjury
Match analysis
Milan vs Venezia (Serie A). Model call: Milan to win match full time (66% / 24% / 10%).
Milan holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Milan 1.6 — 0.92 Venezia. H2H (4 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Milan. Milan home form -0.11; Venezia away form -0.87.
First-half lean: No bet. Without Santiago Gimenez, Milan's full-time attack is trimmed as well. Without Andrea Adorante, Venezia's full-time attack is trimmed.