Atalanta
v
Venezia

Serie A · Mon 12 Oct · 18:30 · Referee: Paride Tremolada

Head-to-head — last 3 at Atalanta (home)

W 2026-10-12 Atalanta 3–1 Venezia
D 2025-03-01 Atalanta 0–0 Venezia
W 2021-11-30 Atalanta 4–0 Venezia
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.21 → Atalanta (4 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AMonza
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
HParma
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-29
AFiorentina
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HFrosinone
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AMilan
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
HVenezia
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HCagliari
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HCagliari
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ARoma
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HBologna
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HSassuolo
W
2–1
4–4
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HSassuolo
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-22
AFiorentina
D
1–1
3–3
2–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBologna
L
0–1
2–5
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-06
HUdinese
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
AComo
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HInter
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AGenoa
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HNapoli
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
AAtalanta
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HLazio
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
HFiorentina
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
HFiorentina
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AFrosinone
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
AMilan
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
AMilan
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HLecce
L
0–2
5–3
1–3
0–0
2026-08-23
HLecce
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-05-25
HJuventus
L
2–3
6–6
1–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-12
HVenezia
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-03-01
HVenezia
D
0–0
3–2
1–2
0–0
2024-10-20
AVenezia
W
2–0
5–2
1–1
0–0
2022-04-23
AVenezia
W
3–1
7–0
3–0
0–0
2021-11-30
HVenezia
W
4–0
4–2
0–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Atalanta
Venezia
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.4
1.9
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Atalanta
Venezia
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.5
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
1.2
1.0
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Atalanta
69%
X · Draw
22%
2 · Venezia
9%
Atalanta at home
Expected goals: 1.23
Conceded goals: 0.77
Venezia away
Expected goals: 0.82
Conceded goals: 1.69
Projected for this match: Atalanta 1.57 — 0.84 Venezia
Expected goals: Atalanta 1.57 — 0.84 Venezia

Likely scores

1-013.7%
1-112.2%
2-011.1%

Goals markets

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS45.4%

Corners (90 min)

Atalanta4.9
Venezia4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Atalanta1.7
Venezia1.5
1H total1
2H total2.1

Second half

Atalanta
40%
Level
37%
Venezia
23%
Expected 2H goals Atalanta 0.88 — 0.59 Venezia

2H corners split

Expected total4.6
Atalanta2.5
Venezia2.1

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.1
Atalanta1.2
Venezia1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Atalanta
35%
1H · Draw
48%
1H · Venezia
17%
Expected 1H goals Atalanta 0.59 — 0.33 Venezia · Over 0.5: Over (60%) · Over 1.5: Under (23%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.3
Atalanta2.4
Venezia1.9
O/U 4.5Under · 57%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1
Atalanta0.5
Venezia0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total2.1
Atalanta 2H1.2
Venezia 2H1

Berat Djimsiti (0.17 xG) is Atalanta's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Atalanta · 5 listed

Gianluca Gaetanodoubt
1 · Groin
Raoul Bellanovadoubt
1 · Thigh
Giacomo Raspadoridoubt
1 · Thigh
Odilon Kossounoudoubt
1 · Thigh
Isak Hieninjury
1 · Thigh

Venezia · 3 listed

Andrea Adorantedoubt
1 · Low back
Marin Sverkoinjury
1 · Hip
Bartol Franjicinjury
1 · Shoulder

Match analysis

Atalanta vs Venezia (Serie A). Model call: Atalanta to win match full time (69% / 22% / 9%).

Atalanta holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Atalanta 1.57 — 0.84 Venezia. H2H (4 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Atalanta. Atalanta home form +0.46; Venezia away form -0.87.

First-half lean: No bet.