Real Madrid v Vallecano

Head-to-head — last 5 at Real Madrid (home)

W 2026-09-12 Real Madrid 4–1 Vallecano

W 2026-02-01 Real Madrid 2–1 Vallecano

W 2025-03-09 Real Madrid 2–1 Vallecano

D 2023-11-05 Real Madrid 0–0 Vallecano

W 2023-05-24 Real Madrid 2–1 Vallecano

Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.14 → Real Madrid (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-12

HVallecano

W

4–1

0–0

2026-08-30

HMalaga

W

4–0

0–0

2026-08-26

HSociedad

W

4–1

4–7

3–3

0–0

2026-08-22

AEspanol

W

2–1

8–0

1–5

0–0

2026-05-23

HAth Bilbao

W

4–2

2–1

2–0

0–0

2026-05-17

ASevilla

W

1–0

4–4

0–4

0–0

2026-05-14

HOviedo

W

2–0

4–5

0–0

2026-05-10

ABarcelona

L

0–2

8–4

4–2

0–0

2026-05-03

AEspanol

W

2–0

6–5

4–3

0–0

2026-04-24

ABetis

D

1–1

6–7

2–1

0–0

2026-04-21

HAlaves

W

2–1

9–6

1–1

0–0

2026-04-10

HGirona

D

1–1

10–1

2–1

0–0

2026-04-04

AMallorca

L

1–2

4–6

2–3

0–0

2026-03-22

HAth Madrid

W

3–2

4–1

1–4

1–0

2026-03-14

HElche

W

4–1

5–4

1–3

0–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-12

AReal Madrid

L

1–4

0–0

2026-08-20

HAlaves

D

1–1

9–7

1–2

0–0

2026-08-15

ASevilla

L

1–2

2–1

4–4

0–1

2026-05-23

AAlaves

W

2–1

5–10

3–3

0–0

2026-05-17

HVillarreal

W

2–0

1–9

2–1

0–0

2026-05-14

AValencia

D

1–1

1–5

1–1

0–0

2026-05-11

HGirona

D

1–1

9–5

1–1

0–0

2026-05-03

AGetafe

W

2–0

1–4

5–3

0–0

2026-04-26

HSociedad

D

3–3

6–4

1–0

2026-04-23

HEspanol

W

1–0

6–5

2–4

0–0

2026-04-12

AMallorca

L

0–3

7–6

4–1

0–0

2026-04-03

HElche

W

1–0

9–4

0–4

0–1

2026-03-22

ABarcelona

L

0–1

9–6

4–3

0–0

2026-03-16

HLevante

D

1–1

5–6

3–5

1–0

2026-03-08

ASevilla

D

1–1

2–6

3–1

0–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-12

HVallecano

W

4–1

0–0

2026-02-01

HVallecano

W

2–1

9–4

2–8

0–2

2025-11-09

AVallecano

D

0–0

8–5

2–3

0–0

2025-03-09

HVallecano

W

2–1

4–6

3–1

0–0

2024-12-14

AVallecano

D

3–3

3–4

2–4

0–0

2024-02-18

AVallecano

D

1–1

10–4

3–4

1–0

2023-11-05

HVallecano

D

0–0

11–1

3–5

0–0

2023-05-24

HVallecano

W

2–1

5–2

1–3

0–0

2022-11-07

AVallecano

L

2–3

5–4

0–0

2022-02-26

AVallecano

W

1–0

9–5

3–5

0–0

2021-11-06

HVallecano

W

2–1

4–5

1–2

0–0

2019-04-28

AVallecano

L

0–1

6–6

5–2

0–0

2018-12-15

HVallecano

W

1–0

4–4

0–3

0–0

2016-04-23

AVallecano

W

3–2

6–4

1–6

0–0

2015-12-20

HVallecano

W

10–2

10–4

1–2

0–2

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Real Madrid — higher 1H SOT, possession and shots

Real Madrid

Vallecano

Possession %

70

48

xG

0.69

0.63

Shots

7.6

4.2

On target

3.0

1.7

Off target

3.2

2.0

Corners

2.0

1.5

Yellow cards

1.1

0.0

Red cards

0.0

Second half lean: Real Madrid — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession

Real Madrid

Vallecano

Possession %

69

52

xG

1.08

0.68

Shots

8.7

7.2

On target

3.9

2.9

Off target

2.7

Corners

0.9

1.6

Yellow cards

0.0

2.1

Red cards

0.0

Full-time call

BET · HOME (75%)

1 · Real Madrid

75%

X · Draw

17%

2 · Vallecano

8%

Real Madrid at home

Expected goals: 2.66

Conceded goals: 0.98

Vallecano away

Expected goals: 0.94

Conceded goals: 1.5

Projected for this match: Real Madrid 1.97 — 1 Vallecano

Expected goals: Real Madrid 1.97 — 1 Vallecano

Likely scores

1-110.4%

2-110%

2-010%

Goals markets

Over 1.580%

Over 2.557.1%

Over 3.534.7%

BTTS54.7%

Corners (90 min)

Real Madrid5.6

Vallecano4.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Real Madrid2.2

Vallecano2.5

1H total1.5

2H total3.2

Second half

Real Madrid

42%

Level

35%

Vallecano

23%

Expected 2H goals Real Madrid 0.96 — 0.63 Vallecano

2H corners split

Expected total5.7

Real Madrid3.2

Vallecano2.5

2H yellow cards split

Expected total3.2

Real Madrid1.5

Vallecano1.7

2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

Level medium confidence

1H · Real Madrid

32%

1H · Draw

42%

1H · Vallecano

26%

Expected 1H goals Real Madrid 0.65 — 0.55 Vallecano · Over 0.5: Over (70%) · Over 1.5: Under (34%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.4

Real Madrid2.4

Vallecano1.9

O/U 4.5Under · 55%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.5

Real Madrid0.7

Vallecano0.8

O/U 1.5Under · 56%

2H expected total3.2

Real Madrid 2H1.5

Vallecano 2H1.7

1H reds (exp.)0.1

Kylian Mbappe-Lottin (0.34 xG) is Real Madrid's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Randy Nteka (0.38 xG), Vallecano's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Real Madrid · 3 listed

Ferland Mendyinjury

1 · Hip

Rodrygoinjury

1 · Cruciate ligame

Eder Militaoinjury

1 · Muscle

Vallecano · 8 listed

Jorge de Frutossuspension

1 · Red card (direct)

Unai Lopezsuspension

1 · Yellow cards

Gnangoro Bouaredoubt

1 · Other

Jozhua Vertrouwddoubt

1 · Hamstring

Luiz Felipeinjury

1 · Thigh

Randy Ntekadoubt

1 · Muscle

Isi Palazoninjury

1 · Muscle

Augusto Batallainjury

1 · Lower leg

Match analysis

Real Madrid vs Vallecano (La Liga). Model call: Real Madrid to win match full time (75% / 17% / 8%).

Real Madrid holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Real Madrid 1.97 — 1 Vallecano. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Real Madrid. Real Madrid home form +1.68; Vallecano away form -0.56.

First-half lean: Level. Without Rodrygo, Real Madrid's full-time attack is trimmed. Without Unai Lopez, Vallecano's full-time chance creation is trimmed.