Santander
v
Valencia

La Liga · Sun 11 Oct · 21:00 · Referee: Luis Bestard Servera

Head-to-head — last 1 at Santander (home)

D 2026-10-11 Santander 2–2 Valencia
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Santander (0 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AMalaga
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HReal Madrid
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HEspanol
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AOsasuna
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HValencia
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ACelta
L
0–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-16
ABarcelona
L
2–7
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HAlaves
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HAlaves
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AVallecano
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AGetafe
L
0–1
6–8
3–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AGetafe
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-16
HVillarreal
D
2–2
6–10
2–4
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HReal Madrid
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
AElche
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HVillarreal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HAth Bilbao
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ASantander
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HSociedad
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AAlaves
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AAlaves
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
ASevilla
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
ASevilla
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HBarcelona
L
0–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALa Coruna
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALa Coruna
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-25
HBetis
L
0–1
8–2
2–1
0–0
2026-08-25
HBetis
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-11
HValencia
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Santander
Valencia
Possession %
—
46
xG
—
0.33
Shots
—
2.8
On target
—
1.1
Off target
—
1.2
Corners (est.)
2.5
0.0
Yellow cards (est.)
0.8
0.0
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Santander
Valencia
Possession %
—
43
xG
—
0.63
Shots
—
4.0
On target
—
1.8
Off target
—
1.6
Corners (est.)
2.7
2.0
Yellow cards (est.)
1.6
0.0
Red cards (est.)
0.0
1.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Santander
37%
X · Draw
36%
2 · Valencia
27%
Santander at home
Expected goals: 2
Conceded goals: 2
Valencia away
Expected goals: 1.28
Conceded goals: 1.4
Projected for this match: Santander 1.12 — 1.16 Valencia
Expected goals: Santander 1.12 — 1.16 Valencia

Likely scores

1-113.7%
0-111.5%
1-011.1%

Goals markets

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS46.5%

Corners (90 min)

Santander5.2
Valencia6.8

Yellow cards (90 min)

Santander2.4
Valencia2
1H total1.4
2H total3

Second half

Santander
20%
Level
43%
Valencia
37%
Expected 2H goals Santander 0.44 — 0.71 Valencia

2H corners split

Expected total6.3
Santander2.7
Valencia3.6

2H yellow cards split

Expected total3
Santander1.6
Valencia1.4
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Santander
28%
1H · Draw
41%
1H · Valencia
31%
Expected 1H goals Santander 0.61 — 0.67 Valencia · Over 0.5: Over (72%) · Over 1.5: Under (37%)

1H corners split

Expected total5.8
Santander2.5
Valencia3.3
O/U 5.5Over · 52%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.4
Santander0.8
Valencia0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 59%
2H expected total3
Santander 2H1.6
Valencia 2H1.4

Without Andrés Martin (1.00 xG), Santander's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Mouctar Diakhaby (0.19 xG) is Valencia's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Santander · 2 listed

Alvaro Mantilladoubt
1 · Knee
Andres Martindoubt
1 · Muscle

Valencia · 7 listed

Jose Gayasuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Umar Sadiqdoubt
1 · Knee
Jesus Vazquezdoubt
1 · Muscle
Diego Lopezdoubt
1 · Knee
Dimitri Foulquierdoubt
1 · Other
David Otorbidoubt
1 · Hamstring
Sergi Canosinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Match analysis

Santander vs Valencia (La Liga). Model call: Santander to win match full time (37% / 36% / 27%).

Valencia holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Santander 1.12 — 1.16 Valencia.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Sergi Canos, Valencia's full-time attack is trimmed.