Alaves
v
Valencia

La Liga · Tue 15 Sep · 20:00 · Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa

Head-to-head — last 5 at Alaves (home)

L 2026-09-15 Alaves 0–1 Valencia
D 2025-10-20 Alaves 0–0 Valencia
W 2025-05-14 Alaves 1–0 Valencia
W 2023-09-02 Alaves 1–0 Valencia
W 2022-02-13 Alaves 2–1 Valencia
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Alaves (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-06
ASevilla
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABarcelona
L
1–6
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ACelta
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HAth Madrid
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
AAth Bilbao
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HValencia
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HValencia
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASantander
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASantander
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HOsasuna
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-20
AVallecano
D
1–1
7–9
2–1
0–0
2026-08-20
AVallecano
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HReal Madrid
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
AElche
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HVillarreal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HAth Bilbao
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ASantander
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HSociedad
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AAlaves
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AAlaves
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
ASevilla
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
ASevilla
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HBarcelona
L
0–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALa Coruna
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALa Coruna
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-25
HBetis
L
0–1
8–2
2–1
0–0
2026-08-25
HBetis
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-15
HValencia
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-08
AValencia
L
2–3
2–10
6–1
2–0
2025-10-20
HValencia
D
0–0
7–0
1–2
0–0
2025-05-14
HValencia
W
1–0
9–4
4–3
0–0
2024-12-22
AValencia
D
2–2
4–5
1–2
0–0
2024-05-05
AValencia
W
1–0
7–5
3–1
0–0
2023-09-02
HValencia
W
1–0
1–2
4–2
0–0
2022-02-13
HValencia
W
2–1
5–9
4–3
0–0
2021-08-27
AValencia
L
0–3
4–4
4–1
0–0
2021-04-24
AValencia
D
1–1
2–7
0–4
1–0
2020-11-22
HValencia
D
2–2
4–5
1–1
0–0
2020-03-06
HValencia
D
1–1
3–3
5–3
0–0
2019-10-05
AValencia
L
1–2
7–4
3–1
0–0
2019-05-12
AValencia
L
1–3
4–7
5–2
0–0
2019-01-05
HValencia
W
2–1
2–6
3–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Alaves — higher 1H xG, SOT and shots
Alaves
Valencia
Possession %
41
46
xG
0.73
0.33
Shots
5.6
2.8
On target
2.4
1.1
Off target
1.4
1.2
Corners
4.5
0.0
Yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Alaves — higher 2H SOT, shots and corners
Alaves
Valencia
Possession %
32
43
xG
0.42
0.63
Shots
6.2
4.0
On target
3.4
1.8
Off target
0.8
1.6
Corners
3.7
2.0
Yellow cards
2.1
0.0
Red cards
0.0
1.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Alaves
55%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Valencia
15%
Alaves at home
Expected goals: 1.55
Conceded goals: 1.32
Valencia away
Expected goals: 1.28
Conceded goals: 1.4
Projected for this match: Alaves 1.38 — 0.99 Valencia
Expected goals: Alaves 1.38 — 0.99 Valencia

Likely scores

1-113.1%
1-012.5%
0-09.7%

Goals markets

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS47.4%

Corners (90 min)

Alaves4.9
Valencia5.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Alaves2.5
Valencia2
1H total1.4
2H total3.1

Second half

Alaves
34%
Level
33%
Valencia
33%
Expected 2H goals Alaves 0.94 — 0.94 Valencia

2H corners split

Expected total5.3
Alaves2.6
Valencia2.7

2H yellow cards split

Expected total3.1
Alaves1.7
Valencia1.4
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Alaves
25%
1H · Draw
52%
1H · Valencia
23%
Expected 1H goals Alaves 0.43 — 0.39 Valencia · Over 0.5: Over (56%) · Over 1.5: Under (20%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.8
Alaves2.4
Valencia2.5
O/U 4.5Over · 52%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.4
Alaves0.8
Valencia0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 59%
2H expected total3.1
Alaves 2H1.7
Valencia 2H1.4
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Toni Martínez (0.53 xG) is Alaves' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Mouctar Diakhaby (0.19 xG) is Valencia's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Alaves · 2 listed

Facundo Garcesinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Mikel Rodriguezinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Valencia · 7 listed

Jose Gayasuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Umar Sadiqdoubt
1 · Knee
Jesus Vazquezdoubt
1 · Muscle
Diego Lopezdoubt
1 · Knee
Dimitri Foulquierdoubt
1 · Other
David Otorbidoubt
1 · Hamstring
Sergi Canosinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Match analysis

Alaves vs Valencia (La Liga). Model call: Alaves to win match full time (55% / 30% / 15%).

Projected xG Alaves 1.38 — 0.99 Valencia. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Alaves. Alaves home form +0.23; Valencia away form -0.12.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Mikel Rodriguez, Alaves' full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Sergi Canos, Valencia's full-time attack is trimmed.