Chelsea
v
Tottenham

Premier League · Sat 24 Oct · 18:30 · Referee: Chris Kavanagh

Head-to-head — last 5 at Chelsea (home)

L 2026-10-24 Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham
W 2026-05-19 Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham
W 2025-04-03 Chelsea 1–0 Tottenham
W 2024-05-02 Chelsea 2–0 Tottenham
D 2022-08-14 Chelsea 2–2 Tottenham
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.35 → Chelsea (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ASunderland
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HMan United
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HTottenham
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AEverton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBournemouth
W
5–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
ABrentford
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AArsenal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrighton
W
4–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrighton
W
4–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
AFulham
W
3–2
4–6
3–2
0–0
2026-08-24
AFulham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ASunderland
L
1–2
7–7
2–3
0–0
2026-05-19
HTottenham
W
2–1
3–4
4–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
ALeeds
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HCrystal Palace
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AChelsea
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
HCoventry
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AMan United
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HAston Villa
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HEverton
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HEverton
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ANott'm Forest
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNewcastle
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNewcastle
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
ABrentford
L
0–3
3–7
1–1
0–0
2026-08-22
ABrentford
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HEverton
W
1–0
6–2
5–3
0–1
2026-05-19
AChelsea
L
1–2
4–3
3–4
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-24
HTottenham
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-19
HTottenham
W
2–1
3–4
4–3
0–0
2025-11-01
ATottenham
W
1–0
5–6
2–4
0–0
2025-04-03
HTottenham
W
1–0
4–6
5–5
0–0
2024-12-08
ATottenham
W
4–3
10–5
2–2
0–0
2024-05-02
HTottenham
W
2–0
4–9
0–1
0–0
2023-11-06
ATottenham
W
4–1
6–1
5–1
0–2
2023-02-26
ATottenham
L
0–2
4–4
3–2
0–0
2022-08-14
HTottenham
D
2–2
8–5
3–0
0–0
2022-01-23
HTottenham
W
2–0
10–3
2–1
0–0
2021-09-19
ATottenham
W
3–0
11–5
1–0
0–0
2021-02-04
ATottenham
W
1–0
7–2
3–2
0–0
2020-11-29
HTottenham
D
0–0
3–3
4–2
0–0
2020-02-22
HTottenham
W
2–1
3–5
1–2
0–0
2019-12-22
ATottenham
W
2–0
5–3
3–4
0–1

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Chelsea
Tottenham
Possession %
56
55
xG
0.56
0.47
Shots
6.5
4.6
On target
2.4
1.5
Off target
2.0
1.8
Corners
2.6
2.5
Yellow cards
0.8
1.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Chelsea
Tottenham
Possession %
55
50
xG
1.22
0.85
Shots
9.0
5.6
On target
2.4
2.7
Off target
2.6
1.9
Corners
3.6
2.2
Yellow cards
2.0
1.8
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Chelsea
61%
X · Draw
25%
2 · Tottenham
14%
Chelsea at home
Expected goals: 1.23
Conceded goals: 1.49
Tottenham away
Expected goals: 1.02
Conceded goals: 1.57
Projected for this match: Chelsea 1.61 — 1.11 Tottenham
Expected goals: Chelsea 1.61 — 1.11 Tottenham

Likely scores

1-112.1%
1-010.3%
2-19.5%

Goals markets

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529%
BTTS54%

Corners (90 min)

Chelsea5
Tottenham5.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Chelsea2.4
Tottenham2.5
1H total1.7
2H total3.1
Kavanagh averages 3.5 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Chelsea
30%
Level
38%
Tottenham
32%
Expected 2H goals Chelsea 0.72 — 0.75 Tottenham

2H corners

Expected total6.2
Chelsea3
Tottenham3.2

2H yellow cards

Expected total3.1
Chelsea1.7
Tottenham1.4
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Chelsea
35%
1H · Draw
39%
1H · Tottenham
26%
Expected 1H goals Chelsea 0.78 — 0.63 Tottenham · Over 0.5: Over (76%) · Over 1.5: Under (41%)

1H corners

Expected total4.1
Chelsea2
Tottenham2
O/U 3.5Over · 59%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.7
Chelsea0.7
Tottenham1.1
O/U 1.5Even · 51%
2H expected total3.1
Chelsea 2H1.7
Tottenham 2H1.4
Kavanagh averages 1.4 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Kavanagh averages 2.9 yellows and 0.2 reds after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Without Mamadou Sarr (0.57 xG), Chelsea's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Ben Davies (0.78 xG) is Tottenham's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Chelsea · 6 listed

Mamadou Sarrdoubt
1 · Calf
Emiliano Martinezinjury
1 · Head
Mykhaylo Mudrykinjury
1 · Ankle
Jorrel Hatodoubt
1 · Other
Jamie Gittensinjury
1 · Ankle
Maxence Lacroixinjury
1 · Thigh

Tottenham · 6 listed

Mathys Teldoubt
1 · Muscle
Tosin Adarabioyodoubt
1 · Calf
Lucas Bergvalldoubt
1 · Knee
Wilson Odobertinjury
1 · Knee
Savioinjury
1 · Muscle
Xavi Simonsinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Match analysis

Chelsea vs Tottenham (Premier League). Model call: Chelsea to win match full time (61% / 25% / 14%).

Chelsea holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Chelsea 1.61 — 1.11 Tottenham. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Chelsea. Chelsea home form -0.26; Tottenham away form -0.55.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Jamie Gittens, Chelsea's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Savio, Tottenham's full-time chance creation is trimmed.