Man City
v
Sunderland

Premier League · Sun 20 Sep · 15:00 · Referee: Robert Jones

Head-to-head — last 5 at Man City (home)

W 2026-09-20 Man City 5–3 Sunderland
W 2025-12-06 Man City 3–0 Sunderland
W 2016-08-13 Man City 2–1 Sunderland
W 2015-12-26 Man City 4–1 Sunderland
W 2015-01-01 Man City 3–2 Sunderland
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.28 → Man City (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
ANott'm Forest
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HBrighton
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AAston Villa
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HIpswich
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ALiverpool
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HSunderland
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
AMan United
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
AMan United
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HCoventry
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ACrystal Palace
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ACrystal Palace
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HBournemouth
W
2–1
8–3
1–2
0–0
2026-08-23
HBournemouth
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HAston Villa
L
1–2
9–4
1–0
0–0
2026-05-19
ABournemouth
D
1–1
6–7
2–4
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HChelsea
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ACoventry
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HLeeds
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ABournemouth
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBrighton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AMan City
L
3–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HArsenal
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HArsenal
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ABrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HFulham
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HFulham
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AIpswich
L
1–2
5–3
3–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AIpswich
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HChelsea
W
2–1
7–7
3–2
0–0
2026-05-17
AEverton
W
3–1
2–3
0–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-20
HSunderland
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-01-01
ASunderland
D
0–0
5–3
1–1
0–0
2025-12-06
HSunderland
W
3–0
6–5
1–0
0–1
2017-03-05
ASunderland
W
2–0
4–6
0–1
0–0
2016-08-13
HSunderland
W
2–1
9–6
1–2
0–0
2016-02-02
ASunderland
W
1–0
4–8
4–1
0–0
2015-12-26
HSunderland
W
4–1
5–1
1–1
0–0
2015-01-01
HSunderland
W
3–2
10–4
2–3
0–0
2014-12-03
ASunderland
W
4–1
0–2
1–1
0–0
2014-04-16
HSunderland
D
2–2
3–6
1–2
0–0
2013-11-10
ASunderland
L
0–1
14–0
1–0
0–0
2012-12-26
ASunderland
L
0–1
7–3
3–1
0–0
2012-10-06
HSunderland
W
3–0
15–4
0–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Man City — higher 1H xG, SOT and possession
Man City
Sunderland
Possession %
65
48
xG
1.29
0.32
Shots
9.7
3.8
On target
3.1
1.2
Off target
3.6
1.6
Corners
5.0
1.6
Yellow cards
0.3
0.7
Red cards
0.0
0.2
Second half lean: Man City — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Man City
Sunderland
Possession %
57
43
xG
1.12
0.90
Shots
7.3
5.4
On target
2.6
2.2
Off target
2.5
1.5
Corners
3.1
1.7
Yellow cards
1.2
2.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

BET · HOME (71.3%)
1 · Man City
71%
X · Draw
19%
2 · Sunderland
10%
Man City at home
Expected goals: 2.22
Conceded goals: 0.81
Sunderland away
Expected goals: 1.25
Conceded goals: 1.63
Projected for this match: Man City 1.76 — 1.04 Sunderland
Expected goals: Man City 1.76 — 1.04 Sunderland

Likely scores

1-111.4%
1-010.3%
2-19.8%

Goals markets

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531%
BTTS54%

Corners (90 min)

Man City6.8
Sunderland4.1

Yellow cards (90 min)

Man City1.7
Sunderland2.3
1H total1
2H total3
Jones averages 3.9 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Man City
38%
Level
35%
Sunderland
27%
Expected 2H goals Man City 0.92 — 0.72 Sunderland

2H corners

Expected total5.9
Man City3.3
Sunderland2.6

2H yellow cards

Expected total3
Man City1.3
Sunderland1.6

First half

Man City lead medium confidence
1H · Man City
42%
1H · Draw
41%
1H · Sunderland
17%
Expected 1H goals Man City 0.81 — 0.4 Sunderland · Over 0.5: Over (70%) · Over 1.5: Under (34%)

1H corners

Expected total5
Man City3.5
Sunderland1.5
O/U 4.5Over · 56%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1
Man City0.4
Sunderland0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total3
Man City 2H1.3
Sunderland 2H1.6
Jones averages 2.8 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Jones averages 2.5 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Erling Haaland (0.44 xG) is Man City's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Eliezer Mayenda (0.16 xG) is Sunderland's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Man City · 5 listed

Mateo Kovacicsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Abdukodir Khusanovdoubt
1 · Other
Marc Guehidoubt
1 · Hip
Jack Grealishsuspension
1 · Banned by club
Antoine Semenyoinjury
1 · Knee

Sunderland · 6 listed

Omar Alderetesuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Granit Xhakadoubt
1 · Calf
Brian Brobbeydoubt
1 · Other
Daniel Ballardinjury
1 · Thigh
Habib Diarrainjury
1 · Thigh
Romaine Mundleinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Man City vs Sunderland (Premier League). Model call: Man City to win match full time (71% / 19% / 10%).

Man City holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Man City 1.76 — 1.04 Sunderland. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Man City. Man City home form +1.41; Sunderland away form -0.37.

First-half lean: Man City lead. Without Mateo Kovacic, Man City's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Habib Diarra, Sunderland's full-time chance creation is trimmed.