Real Madrid
v
Sociedad

La Liga · Wed 26 Aug · 21:00 · Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Head-to-head — last 5 at Real Madrid (home)

W 2026-08-26 Real Madrid 4–1 Sociedad
W 2026-02-14 Real Madrid 4–1 Sociedad
W 2025-05-24 Real Madrid 2–0 Sociedad
W 2023-09-17 Real Madrid 2–1 Sociedad
D 2023-01-29 Real Madrid 0–0 Sociedad
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.35 → Real Madrid (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AValencia
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ASantander
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ABarcelona
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSevilla
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AAth Madrid
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HVallecano
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HVallecano
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
ABetis
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HMalaga
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HMalaga
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-26
HSociedad
W
4–1
4–7
3–3
0–0
2026-08-26
HSociedad
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HVallecano
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
AAth Bilbao
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HLevante
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AMalaga
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HLa Coruna
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AValencia
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HAth Madrid
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HAth Madrid
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-03
HCelta
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEspanol
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEspanol
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-26
AReal Madrid
L
1–4
7–4
3–3
0–0
2026-08-26
AReal Madrid
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-26
HSociedad
W
4–1
4–7
3–3
0–0
2026-02-14
HSociedad
W
4–1
4–6
1–1
0–0
2025-09-13
ASociedad
W
2–1
4–12
1–2
1–0
2025-05-24
HSociedad
W
2–0
11–4
0–0
0–0
2024-09-14
ASociedad
W
2–0
6–6
1–4
0–0
2024-04-26
ASociedad
W
1–0
3–11
4–3
0–0
2023-09-17
HSociedad
W
2–1
4–3
3–2
0–0
2023-05-02
ASociedad
L
0–2
6–2
5–1
1–0
2023-01-29
HSociedad
D
0–0
10–3
1–4
0–0
2022-03-05
HSociedad
W
4–1
7–1
0–2
0–0
2021-12-04
ASociedad
W
2–0
5–5
0–2
0–0
2021-03-01
HSociedad
D
1–1
13–4
0–1
0–0
2020-09-20
ASociedad
D
0–0
11–1
2–2
0–0
2020-06-21
ASociedad
W
2–1
1–4
2–4
0–0
2019-11-23
HSociedad
W
3–1
4–3
1–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Real Madrid — higher 1H xG, SOT and possession
Real Madrid
Sociedad
Possession %
70
48
xG
0.69
0.50
Shots
7.6
6.0
On target
3.0
2.3
Off target
3.2
2.0
Corners
2.0
1.5
Yellow cards
1.1
1.5
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Real Madrid — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Real Madrid
Sociedad
Possession %
69
44
xG
1.08
0.37
Shots
8.7
4.7
On target
3.9
1.7
Off target
2.7
1.9
Corners
0.9
2.6
Yellow cards
0.0
3.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

BET · HOME (82.6%)
1 · Real Madrid
83%
X · Draw
11%
2 · Sociedad
6%
Real Madrid at home
Expected goals: 2.66
Conceded goals: 0.98
Sociedad away
Expected goals: 1.05
Conceded goals: 1.86
Projected for this match: Real Madrid 2.24 — 0.92 Sociedad
Expected goals: Real Madrid 2.24 — 0.92 Sociedad

Likely scores

2-010.7%
2-19.8%
1-09.3%

Goals markets

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.561%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS53.9%

Corners (90 min)

Real Madrid4.9
Sociedad4.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Real Madrid2.1
Sociedad2.7
1H total1.5
2H total3.3

Second half

Real Madrid
55%
Level
30%
Sociedad
15%
Expected 2H goals Real Madrid 1.29 — 0.54 Sociedad

2H corners split

Expected total4.8
Real Madrid2.6
Sociedad2.3

2H yellow cards split

Expected total3.3
Real Madrid1.4
Sociedad1.8
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Real Madrid
34%
1H · Draw
38%
1H · Sociedad
28%
Expected 1H goals Real Madrid 0.8 — 0.69 Sociedad · Over 0.5: Over (77%) · Over 1.5: Under (44%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.5
Real Madrid2.4
Sociedad2.1
O/U 4.5Under · 53%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.5
Real Madrid0.7
Sociedad0.9
O/U 1.5Under · 56%
2H expected total3.3
Real Madrid 2H1.4
Sociedad 2H1.8
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Kylian Mbappe-Lottin (0.34 xG) is Real Madrid's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Orri Óskarsson (0.19 xG) is Sociedad's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Real Madrid · 5 listed

Vinicius Juniorsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Aurelien Tchouamenidoubt
1 · Muscle
Ferland Mendydoubt
1 · Hip
Rodrygoinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Raul Asenciodoubt
1 · Lower leg

Sociedad · 3 listed

Mikel Oyarzabaldoubt
1 · Illness
Ander Barrenetxeadoubt
1 · Hamstring
Alvaro Odriozolainjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Match analysis

Real Madrid vs Sociedad (La Liga). Model call: Real Madrid to win match full time (83% / 11% / 6%).

Real Madrid holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Real Madrid 2.24 — 0.92 Sociedad. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Real Madrid. Real Madrid home form +1.68; Sociedad away form -0.81.

First-half lean: Level. Without Vinicius Junior, Real Madrid's full-time attack is trimmed.