Lecce
v
Roma

Serie A · Mon 31 Aug · 18:30 · Referee: Daniele Chiffi

Head-to-head — last 5 at Lecce (home)

L 2026-08-31 Lecce 0–4 Roma
L 2026-01-06 Lecce 0–2 Roma
L 2025-03-29 Lecce 0–1 Roma
D 2024-04-01 Lecce 0–0 Roma
D 2023-02-11 Lecce 1–1 Roma
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.28 → Roma (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
ATorino
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HGenoa
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-29
AFrosinone
L
1–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AUdinese
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HBologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AMilan
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMonza
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMonza
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
ACagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
ACagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HRoma
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AVenezia
W
2–0
3–5
3–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HGenoa
W
1–0
1–6
2–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HSassuolo
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AUdinese
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
HCagliari
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
ANapoli
D
3–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HGenoa
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
AComo
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HInter
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ATorino
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ATorino
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HAtalanta
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
ALecce
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
HFiorentina
W
4–0
2–3
2–2
0–0
2026-08-24
HFiorentina
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AVerona
W
2–0
6–6
1–3
0–1
2026-05-17
HLazio
W
2–0
8–3
2–3
1–1
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-31
HRoma
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-22
ARoma
L
0–1
2–10
2–2
0–0
2026-01-06
HRoma
L
0–2
2–2
3–1
0–0
2025-03-29
HRoma
L
0–1
6–6
1–3
0–0
2024-12-07
ARoma
L
1–4
1–8
3–2
0–0
2024-04-01
HRoma
D
0–0
8–4
3–2
0–0
2023-11-05
ARoma
L
1–2
2–5
5–3
0–0
2023-02-11
HRoma
D
1–1
3–7
4–1
0–0
2022-10-09
ARoma
L
1–2
4–13
2–2
1–0
2020-02-23
ARoma
L
0–4
4–6
0–1
0–0
2019-09-29
HRoma
L
0–1
4–11
2–4
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Lecce
Roma
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.8
2.5
Yellow cards (est.)
0.7
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Lecce
Roma
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.9
2.7
Yellow cards (est.)
1.4
1.1
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Lecce
14%
X · Draw
22%
2 · Roma
64%
Lecce at home
Expected goals: 0.7
Conceded goals: 1.19
Roma away
Expected goals: 1.61
Conceded goals: 1.31
Projected for this match: Lecce 0.98 — 1.84 Roma
Expected goals: Lecce 0.98 — 1.84 Roma

Likely scores

1-111.1%
0-110.6%
0-210.1%

Goals markets

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
BTTS52.9%

Corners (90 min)

Lecce3.7
Roma5.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Lecce2.1
Roma1.6
1H total1.2
2H total2.5

Second half

Lecce
22%
Level
36%
Roma
42%
Expected 2H goals Lecce 0.62 — 0.95 Roma

2H corners split

Expected total4.6
Lecce1.9
Roma2.7

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.5
Lecce1.4
Roma1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Lecce
14%
1H · Draw
44%
1H · Roma
42%
Expected 1H goals Lecce 0.32 — 0.74 Roma · Over 0.5: Over (65%) · Over 1.5: Under (29%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.3
Lecce1.8
Roma2.5
O/U 4.5Under · 57%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Lecce0.7
Roma0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.5
Lecce 2H1.4
Roma 2H1.1
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Lameck Banda (0.26 xG) is Lecce's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Mario Hermoso (0.29 xG) is Roma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Lecce · 5 listed

Riccardo Sottilinjury
1 · Low back
Joel Monteirodoubt
1 · Calf
Santiago Pierottiinjury
1 · Ankle
Medon Berishadoubt
1 · Thigh
Ivan Ilicdoubt
1 · Thigh

Roma · 8 listed

Wesleysuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Neil El Aynaouidoubt
1 · Ankle
Gianluca Mancinidoubt
1 · Thigh
Paulo Dybalainjury
1 · Calf
Devyne Renschdoubt
1 · Thigh
Pierluigi Gollinidoubt
1 · Low back
Lorenzo Pellegriniinjury
1 · Thigh
Mile Svilardoubt
1 · Foot

Match analysis

Lecce vs Roma (Serie A). Model call: Roma to win match full time (14% / 22% / 64%).

Roma holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Lecce 0.98 — 1.84 Roma. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Roma. Lecce home form -0.48; Roma away form +0.3.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Riccardo Sottil, Lecce's full-time attack is trimmed. Without Lorenzo Pellegrini, Roma's full-time chance creation is trimmed.