Elche
v
Real Madrid

La Liga · Tue 15 Sep · 21:30 · Referee: Jesús Gil Manzano

Head-to-head — last 5 at Elche (home)

L 2026-09-15 Elche 2–3 Real Madrid
D 2025-11-23 Elche 2–2 Real Madrid
L 2022-10-19 Elche 0–3 Real Madrid
L 2021-10-30 Elche 1–2 Real Madrid
D 2020-12-30 Elche 1–1 Real Madrid
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.21 → Real Madrid (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HBetis
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HValencia
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AVallecano
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AVillarreal
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HCelta
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
AEspanol
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HReal Madrid
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HReal Madrid
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAth Bilbao
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAth Bilbao
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HSociedad
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HSociedad
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ASantander
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ASantander
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HBarcelona
L
0–5
3–1
1–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AValencia
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ASantander
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ABarcelona
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSevilla
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AAth Madrid
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HVallecano
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HVallecano
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
ABetis
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HMalaga
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HMalaga
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-26
HSociedad
W
4–1
4–7
3–3
0–0
2026-08-26
HSociedad
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-15
HReal Madrid
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-14
AReal Madrid
L
1–4
4–5
3–1
0–0
2025-11-23
HReal Madrid
D
2–2
2–8
4–0
1–0
2023-02-15
AReal Madrid
L
0–4
4–6
3–1
0–0
2022-10-19
HReal Madrid
L
0–3
8–2
1–1
0–0
2022-01-23
AReal Madrid
D
2–2
3–10
1–3
0–0
2021-10-30
HReal Madrid
L
1–2
5–4
2–0
1–0
2021-03-13
AReal Madrid
L
1–2
1–6
1–1
0–0
2020-12-30
HReal Madrid
D
1–1
2–3
1–4
0–0
2015-02-22
HReal Madrid
L
0–2
1–6
4–1
0–0
2014-09-23
AReal Madrid
L
1–5
2–8
1–2
0–0
2014-02-22
AReal Madrid
L
0–3
1–9
3–1
0–0
2013-09-25
HReal Madrid
L
1–2
4–5
8–2
1–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Real Madrid — higher 1H xG, SOT and shots
Elche
Real Madrid
Possession %
76
54
xG
0.62
1.05
Shots
6.8
10.3
On target
1.7
3.5
Off target
2.3
4.0
Corners
3.0
3.5
Yellow cards
0.0
0.5
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Elche — higher 2H SOT
Elche
Real Madrid
Possession %
43
50
xG
0.53
0.86
Shots
5.3
5.1
On target
2.4
1.5
Off target
1.9
2.7
Corners
1.0
2.4
Yellow cards
3.0
1.4
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

BET · AWAY (70.2%)
1 · Elche
11%
X · Draw
19%
2 · Real Madrid
70%
Elche at home
Expected goals: 1.37
Conceded goals: 1.52
Real Madrid away
Expected goals: 1.48
Conceded goals: 0.94
Projected for this match: Elche 0.89 — 2.05 Real Madrid
Expected goals: Elche 0.89 — 2.05 Real Madrid

Likely scores

0-211.1%
0-110.6%
1-19.9%

Goals markets

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS51.6%

Corners (90 min)

Elche3.9
Real Madrid4.6

Yellow cards (90 min)

Elche2.4
Real Madrid2
1H total1.4
2H total3

Second half

Elche
14%
Level
33%
Real Madrid
53%
Expected 2H goals Elche 0.45 — 1.14 Real Madrid

2H corners split

Expected total4.4
Elche2
Real Madrid2.4

2H yellow cards split

Expected total3
Elche1.6
Real Madrid1.4
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

Real Madrid lead medium confidence
1H · Elche
23%
1H · Draw
38%
1H · Real Madrid
39%
Expected 1H goals Elche 0.58 — 0.85 Real Madrid · Over 0.5: Over (76%) · Over 1.5: Under (42%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.1
Elche1.9
Real Madrid2.2
O/U 3.5Over · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.4
Elche0.8
Real Madrid0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 59%
2H expected total3
Elche 2H1.6
Real Madrid 2H1.4
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Without Ali Houary (0.17 xG), Elche's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Kylian Mbappe-Lottin (0.34 xG) is Real Madrid's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Elche · 6 listed

Buba Sangaredoubt
1 · Other
Ali Houarydoubt
1 · Ankle
Adam Boayarinjury
1 · Muscle
Gonzalo Villardoubt
1 · Other
Marc Aguadodoubt
1 · Ankle
Yago Santiagodoubt
1 · Knee

Real Madrid · 5 listed

Vinicius Juniorsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Aurelien Tchouamenidoubt
1 · Muscle
Ferland Mendydoubt
1 · Hip
Rodrygoinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Raul Asenciodoubt
1 · Lower leg

Match analysis

Elche vs Real Madrid (La Liga). Model call: Real Madrid to win match full time (11% / 19% / 70%).

Real Madrid holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Elche 0.89 — 2.05 Real Madrid. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Real Madrid. Elche home form -0.15; Real Madrid away form +0.54.

First-half lean: Real Madrid lead. Without Adam Boayar, Elche's full-time attack is trimmed. Without Vinicius Junior, Real Madrid's full-time attack is trimmed.