Ath Madrid
v
Real Madrid

La Liga · Sun 20 Sep · 16:15 · Referee: Miguel Ortiz Arias

Head-to-head — last 5 at Ath Madrid (home)

W 2026-09-20 Ath Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid
W 2025-09-27 Ath Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid
D 2024-09-29 Ath Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid
W 2023-09-24 Ath Madrid 3–1 Real Madrid
L 2022-09-18 Ath Madrid 1–2 Real Madrid
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Ath Madrid (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HBarcelona
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ALevante
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HLa Coruna
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AEspanol
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AAlaves
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HReal Madrid
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-16
HOsasuna
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ASociedad
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ASociedad
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AAth Bilbao
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ASevilla
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ASevilla
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HVillarreal
D
2–2
5–3
3–2
1–0
2026-08-23
HVillarreal
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-19
HMalaga
W
2–0
6–1
2–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AValencia
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ASantander
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ABarcelona
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSevilla
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AAth Madrid
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HVallecano
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HVallecano
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
ABetis
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HMalaga
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HMalaga
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-26
HSociedad
W
4–1
4–7
3–3
0–0
2026-08-26
HSociedad
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-20
HReal Madrid
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-22
AReal Madrid
L
2–3
1–4
4–1
0–1
2025-09-27
HReal Madrid
W
5–2
7–2
5–4
0–0
2025-02-08
AReal Madrid
D
1–1
1–6
3–1
0–0
2024-09-29
HReal Madrid
D
1–1
5–5
3–1
1–0
2024-02-04
AReal Madrid
D
1–1
8–2
5–0
0–0
2023-09-24
HReal Madrid
W
3–1
6–11
1–3
0–0
2023-02-25
AReal Madrid
D
1–1
4–7
3–3
1–0
2022-09-18
HReal Madrid
L
1–2
8–1
4–2
1–0
2022-05-08
HReal Madrid
W
1–0
4–6
2–4
0–0
2021-12-12
AReal Madrid
L
0–2
6–3
3–2
0–0
2021-03-07
HReal Madrid
D
1–1
1–6
5–1
0–0
2020-12-12
AReal Madrid
L
0–2
6–3
3–1
0–0
2020-02-01
AReal Madrid
L
0–1
6–5
3–2
0–0
2019-09-28
HReal Madrid
D
0–0
5–7
1–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Real Madrid — higher 1H SOT, possession and shots
Ath Madrid
Real Madrid
Possession %
48
54
xG
1.02
1.05
Shots
5.7
10.3
On target
2.1
3.5
Off target
3.1
4.0
Corners
2.0
3.5
Yellow cards
1.0
0.5
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Ath Madrid — higher 2H xG, SOT and shots
Ath Madrid
Real Madrid
Possession %
46
50
xG
1.65
0.86
Shots
9.4
5.1
On target
3.4
1.5
Off target
3.6
2.7
Corners
7.0
2.4
Yellow cards
1.0
1.4
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Ath Madrid
24%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Real Madrid
48%
Ath Madrid at home
Expected goals: 1.84
Conceded goals: 0.98
Real Madrid away
Expected goals: 1.48
Conceded goals: 0.94
Projected for this match: Ath Madrid 1.34 — 1.83 Real Madrid
Expected goals: Ath Madrid 1.34 — 1.83 Real Madrid

Likely scores

1-110.6%
1-29.4%
0-17.3%

Goals markets

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS62.4%

Corners (90 min)

Ath Madrid5
Real Madrid5.1

Yellow cards (90 min)

Ath Madrid2.4
Real Madrid1.9
1H total1.4
2H total2.9

Second half

Ath Madrid
24%
Level
33%
Real Madrid
43%
Expected 2H goals Ath Madrid 0.7 — 1.04 Real Madrid

2H corners split

Expected total5.4
Ath Madrid2.7
Real Madrid2.7

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.9
Ath Madrid1.7
Real Madrid1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Ath Madrid
24%
1H · Draw
39%
1H · Real Madrid
37%
Expected 1H goals Ath Madrid 0.59 — 0.8 Real Madrid · Over 0.5: Over (75%) · Over 1.5: Under (41%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.7
Ath Madrid2.3
Real Madrid2.4
O/U 4.5Even · 51%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.4
Ath Madrid0.8
Real Madrid0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 59%
2H expected total2.9
Ath Madrid 2H1.7
Real Madrid 2H1.3
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Without Ademola Lookman (0.53 xG), Ath Madrid's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Kylian Mbappe-Lottin (0.34 xG) is Real Madrid's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Ath Madrid · 3 listed

Robin Le Normandsuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Ademola Lookmandoubt
1 · Calf
Cristian Romerodoubt
1 · Other

Real Madrid · 5 listed

Vinicius Juniorsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Aurelien Tchouamenidoubt
1 · Muscle
Ferland Mendydoubt
1 · Hip
Rodrygoinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Raul Asenciodoubt
1 · Lower leg

Match analysis

Ath Madrid vs Real Madrid (La Liga). Model call: Real Madrid to win match full time (24% / 28% / 48%).

Real Madrid holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Ath Madrid 1.34 — 1.83 Real Madrid. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Ath Madrid. Ath Madrid home form +0.86; Real Madrid away form +0.54.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Vinicius Junior, Real Madrid's full-time attack is trimmed.