Como
v
Parma

Serie A · Mon 14 Sep · 18:30 · Referee: Giuseppe Mucera

Head-to-head — last 3 at Como (home)

W 2026-09-14 Como 2–1 Parma
W 2026-05-17 Como 1–0 Parma
D 2024-10-19 Como 1–1 Parma
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.14 → Como (4 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AInter
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HVenezia
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
ATorino
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HSassuolo
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AFiorentina
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HRoma
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AFrosinone
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HParma
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HParma
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
AGenoa
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ANapoli
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ANapoli
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AUdinese
D
1–1
10–1
0–3
0–0
2026-08-22
AUdinese
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ACremonese
W
4–1
4–2
2–4
0–3
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HBologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
AAtalanta
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HUdinese
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
ALazio
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
HTorino
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AInter
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HGenoa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AComo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AComo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HMonza
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
3–2
0–2
0–0
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HSassuolo
W
1–0
1–1
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
HParma
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HParma
W
1–0
15–2
2–0
0–0
2025-10-25
AParma
D
0–0
3–3
1–0
0–0
2025-05-03
AParma
W
1–0
5–5
1–1
0–0
2024-10-19
HParma
D
1–1
7–4
1–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Como
Parma
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.8
1.5
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1
Too close to call
Como
Parma
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
3.0
1.6
Yellow cards (est.)
1.1
1.2
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.2

Full-time call

BET · UNDER 2 5 (66.8%)
1 · Como
68%
X · Draw
25%
2 · Parma
7%
Como at home
Expected goals: 1.9
Conceded goals: 0.9
Parma away
Expected goals: 0.63
Conceded goals: 1.16
Projected for this match: Como 1.41 — 0.62 Parma
Expected goals: Como 1.41 — 0.62 Parma

Likely scores

1-018.2%
0-013.5%
2-013%

Goals markets

Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.8%
BTTS35.3%

Corners (90 min)

Como5.8
Parma3.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Como1.6
Parma1.8
1H total1.1
2H total2.3

Second half

Como
48%
Level
36%
Parma
16%
Expected 2H goals Como 0.99 — 0.45 Parma

2H corners split

Expected total4.7
Como3
Parma1.6

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.3
Como1.1
Parma1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Como
31%
1H · Draw
53%
1H · Parma
16%
Expected 1H goals Como 0.49 — 0.28 Parma · Over 0.5: Over (54%) · Over 1.5: Under (18%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.3
Como2.8
Parma1.5
O/U 4.5Under · 57%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Como0.5
Parma0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.3
Como 2H1.1
Parma 2H1.2
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Anastasios Douvikas (0.48 xG) is Como's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Gabriel Strefezza (0.25 xG) is Parma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Como · 6 listed

Edoardo Goldanigasuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Nicolas-Gerrit Kuehndoubt
1 · Thigh
Assane Diaodoubt
1 · Thigh
Trevoh Chalobahdoubt
1 · Other
Jayden Addaidoubt
1 · Muscle
Jesus Rodriguezinjury
1 · Knee

Parma · 4 listed

Abdoulaye N'Diayesuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
David Romerodoubt
1 · Shoulder
Adrian Bernabedoubt
1 · Muscle
Lautaro Valentisuspension
1 · Banned by club

Match analysis

Como vs Parma (Serie A). Model call: Como to win match full time (68% / 25% / 7%).

Como holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Como 1.41 — 0.62 Parma. H2H (4 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Como. Como home form +1; Parma away form -0.53.

First-half lean: Level. Without Jesus Rodriguez, Como's full-time attack is trimmed.