Atalanta
v
Parma

Serie A · Mon 2 Nov · 21:45 · Referee: Valerio Crezzini

Head-to-head — last 5 at Atalanta (home)

L 2026-11-02 Atalanta 0–3 Parma
W 2026-01-25 Atalanta 4–0 Parma
L 2025-05-25 Atalanta 2–3 Parma
W 2021-01-06 Atalanta 3–0 Parma
W 2020-01-06 Atalanta 5–0 Parma
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.14 → Atalanta (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AMonza
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
HParma
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-29
AFiorentina
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HFrosinone
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AMilan
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
HVenezia
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HCagliari
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HCagliari
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ARoma
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HBologna
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HSassuolo
W
2–1
4–4
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HSassuolo
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-22
AFiorentina
D
1–1
3–3
2–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBologna
L
0–1
2–5
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HBologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
AAtalanta
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HUdinese
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
ALazio
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
HTorino
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AInter
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HGenoa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AComo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AComo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HMonza
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
3–2
0–2
0–0
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HSassuolo
W
1–0
1–1
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-02
HParma
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-01-25
HParma
W
4–0
6–9
1–0
0–0
2025-08-30
AParma
D
1–1
2–1
2–2
0–0
2025-05-25
HParma
L
2–3
5–6
1–1
0–0
2024-11-23
AParma
W
3–1
5–2
2–0
0–0
2021-05-09
AParma
W
5–2
3–1
1–1
0–0
2021-01-06
HParma
W
3–0
12–3
1–1
0–0
2020-07-28
AParma
W
2–1
3–3
1–2
0–0
2020-01-06
HParma
W
5–0
2–2
2–4
0–0
2019-03-31
AParma
W
3–1
6–4
1–1
0–0
2018-10-27
HParma
W
3–0
6–6
0–2
0–0
2015-03-08
AParma
D
0–0
4–5
2–1
0–1
2014-10-19
HParma
W
1–0
3–1
2–3
0–0
2014-02-16
HParma
L
0–4
8–4
2–4
0–0
2013-09-25
AParma
L
3–4
4–3
4–3
0–1

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Atalanta
Parma
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.5
1.7
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.4
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Atalanta
Parma
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.7
1.9
Yellow cards (est.)
1.1
0.8
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Atalanta
65%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Parma
9%
Atalanta at home
Expected goals: 1.23
Conceded goals: 0.77
Parma away
Expected goals: 0.63
Conceded goals: 1.16
Projected for this match: Atalanta 1.36 — 0.74 Parma
Expected goals: Atalanta 1.36 — 0.74 Parma

Likely scores

1-016.4%
0-012.7%
1-112.7%

Goals markets

Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516%
BTTS39.1%

Corners (90 min)

Atalanta5.2
Parma3.6

Yellow cards (90 min)

Atalanta1.5
Parma1.2
1H total0.9
2H total1.9

Second half

Atalanta
37%
Level
39%
Parma
24%
Expected 2H goals Atalanta 0.78 — 0.57 Parma

2H corners split

Expected total4.6
Atalanta2.7
Parma1.9

2H yellow cards split

Expected total1.9
Atalanta1.1
Parma0.8
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Atalanta
31%
1H · Draw
52%
1H · Parma
17%
Expected 1H goals Atalanta 0.5 — 0.3 Parma · Over 0.5: Over (55%) · Over 1.5: Under (19%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.2
Atalanta2.5
Parma1.7
O/U 4.5Under · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total0.9
Atalanta0.5
Parma0.4
O/U 1.5Under · 77%
2H expected total1.9
Atalanta 2H1.1
Parma 2H0.8

Berat Djimsiti (0.17 xG) is Atalanta's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Gabriel Strefezza (0.25 xG) is Parma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Atalanta · 5 listed

Gianluca Gaetanodoubt
1 · Groin
Raoul Bellanovadoubt
1 · Thigh
Giacomo Raspadoridoubt
1 · Thigh
Odilon Kossounoudoubt
1 · Thigh
Isak Hieninjury
1 · Thigh

Parma · 4 listed

Abdoulaye N'Diayesuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
David Romerodoubt
1 · Shoulder
Adrian Bernabedoubt
1 · Muscle
Lautaro Valentisuspension
1 · Banned by club

Match analysis

Atalanta vs Parma (Serie A). Model call: Atalanta to win match full time (65% / 26% / 9%).

Atalanta holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Atalanta 1.36 — 0.74 Parma. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Atalanta. Atalanta home form +0.46; Parma away form -0.53.

First-half lean: No bet.