Crystal Palace
v
Nott'm Forest

Premier League · Sun 11 Oct · 15:00 · Referee: Peter Bankes

Head-to-head — last 5 at Crystal Palace (home)

W 2026-10-11 Crystal Palace 3–1 Nott'm Forest
D 2025-08-24 Crystal Palace 1–1 Nott'm Forest
D 2025-05-05 Crystal Palace 1–1 Nott'm Forest
D 2023-10-07 Crystal Palace 0–0 Nott'm Forest
D 2023-05-28 Crystal Palace 1–1 Nott'm Forest
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Nott'm Forest (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HLiverpool
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ATottenham
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HNewcastle
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ABrighton
L
0–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HNott'm Forest
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
ALeeds
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HIpswich
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HIpswich
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AFulham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HMan City
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HMan City
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AEverton
L
0–2
0–4
1–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AEverton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HArsenal
L
1–2
3–4
0–1
0–0
2026-05-17
ABrentford
D
2–2
4–9
3–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HMan City
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABrentford
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
AIpswich
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ACrystal Palace
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HCoventry
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAston Villa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAston Villa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HTottenham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ALiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ALiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HLeeds
L
0–1
3–2
2–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HLeeds
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HBournemouth
D
1–1
6–3
1–1
0–0
2026-05-17
AMan United
L
2–3
6–7
1–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-11
HNott'm Forest
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-02-01
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
7–5
3–1
0–0
2025-08-24
HNott'm Forest
D
1–1
1–3
3–3
0–0
2025-05-05
HNott'm Forest
D
1–1
7–4
3–8
0–0
2024-10-21
ANott'm Forest
L
0–1
6–6
3–2
0–0
2024-03-30
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
6–4
1–1
0–0
2023-10-07
HNott'm Forest
D
0–0
3–7
0–1
0–0
2023-05-28
HNott'm Forest
D
1–1
5–4
0–2
0–0
2022-11-12
ANott'm Forest
L
0–1
5–1
4–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Crystal Palace
Nott'm Forest
Possession %
45
41
xG
0.66
0.56
Shots
5.1
4.8
On target
1.7
2.2
Off target
2.1
1.4
Corners
1.5
3.2
Yellow cards
0.5
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Crystal Palace — higher 2H xG, possession and shots
Crystal Palace
Nott'm Forest
Possession %
56
41
xG
1.21
0.86
Shots
7.9
4.8
On target
2.6
2.3
Off target
2.7
1.1
Corners
2.8
1.0
Yellow cards
0.5
1.7
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Crystal Palace
24%
X · Draw
33%
2 · Nott'm Forest
43%
Crystal Palace at home
Expected goals: 1.04
Conceded goals: 1.26
Nott'm Forest away
Expected goals: 2
Conceded goals: 1.45
Projected for this match: Crystal Palace 0.98 — 1.46 Nott'm Forest
Expected goals: Crystal Palace 0.98 — 1.46 Nott'm Forest

Likely scores

1-112.9%
0-112.4%
0-29.3%

Goals markets

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS48.2%

Corners (90 min)

Crystal Palace4.2
Nott'm Forest5.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Crystal Palace1.6
Nott'm Forest1.4
1H total0.9
2H total2.1
Bankes averages 4.0 yellows a match, around the usual full-time card pace.

Second half

Crystal Palace
24%
Level
38%
Nott'm Forest
38%
Expected 2H goals Crystal Palace 0.61 — 0.84 Nott'm Forest

2H corners

Expected total5
Crystal Palace2.2
Nott'm Forest2.8

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.1
Crystal Palace1.2
Nott'm Forest0.9

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Crystal Palace
16%
1H · Draw
39%
1H · Nott'm Forest
45%
Expected 1H goals Crystal Palace 0.41 — 0.88 Nott'm Forest · Over 0.5: Over (73%) · Over 1.5: Under (37%)

1H corners

Expected total4.4
Crystal Palace2
Nott'm Forest2.4
O/U 4.5Under · 55%

1H yellow cards

Expected total0.9
Crystal Palace0.4
Nott'm Forest0.4
O/U 1.5Under · 77%
2H expected total2.1
Crystal Palace 2H1.2
Nott'm Forest 2H0.9
Bankes averages 1.6 yellows and 0.3 reds before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Bankes averages 1.6 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Without Jean-Philippe Mateta (0.26 xG), Crystal Palace's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Lorenzo Lucca (0.19 xG) is Nott'm Forest's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Crystal Palace · 5 listed

Jean-Philippe Matetasuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
J. Strand Larsendoubt
1 · Ankle
Ismaila Sarrinjury
1 · Groin
Takehiro Tomiyasuinjury
1 · Calf
Chadi Riadinjury
1 · Knee

Nott'm Forest · 2 listed

Nicolas Dominguezinjury
1 · Other
Nicolo Savonainjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Crystal Palace vs Nott'm Forest (Premier League). Model call: Nott'm Forest to win match full time (24% / 33% / 43%).

Nott'm Forest holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Crystal Palace 0.98 — 1.46 Nott'm Forest. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Nott'm Forest. Crystal Palace home form -0.21; Nott'm Forest away form +0.56.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Jean-Philippe Mateta, Crystal Palace's full-time attack is trimmed as well. Without Nicolas Dominguez, Nott'm Forest's full-time chance creation is trimmed.