Leeds
v
Newcastle

Premier League · Mon 14 Sep · 21:00 · Referee: Michael Salisbury

Head-to-head — last 5 at Leeds (home)

W 2026-09-14 Leeds 4–1 Newcastle
D 2025-08-30 Leeds 0–0 Newcastle
D 2023-05-13 Leeds 2–2 Newcastle
L 2022-01-22 Leeds 0–1 Newcastle
W 2020-12-16 Leeds 5–2 Newcastle
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Newcastle (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
2–3
1–2
0–0
2026-05-24
AWest Ham
L
0–3
4–6
3–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBrighton
W
1–0
7–8
1–0
0–0
2026-05-11
ATottenham
D
1–1
2–14
1–3
0–0
2026-05-01
HBurnley
W
3–1
5–0
4–3
0–0
2026-04-22
ABournemouth
D
2–2
1–12
0–3
0–0
2026-04-18
HWolves
W
3–0
5–6
2–1
0–0
2026-04-13
AMan United
W
2–1
4–11
2–3
0–1
2026-03-21
HBrentford
D
0–0
6–2
2–0
0–0
2026-03-15
ACrystal Palace
D
0–0
3–8
1–2
1–0
2026-03-03
HSunderland
L
0–1
9–2
1–3
0–0
2026-02-28
HMan City
L
0–1
5–3
0–3
0–0
2026-02-21
AAston Villa
D
1–1
2–7
4–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
ALeeds
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ATottenham
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HLiverpool
D
2–2
2–6
5–3
0–0
2026-05-24
AFulham
L
0–2
6–6
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HWest Ham
W
3–1
9–1
1–3
0–0
2026-05-10
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
1–2
0–2
0–0
2026-05-02
HBrighton
W
3–1
2–10
3–3
0–0
2026-04-25
AArsenal
L
0–1
2–7
2–2
0–0
2026-04-18
HBournemouth
L
1–2
2–3
2–4
0–0
2026-04-12
ACrystal Palace
L
1–2
4–2
3–0
0–0
2026-03-22
HSunderland
L
1–2
9–5
1–6
0–0
2026-03-14
AChelsea
W
1–0
1–8
2–2
0–0
2026-03-04
HMan United
W
2–1
2–4
2–3
1–0
2026-02-28
HEverton
L
2–3
7–2
2–3
0–0
2026-02-21
AMan City
L
1–2
5–5
5–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-01-07
ANewcastle
L
3–4
4–8
2–3
0–0
2025-08-30
HNewcastle
D
0–0
5–5
1–1
0–0
2023-05-13
HNewcastle
D
2–2
2–6
3–2
1–0
2022-12-31
ANewcastle
D
0–0
3–9
5–3
0–0
2022-01-22
HNewcastle
L
0–1
6–7
4–2
0–0
2021-09-17
ANewcastle
D
1–1
5–4
2–2
0–0
2021-01-26
ANewcastle
W
2–1
5–9
3–1
0–0
2020-12-16
HNewcastle
W
5–2
7–4
3–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Leeds — higher 1H xG, shots and corners
Leeds
Newcastle
Possession %
51
52
xG
0.84
0.50
Shots
6.7
4.9
On target
1.9
1.8
Off target
2.6
1.8
Corners
3.1
2.0
Yellow cards
0.8
0.1
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Leeds — higher 2H xG, SOT and shots
Leeds
Newcastle
Possession %
46
54
xG
0.93
0.51
Shots
7.3
6.3
On target
2.5
1.9
Off target
2.4
2.0
Corners
2.9
2.1
Yellow cards
1.1
1.8
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Leeds
45%
X · Draw
32%
2 · Newcastle
23%
Leeds at home
Expected goals: 1.51
Conceded goals: 0.95
Newcastle away
Expected goals: 0.83
Conceded goals: 1.38
Projected for this match: Leeds 1.38 — 1.22 Newcastle
Expected goals: Leeds 1.38 — 1.22 Newcastle

Likely scores

1-112.9%
1-09.9%
0-18.7%

Goals markets

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS53.1%

Corners (90 min)

Leeds4.4
Newcastle5.6

Yellow cards (90 min)

Leeds2.2
Newcastle2
1H total1.1
2H total3.1
Salisbury averages 3.9 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Leeds
36%
Level
35%
Newcastle
29%
Expected 2H goals Leeds 0.91 — 0.78 Newcastle

2H corners

Expected total5.1
Leeds1.9
Newcastle3.1

2H yellow cards

Expected total3.1
Leeds1.6
Newcastle1.5

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Leeds
27%
1H · Draw
48%
1H · Newcastle
25%
Expected 1H goals Leeds 0.49 — 0.46 Newcastle · Over 0.5: Over (61%) · Over 1.5: Under (25%)

1H corners

Expected total4.9
Leeds2.4
Newcastle2.4
O/U 4.5Over · 54%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.1
Leeds0.6
Newcastle0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total3.1
Leeds 2H1.6
Newcastle 2H1.5
Salisbury averages 1.7 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Salisbury averages 2.1 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (0.26 xG) is Leeds' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Nick Woltemade (0.31 xG) is Newcastle's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Leeds · 2 listed

Joe Rodoninjury
1 · Thigh
Mateo Josephinjury
1 · Ankle

Newcastle · 3 listed

Joelintoninjury
1 · Groin
William Osulainjury
1 · Ankle
Daniel Burninjury
1 · Ankle

Match analysis

Leeds vs Newcastle (Premier League). Model call: Leeds to win match full time (45% / 32% / 23%).

Leeds holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Leeds 1.38 — 1.22 Newcastle. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Newcastle. Leeds home form +0.56; Newcastle away form -0.55.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Mateo Joseph, Leeds' full-time attack is trimmed. Without Joelinton, Newcastle's full-time chance creation is trimmed.