Interv
Monza
Serie A · Sat 22 Aug · 18:30 · Referee: Livio Marinelli
Head-to-head — last 4 at Inter (home)
W
2026-08-22
Inter 4–1 Monza
W
2025-03-08
Inter 3–2 Monza
W
2023-08-19
Inter 2–0 Monza
L
2023-04-15
Inter 0–1 Monza
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.28 → Inter (5 meetings on file)
Last Matches
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
HUdinese
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACagliari
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HMonza
W
4–1
3–3
2–2
0–0
2026-05-23
ABologna
D
3–3
4–1
2–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HVerona
D
1–1
10–2
0–2
0–0
2026-05-09
ALazio
W
3–0
1–5
1–2
0–1
2026-05-03
HParma
W
2–0
8–3
1–0
0–0
2026-04-26
ATorino
D
2–2
5–5
2–1
0–0
2026-04-17
HCagliari
W
3–0
4–9
0–2
0–0
2026-04-12
AComo
W
4–3
1–1
7–3
0–0
2026-04-05
HRoma
W
5–2
7–4
0–1
0–0
2026-03-22
AFiorentina
D
1–1
5–3
3–3
0–0
2026-03-14
HAtalanta
D
1–1
2–3
2–2
0–0
2026-03-08
AMilan
L
0–1
6–1
2–2
0–0
2026-02-28
HGenoa
W
2–0
10–2
2–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
ALecce
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HUdinese
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AInter
L
1–4
3–3
2–2
0–0
2025-05-24
AMilan
L
0–2
6–4
1–0
0–0
2025-05-18
HEmpoli
L
1–3
2–6
0–1
0–0
2025-05-11
AUdinese
W
2–1
0–7
3–2
0–0
2025-05-04
HAtalanta
L
0–4
3–7
1–2
0–0
2025-04-27
AJuventus
L
0–2
5–0
3–3
0–1
2025-04-19
HNapoli
L
0–1
6–7
4–2
0–0
2025-04-12
AVenezia
L
0–1
4–3
3–5
0–1
2025-04-05
HComo
L
1–3
2–2
2–1
0–0
2025-03-30
ACagliari
L
0–3
6–4
2–2
0–0
2025-03-15
HParma
D
1–1
6–3
0–3
0–0
2025-03-08
AInter
L
2–3
1–13
1–0
0–0
2025-03-02
HTorino
L
0–2
1–4
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-22
HMonza
W
4–1
3–3
2–2
0–0
2025-03-08
HMonza
W
3–2
13–1
0–1
0–0
2024-09-15
AMonza
D
1–1
8–1
2–1
0–0
2024-01-13
AMonza
W
5–1
5–4
2–2
0–0
2023-08-19
HMonza
W
2–0
8–3
1–1
0–0
2023-04-15
HMonza
L
0–1
5–2
2–2
0–0
2023-01-07
AMonza
D
2–2
5–3
3–0
0–0
Venue tag: H = home, A = away.
Period stats — 1H / 2H
Too close to call
Inter
MonzaPossession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.4
1.6
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Inter
MonzaPossession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.6
1.7
Yellow cards (est.)
1.2
1.2
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Full-time call
BET · HOME (88.2%)
1 · Inter
88%
X · Draw
7%
2 · Monza
5%
Inter at home
Expected goals: 2.71
Conceded goals: 0.86
Monza away
Expected goals: 0.72
Conceded goals: 2.37
Projected for this match: Inter 2.73 — 0.78 Monza
Expected goals: Inter 2.73 — 0.78 Monza
Likely scores
2-011.2%
3-010.2%
2-18.7%
Goals markets
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.568%
Over 3.546.4%
BTTS50.6%
Corners (90 min)
Inter5
Monza3.3
Yellow cards (90 min)
Inter1.7
Monza1.7
1H total1.1
2H total2.3
Second half
Inter
69%
Level
23%
Monza
8%
2H corners split
Expected total4.3
Inter2.6
Monza1.7
2H yellow cards split
Expected total2.3
Inter1.2
Monza1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1
First half
Inter lead medium confidence
1H · Inter
41%
1H · Draw
40%
1H · Monza
19%
1H corners split
Expected total4
Inter2.4
Monza1.6
O/U 3.5Over · 57%
1H yellow cards split
Expected total1.1
Inter0.5
Monza0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.3
Inter 2H1.2
Monza 2H1.2
Marcus Thuram (0.42 xG) is Inter's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Squad availability
Inter · 1 listed
Djed Spencedoubt
Monza · 2 listed
Patrick Ciurriadoubt
Matteo Pessinainjury
Match analysis
Inter vs Monza (Serie A). Model call: Inter to win match full time (88% / 7% / 5%).
Inter holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Inter 2.73 — 0.78 Monza. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Inter. Inter home form +1.85; Monza away form -1.65.
First-half lean: Inter lead. Without Matteo Pessina, Monza's full-time chance creation is trimmed.