Udinese
v
Milan

Serie A · Sun 25 Oct · 21:45 · Referee: Matteo Marcenaro

Head-to-head — last 5 at Udinese (home)

L 2026-10-25 Udinese 0–2 Milan
L 2025-09-20 Udinese 0–3 Milan
L 2025-04-11 Udinese 0–4 Milan
L 2024-01-20 Udinese 2–3 Milan
W 2023-03-18 Udinese 3–1 Milan
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.21 → Milan (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-06
AVenezia
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HRoma
L
2–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
AParma
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HMilan
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HLecce
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
ATorino
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HCagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AInter
L
3–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AInter
L
3–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HLazio
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HLazio
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AMonza
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AMonza
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HComo
D
1–1
1–10
3–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HComo
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AGenoa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HInter
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HBologna
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AUdinese
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HAtalanta
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ASassuolo
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLecce
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AJuventus
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
4–2
1–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HCagliari
L
1–2
5–5
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-25
HMilan
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-04-11
AMilan
W
3–0
3–4
1–1
0–0
2025-09-20
HMilan
L
0–3
1–4
2–0
0–0
2025-04-11
HMilan
L
0–4
5–7
1–1
0–0
2024-10-19
AMilan
L
0–1
4–8
3–2
0–1
2024-01-20
HMilan
L
2–3
5–7
6–1
0–0
2023-11-04
AMilan
W
1–0
5–11
2–1
0–0
2023-03-18
HMilan
W
3–1
5–6
4–2
0–0
2022-08-13
AMilan
L
2–4
1–5
4–1
0–0
2022-02-25
AMilan
D
1–1
4–5
4–2
0–0
2021-12-11
HMilan
D
1–1
3–5
2–2
1–0
2021-03-03
AMilan
D
1–1
2–7
1–4
0–0
2020-11-01
HMilan
L
1–2
2–4
2–2
0–0
2020-01-19
AMilan
L
2–3
3–9
1–5
0–0
2019-08-25
HMilan
W
1–0
9–4
1–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Udinese
Milan
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.8
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Udinese
Milan
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.0
2.4
Yellow cards (est.)
1.3
1.1
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Udinese
32%
X · Draw
36%
2 · Milan
32%
Udinese at home
Expected goals: 0.87
Conceded goals: 0.88
Milan away
Expected goals: 1.38
Conceded goals: 0.85
Projected for this match: Udinese 1.11 — 1.22 Milan
Expected goals: Udinese 1.11 — 1.22 Milan

Likely scores

1-113.6%
0-111.4%
1-010.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.568%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS47.7%

Corners (90 min)

Udinese3.8
Milan4.5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Udinese2
Milan1.6
1H total1.1
2H total2.4

Second half

Udinese
29%
Level
39%
Milan
32%
Expected 2H goals Udinese 0.68 — 0.72 Milan

2H corners split

Expected total4.3
Udinese2
Milan2.4

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.4
Udinese1.3
Milan1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Udinese
33%
1H · Draw
50%
1H · Milan
17%
Expected 1H goals Udinese 0.55 — 0.31 Milan · Over 0.5: Over (58%) · Over 1.5: Under (22%)

1H corners split

Expected total4
Udinese1.8
Milan2.2
O/U 3.5Over · 57%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Udinese0.6
Milan0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.4
Udinese 2H1.3
Milan 2H1.1

Kingsley Ehizibue (0.44 xG) is Udinese's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Santiago Giménez (0.17 xG), Milan's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Udinese · 3 listed

Hassane Kamarasuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Alessandro Zanolidoubt
1 · Other
Idrissa Gueyeinjury
1 · Ankle

Milan · 7 listed

Santiago Gimenezsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Strahinja Pavlovicdoubt
1 · Physical discom
Samuel Chukwuezeinjury
1 · Hip
Fikayo Tomoriinjury
1 · Hamstring
Ruben Loftus-Cheekdoubt
1 · Thigh
Matteo Gabbiainjury
1 · Other
Pietro Terraccianodoubt
1 · Shoulder

Match analysis

Udinese vs Milan (Serie A). Model call: Draw (32% / 36% / 32%).

Milan holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Udinese 1.11 — 1.22 Milan. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Milan. Udinese home form -0.01; Milan away form +0.53.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Hassane Kamara, Udinese's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Santiago Gimenez, Milan's full-time attack is trimmed as well.