Torino
v
Milan

Serie A · Sun 23 Aug · 20:45 · Referee: Luca Zufferli

Head-to-head — last 5 at Torino (home)

L 2026-08-23 Torino 1–2 Milan
L 2025-12-08 Torino 2–3 Milan
W 2025-02-22 Torino 2–1 Milan
W 2024-05-18 Torino 3–1 Milan
W 2022-10-30 Torino 2–1 Milan
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Milan (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HLecce
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
AFrosinone
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
HComo
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
HMonza
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
AParma
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
HUdinese
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ABologna
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HRoma
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HRoma
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AFiorentina
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ASassuolo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ASassuolo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HMilan
L
1–2
2–4
0–1
0–0
2026-08-23
HMilan
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HJuventus
D
2–2
6–6
1–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AGenoa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HInter
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HBologna
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AUdinese
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HAtalanta
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ASassuolo
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLecce
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AJuventus
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
4–2
1–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HCagliari
L
1–2
5–5
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-23
HMilan
L
1–2
2–4
0–1
0–0
2026-03-21
AMilan
L
2–3
6–4
1–3
0–0
2025-12-08
HMilan
L
2–3
2–4
2–1
0–0
2025-02-22
HMilan
W
2–1
4–11
1–1
0–0
2024-08-17
AMilan
D
2–2
2–9
4–2
0–0
2024-05-18
HMilan
W
3–1
3–8
1–1
0–0
2023-08-26
AMilan
L
1–4
1–2
3–2
0–0
2023-02-10
AMilan
L
0–1
8–3
4–1
0–0
2022-10-30
HMilan
W
2–1
6–1
5–2
0–0
2022-04-10
HMilan
D
0–0
6–5
2–2
0–0
2021-10-26
AMilan
L
0–1
5–2
3–3
0–0
2021-05-12
HMilan
L
0–7
2–3
2–1
0–0
2021-01-09
AMilan
L
0–2
5–7
2–6
0–0
2020-02-17
AMilan
L
0–1
5–9
3–3
0–0
2019-09-26
HMilan
W
2–1
3–5
4–5
0–1

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Torino
Milan
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.7
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Torino
Milan
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.8
2.3
Yellow cards (est.)
1.2
1.1
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Torino
25%
X · Draw
32%
2 · Milan
43%
Torino at home
Expected goals: 1.63
Conceded goals: 1.52
Milan away
Expected goals: 1.38
Conceded goals: 0.85
Projected for this match: Torino 1.18 — 1.48 Milan
Expected goals: Torino 1.18 — 1.48 Milan

Likely scores

1-112.6%
0-110%
1-29%

Goals markets

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS53.7%

Corners (90 min)

Torino3.5
Milan4.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Torino1.8
Milan1.7
1H total1.1
2H total2.3

Second half

Torino
32%
Level
34%
Milan
34%
Expected 2H goals Torino 0.86 — 0.89 Milan

2H corners split

Expected total4.1
Torino1.8
Milan2.3

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.3
Torino1.2
Milan1.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Torino
23%
1H · Draw
48%
1H · Milan
29%
Expected 1H goals Torino 0.44 — 0.52 Milan · Over 0.5: Over (62%) · Over 1.5: Under (25%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.8
Torino1.7
Milan2.1
O/U 3.5Over · 53%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Torino0.6
Milan0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.3
Torino 2H1.2
Milan 2H1.1

Alieu Njie (0.37 xG) is Torino's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Santiago Giménez (0.17 xG), Milan's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Torino · 3 listed

Niccolo Fortinidoubt
1 · Thigh
Luca Marianuccisuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Franco Israelinjury
1 · Shoulder

Milan · 7 listed

Santiago Gimenezsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Strahinja Pavlovicdoubt
1 · Physical discom
Samuel Chukwuezeinjury
1 · Hip
Fikayo Tomoriinjury
1 · Hamstring
Ruben Loftus-Cheekdoubt
1 · Thigh
Matteo Gabbiainjury
1 · Other
Pietro Terraccianodoubt
1 · Shoulder

Match analysis

Torino vs Milan (Serie A). Model call: Milan to win match full time (25% / 32% / 43%).

Milan holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Torino 1.18 — 1.48 Milan. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Milan. Torino home form +0.11; Milan away form +0.53.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Santiago Gimenez, Milan's full-time attack is trimmed as well.