Sassuolo
v
Milan

Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 18:00 · Referee: Francesco Fourneau

Head-to-head — last 5 at Sassuolo (home)

D 2026-10-11 Sassuolo 1–1 Milan
W 2026-05-03 Sassuolo 2–0 Milan
D 2024-04-14 Sassuolo 3–3 Milan
D 2022-08-30 Sassuolo 0–0 Milan
L 2022-05-22 Sassuolo 0–3 Milan
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Sassuolo (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
ARoma
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
HFiorentina
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
HLazio
L
2–6
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AComo
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-16
AFrosinone
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HMilan
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
AMonza
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HJuventus
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HJuventus
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
ABologna
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HTorino
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HTorino
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AAtalanta
L
1–2
4–4
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AAtalanta
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AParma
L
0–1
1–1
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AGenoa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HInter
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HBologna
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AUdinese
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HAtalanta
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ASassuolo
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLecce
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AJuventus
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
4–2
1–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HCagliari
L
1–2
5–5
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-11
HMilan
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-03
HMilan
W
2–0
2–3
4–4
0–1
2025-12-14
AMilan
D
2–2
3–7
3–1
0–0
2024-04-14
HMilan
D
3–3
2–6
3–1
0–0
2023-12-30
AMilan
L
0–1
5–6
1–0
0–0
2023-01-29
AMilan
W
5–2
3–2
4–7
0–0
2022-08-30
HMilan
D
0–0
3–8
5–2
0–0
2022-05-22
HMilan
L
0–3
3–7
2–1
0–0
2021-11-28
AMilan
W
3–1
6–7
2–4
0–1
2021-04-21
AMilan
W
2–1
7–3
1–0
0–0
2020-12-20
HMilan
L
1–2
6–4
1–3
0–0
2020-07-21
HMilan
L
1–2
5–3
3–4
1–0
2019-12-15
AMilan
D
0–0
3–8
4–5
0–0
2019-03-02
AMilan
L
0–1
6–6
0–3
1–0
2018-09-30
HMilan
L
1–4
9–5
1–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Sassuolo
Milan
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.7
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Sassuolo
Milan
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.9
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
1.3
1.4
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Sassuolo
29%
X · Draw
34%
2 · Milan
37%
Sassuolo at home
Expected goals: 1.47
Conceded goals: 1.39
Milan away
Expected goals: 1.38
Conceded goals: 0.85
Projected for this match: Sassuolo 1.15 — 1.44 Milan
Expected goals: Sassuolo 1.15 — 1.44 Milan

Likely scores

1-112.8%
0-110.4%
1-28.9%

Goals markets

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS52.6%

Corners (90 min)

Sassuolo3.6
Milan4.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Sassuolo1.9
Milan2
1H total1.3
2H total2.7

Second half

Sassuolo
28%
Level
38%
Milan
34%
Expected 2H goals Sassuolo 0.7 — 0.8 Milan

2H corners split

Expected total4.1
Sassuolo1.9
Milan2.2

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.7
Sassuolo1.3
Milan1.4
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Sassuolo
28%
1H · Draw
46%
1H · Milan
26%
Expected 1H goals Sassuolo 0.52 — 0.5 Milan · Over 0.5: Over (64%) · Over 1.5: Under (27%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.8
Sassuolo1.7
Milan2.1
O/U 3.5Over · 53%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.3
Sassuolo0.6
Milan0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 63%
2H expected total2.7
Sassuolo 2H1.3
Milan 2H1.4
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Tommaso Macchioni (0.43 xG) is Sassuolo's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Santiago Giménez (0.17 xG), Milan's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Sassuolo · 5 listed

Jay Idzessuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Domenico Berardidoubt
1 · Other
Cristian Volpatodoubt
1 · Muscle
Daniel Bolocadoubt
1 · Knee
Ismael Koneinjury
1 · Lower leg

Milan · 7 listed

Santiago Gimenezsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Strahinja Pavlovicdoubt
1 · Physical discom
Samuel Chukwuezeinjury
1 · Hip
Fikayo Tomoriinjury
1 · Hamstring
Ruben Loftus-Cheekdoubt
1 · Thigh
Matteo Gabbiainjury
1 · Other
Pietro Terraccianodoubt
1 · Shoulder

Match analysis

Sassuolo vs Milan (Serie A). Model call: Milan to win match full time (29% / 34% / 37%).

Milan holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Sassuolo 1.15 — 1.44 Milan. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Sassuolo. Sassuolo home form +0.08; Milan away form +0.53.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Jay Idzes, Sassuolo's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Santiago Gimenez, Milan's full-time attack is trimmed as well.