Liverpool
v
Man City

Premier League · Sun 11 Oct · 17:30 · Referee: Chris Kavanagh

Head-to-head — last 5 at Liverpool (home)

L 2026-10-11 Liverpool 0–3 Man City
L 2026-02-08 Liverpool 1–2 Man City
W 2024-12-01 Liverpool 2–0 Man City
D 2024-03-10 Liverpool 1–1 Man City
W 2022-10-16 Liverpool 1–0 Man City
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Liverpool (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ACrystal Palace
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBrighton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ABrentford
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HMan City
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
ABournemouth
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFulham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFulham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
AIpswich
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNott'm Forest
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNott'm Forest
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ANewcastle
D
2–2
6–2
3–5
0–0
2026-08-23
ANewcastle
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HBrentford
D
1–1
14–2
2–3
0–0
2026-05-15
AAston Villa
L
2–4
9–4
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
ANott'm Forest
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HBrighton
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AAston Villa
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HIpswich
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ALiverpool
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HSunderland
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
AMan United
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
AMan United
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HCoventry
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ACrystal Palace
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ACrystal Palace
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HBournemouth
W
2–1
8–3
1–2
0–0
2026-08-23
HBournemouth
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HAston Villa
L
1–2
9–4
1–0
0–0
2026-05-19
ABournemouth
D
1–1
6–7
2–4
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-11
HMan City
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-02-08
HMan City
L
1–2
5–4
2–4
1–0
2025-11-09
AMan City
L
0–3
7–7
4–2
0–0
2025-02-23
AMan City
W
2–0
5–7
0–0
0–0
2024-12-01
HMan City
W
2–0
7–4
1–3
0–0
2024-03-10
HMan City
D
1–1
7–4
0–3
0–0
2023-11-25
AMan City
D
1–1
6–9
3–1
0–0
2023-04-01
AMan City
L
1–4
1–7
1–1
0–0
2022-10-16
HMan City
W
1–0
5–6
3–1
0–0
2022-04-10
AMan City
D
2–2
1–4
4–1
0–0
2021-10-03
HMan City
D
2–2
3–4
3–3
0–0
2021-02-07
HMan City
L
1–4
6–1
2–1
0–0
2020-11-08
AMan City
D
1–1
2–1
1–3
0–0
2020-07-02
AMan City
L
0–4
3–3
2–2
0–0
2019-11-10
HMan City
W
3–1
4–13
0–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Man City — higher 1H possession
Liverpool
Man City
Possession %
57
67
xG
0.87
0.87
Shots
8.3
7.6
On target
2.8
2.7
Off target
2.4
2.1
Corners
3.8
4.0
Yellow cards
0.0
0.5
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Liverpool
Man City
Possession %
53
62
xG
0.97
1.06
Shots
8.1
9.4
On target
2.8
2.8
Off target
3.1
3.3
Corners
3.9
4.6
Yellow cards
1.3
1.1
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Liverpool
30%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Man City
42%
Liverpool at home
Expected goals: 1.8
Conceded goals: 1.02
Man City away
Expected goals: 1.67
Conceded goals: 1.08
Projected for this match: Liverpool 1.34 — 1.73 Man City
Expected goals: Liverpool 1.34 — 1.73 Man City

Likely scores

1-111.1%
1-29.3%
0-17.7%

Goals markets

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
BTTS61.1%

Corners (90 min)

Liverpool5.5
Man City5.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Liverpool1.9
Man City2.2
1H total1.1
2H total3
Kavanagh averages 3.5 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Liverpool
29%
Level
32%
Man City
39%
Expected 2H goals Liverpool 0.86 — 1.06 Man City

2H corners

Expected total5.8
Liverpool2.9
Man City2.9

2H yellow cards

Expected total3
Liverpool1.4
Man City1.6

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Liverpool
23%
1H · Draw
42%
1H · Man City
35%
Expected 1H goals Liverpool 0.5 — 0.7 Man City · Over 0.5: Over (70%) · Over 1.5: Under (34%)

1H corners

Expected total5.6
Liverpool2.6
Man City3
O/U 5.5Even · 49%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.1
Liverpool0.5
Man City0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total3
Liverpool 2H1.4
Man City 2H1.6
Kavanagh averages 1.4 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Kavanagh averages 2.9 yellows and 0.2 reds after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Without Hugo Ekitike (0.24 xG), Liverpool's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Erling Haaland (0.44 xG) is Man City's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Liverpool · 7 listed

Virgil van Dijkdoubt
1 · Other
Ryan Gravenberchdoubt
1 · Calf
Jeremie Frimponginjury
1 · Thigh
Conor Bradleyinjury
1 · Knee
Giovanni Leoniinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Hugo Ekitikeinjury
1 · Calf
Vitezslav Jarosinjury
1 · Other

Man City · 5 listed

Mateo Kovacicsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Abdukodir Khusanovdoubt
1 · Other
Marc Guehidoubt
1 · Hip
Jack Grealishsuspension
1 · Banned by club
Antoine Semenyoinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Liverpool vs Man City (Premier League). Model call: Man City to win match full time (30% / 28% / 42%).

Man City holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Liverpool 1.34 — 1.73 Man City. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Liverpool. Liverpool home form +0.79; Man City away form +0.6.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Hugo Ekitike, Liverpool's full-time attack is trimmed as well. Without Mateo Kovacic, Man City's full-time chance creation is trimmed.