Celta
v
Malaga

La Liga · Sun 13 Sep · 14:00 · Referee: Carlos Muñiz Muñoz

Head-to-head — last 5 at Celta (home)

D 2026-09-13 Celta 1–1 Malaga
D 2018-03-18 Celta 0–0 Malaga
W 2017-01-08 Celta 3–1 Malaga
W 2016-05-08 Celta 1–0 Malaga
W 2015-04-29 Celta 1–0 Malaga
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Celta (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HLevante
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AVallecano
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBetis
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HAlaves
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
AElche
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HSantander
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AGetafe
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AGetafe
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-03
ASociedad
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HAth Bilbao
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HAth Bilbao
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-27
HOsasuna
L
1–2
5–3
0–1
1–0
2026-08-27
HOsasuna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HSantander
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABetis
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
AAlaves
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSociedad
L
2–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-09
HEspanol
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AGetafe
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-17
HVillarreal
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACelta
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACelta
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HLevante
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AReal Madrid
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AReal Madrid
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
HLa Coruna
D
1–1
7–4
1–4
0–0
2026-08-24
HLa Coruna
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-19
AAth Madrid
L
0–2
1–6
3–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2018-03-18
HMalaga
D
0–0
4–5
3–2
0–0
2017-10-29
AMalaga
L
1–2
1–4
3–2
0–0
2017-05-07
AMalaga
L
0–3
1–2
4–2
0–0
2017-01-08
HMalaga
W
3–1
2–7
1–4
0–0
2016-05-08
HMalaga
W
1–0
4–3
0–2
0–0
2016-01-02
AMalaga
L
0–2
2–5
2–4
1–0
2015-04-29
HMalaga
W
1–0
3–5
2–3
0–0
2014-12-13
AMalaga
L
0–1
9–1
4–5
0–0
2014-03-21
HMalaga
L
0–2
6–2
1–5
0–1
2013-10-26
AMalaga
W
5–0
6–5
0–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Celta
Malaga
Possession %
52
—
xG
0.40
—
Shots
5.7
—
On target
1.7
—
Off target
2.7
—
Corners (est.)
1.5
1.9
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.7
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Celta
Malaga
Possession %
59
—
xG
1.17
—
Shots
7.7
—
On target
2.8
—
Off target
3.3
—
Corners (est.)
2.5
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
0.0
1.4
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Celta
51%
X · Draw
34%
2 · Malaga
15%
Celta at home
Expected goals: 1.6
Conceded goals: 1.63
Malaga away
Expected goals: 0.57
Conceded goals: 1.9
Projected for this match: Celta 1.24 — 0.88 Malaga
Expected goals: Celta 1.24 — 0.88 Malaga

Likely scores

1-014.5%
1-113.5%
0-012.3%

Goals markets

Over 1.563%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
BTTS42.1%

Corners (90 min)

Celta4.4
Malaga4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Celta1.7
Malaga2.1
1H total1.2
2H total2.6

Second half

Celta
38%
Level
41%
Malaga
21%
Expected 2H goals Celta 0.76 — 0.48 Malaga

2H corners split

Expected total4.3
Celta2.3
Malaga2.1

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.6
Celta1.2
Malaga1.4
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Celta
34%
1H · Draw
43%
1H · Malaga
23%
Expected 1H goals Celta 0.67 — 0.49 Malaga · Over 0.5: Over (69%) · Over 1.5: Under (32%)

1H corners split

Expected total4
Celta2.1
Malaga1.9
O/U 3.5Over · 57%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Celta0.6
Malaga0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.6
Celta 2H1.2
Malaga 2H1.4

Javier Rueda (0.15 xG) is Celta's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Celta · 7 listed

Ilaix Moribadoubt
1 · Knee
Manuel Sanchezdoubt
1 · Hamstring
Alvaro Nunezdoubt
1 · Groin
Borja Iglesiasdoubt
1 · Calf
Carl Starfeltdoubt
1 · Hamstring
Miguel Romandoubt
1 · Knee
Jones El-Abdellaouidoubt
1 · Knee

Malaga · 5 listed

Carlos Pugadoubt
1 · Other
Rafitadoubt
1 · Hamstring
Diego Murilloinjury
1 · Other
Julen Lobeteinjury
1 · Knee
Aaron Ochoadoubt
1 · Other

Match analysis

Celta vs Malaga (La Liga). Model call: Celta to win match full time (51% / 34% / 15%).

Celta holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Celta 1.24 — 0.88 Malaga. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Celta. Celta home form -0.04; Malaga away form -1.33.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Julen Lobete, Malaga's full-time attack is trimmed.