Ath Madrid v Malaga — Zed360 Bet

Head-to-head — last 5 at Ath Madrid (home)

W 2026-08-19 Ath Madrid 2–0 Malaga

W 2017-09-16 Ath Madrid 1–0 Malaga

W 2016-10-29 Ath Madrid 4–2 Malaga

W 2016-04-23 Ath Madrid 1–0 Malaga

W 2014-11-22 Ath Madrid 3–1 Malaga

Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.35 → Ath Madrid (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-11-08

HBarcelona

L

1–2

0–0

2026-10-31

ALevante

W

2–0

0–0

2026-10-24

HLa Coruna

W

1–0

0–0

2026-10-17

AEspanol

W

1–0

0–0

2026-10-10

AAlaves

W

2–1

0–0

2026-09-20

HReal Madrid

W

2–1

0–0

2026-09-16

HOsasuna

W

4–0

0–0

2026-09-13

ASociedad

W

3–0

0–0

2026-09-13

ASociedad

W

3–0

0–0

2026-09-05

AAth Bilbao

L

0–3

0–0

2026-08-29

ASevilla

W

3–1

0–0

2026-08-29

ASevilla

W

3–1

0–0

2026-08-23

HVillarreal

D

2–2

5–3

3–2

1–0

2026-08-23

HVillarreal

D

2–2

0–0

2026-08-19

HMalaga

W

2–0

6–1

2–3

0–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-11-07

HSantander

L

1–2

0–0

2026-10-31

ABetis

L

1–2

0–0

2026-10-23

AAlaves

D

1–1

0–0

2026-10-18

HSociedad

L

2–5

0–0

2026-10-09

HEspanol

D

1–1

0–0

2026-09-20

AGetafe

L

0–1

0–0

2026-09-17

HVillarreal

L

1–3

0–0

2026-09-13

ACelta

D

1–1

0–0

2026-09-13

ACelta

D

1–1

0–0

2026-09-06

HLevante

D

0–0

2026-08-30

AReal Madrid

L

0–4

0–0

2026-08-30

AReal Madrid

L

0–4

0–0

2026-08-24

HLa Coruna

D

1–1

7–4

1–4

0–0

2026-08-24

HLa Coruna

D

1–1

0–0

2026-08-19

AAth Madrid

L

0–2

1–6

3–2

0–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-08-19

HMalaga

W

2–0

6–1

2–3

0–0

2018-02-10

AMalaga

W

1–0

3–3

2–3

0–0

2017-09-16

HMalaga

W

1–0

8–4

2–2

0–0

2017-04-01

AMalaga

W

2–0

0–6

2–2

0–0

2016-10-29

HMalaga

W

4–2

6–2

2–4

1–1

2016-04-23

HMalaga

W

1–0

10–4

3–3

0–0

2015-12-20

AMalaga

L

0–1

1–4

4–3

1–0

2015-04-11

AMalaga

D

2–2

1–6

3–2

0–0

2014-11-22

HMalaga

W

3–1

4–3

1–3

1–1

2014-05-11

HMalaga

D

1–1

11–4

3–3

0–1

2014-01-04

AMalaga

W

1–0

8–5

6–4

0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call

Ath Madrid

Malaga

Possession %

48

—

xG

1.02

—

Shots

5.7

—

On target

2.1

—

Off target

3.1

—

Corners (est.)

2.0

Yellow cards (est.)

1.0

0.7

Red cards (est.)

0.0

Too close to call

Ath Madrid

Malaga

Possession %

46

—

xG

1.65

—

Shots

9.4

—

On target

3.4

—

Off target

3.6

—

Corners (est.)

7.0

2.2

Yellow cards (est.)

1.0

1.5

Red cards (est.)

0.0

0.1

Full-time call

BET · HOME (70.6%)

1 · Ath Madrid

70%

X · Draw

21%

2 · Malaga

9%

Ath Madrid at home

Expected goals: 1.84

Conceded goals: 0.98

Malaga away

Expected goals: 0.57

Conceded goals: 1.9

Projected for this match: Ath Madrid 1.69 — 0.89 Malaga

Expected goals: Ath Madrid 1.69 — 0.89 Malaga

Likely scores

1-012.4%

1-111.7%

2-010.8%

Goals markets

Over 1.573.3%

Over 2.547.8%

Over 3.526.1%

BTTS48.6%

Corners (90 min)

Ath Madrid5.8

Malaga4.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Ath Madrid2.1

Malaga2.2

1H total1.4

2H total2.9

Second half

Ath Madrid

47%

Level

37%

Malaga

16%

Expected 2H goals Ath Madrid 0.97 — 0.44 Malaga

2H corners split

Expected total5.2

Ath Madrid3

Malaga2.2

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.9

Ath Madrid1.4

Malaga1.5

2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

Level medium confidence

1H · Ath Madrid

30%

1H · Draw

41%

1H · Malaga

29%

Expected 1H goals Ath Madrid 0.66 — 0.64 Malaga · Over 0.5: Over (73%) · Over 1.5: Under (37%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.8

Ath Madrid2.8

Malaga2

O/U 4.5Over · 52%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.4

Ath Madrid0.7

Malaga0.7

O/U 1.5Under · 59%

2H expected total2.9

Ath Madrid 2H1.4

Malaga 2H1.5

1H reds (exp.)0.1

Without Ademola Lookman (0.53 xG), Ath Madrid's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Ath Madrid · 3 listed

Robin Le Normandsuspension

1 · Yellow cards

Ademola Lookmandoubt

1 · Calf

Cristian Romerodoubt

1 · Other

Malaga · 5 listed

Carlos Pugadoubt

1 · Other

Rafitadoubt

1 · Hamstring

Diego Murilloinjury

1 · Other

Julen Lobeteinjury

1 · Knee

Aaron Ochoadoubt

1 · Other

Match analysis

Ath Madrid vs Malaga (La Liga). Model call: Ath Madrid to win match full time (70% / 21% / 9%).

Ath Madrid holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Ath Madrid 1.69 — 0.89 Malaga. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Ath Madrid. Ath Madrid home form +0.86; Malaga away form -1.33.

First-half lean: Level. Without Julen Lobete, Malaga's full-time attack is trimmed.