Real Madrid
v
Malaga

La Liga · Sun 30 Aug · 17:00 · Referee not yet confirmed

Head-to-head — last 5 at Real Madrid (home)

W 2026-08-30 Real Madrid 4–0 Malaga
W 2017-11-25 Real Madrid 3–2 Malaga
W 2017-01-21 Real Madrid 2–1 Malaga
D 2015-09-26 Real Madrid 0–0 Malaga
W 2015-04-18 Real Madrid 3–1 Malaga
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.28 → Real Madrid (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AValencia
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ASantander
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ABarcelona
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSevilla
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AAth Madrid
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HVallecano
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HVallecano
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
ABetis
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HMalaga
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HMalaga
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-26
HSociedad
W
4–1
4–7
3–3
0–0
2026-08-26
HSociedad
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HSantander
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABetis
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
AAlaves
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSociedad
L
2–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-09
HEspanol
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AGetafe
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-17
HVillarreal
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACelta
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACelta
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HLevante
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AReal Madrid
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AReal Madrid
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
HLa Coruna
D
1–1
7–4
1–4
0–0
2026-08-24
HLa Coruna
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-19
AAth Madrid
L
0–2
1–6
3–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-30
HMalaga
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2018-04-15
AMalaga
W
2–1
7–4
0–4
0–0
2017-11-25
HMalaga
W
3–2
6–0
1–2
0–0
2017-05-21
AMalaga
W
2–0
7–9
0–2
0–0
2017-01-21
HMalaga
W
2–1
5–4
2–3
0–0
2016-02-21
AMalaga
D
1–1
6–6
2–5
0–0
2015-09-26
HMalaga
D
0–0
12–6
4–4
0–1
2015-04-18
HMalaga
W
3–1
4–3
2–2
0–0
2014-11-29
AMalaga
W
2–1
6–5
2–2
1–0
2014-03-15
AMalaga
W
1–0
6–7
0–2
0–0
2013-10-19
HMalaga
W
2–0
10–1
1–5
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Real Madrid
Malaga
Possession %
70
—
xG
0.69
—
Shots
7.6
—
On target
3.0
—
Off target
3.2
—
Corners (est.)
2.0
1.9
Yellow cards (est.)
1.1
0.8
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Real Madrid
Malaga
Possession %
69
—
xG
1.08
—
Shots
8.7
—
On target
3.9
—
Off target
2.7
—
Corners (est.)
0.9
2.0
Yellow cards (est.)
0.0
1.7
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

BET · HOME (83.3%)
1 · Real Madrid
83%
X · Draw
11%
2 · Malaga
6%
Real Madrid at home
Expected goals: 2.66
Conceded goals: 0.98
Malaga away
Expected goals: 0.57
Conceded goals: 1.9
Projected for this match: Real Madrid 2.08 — 0.7 Malaga
Expected goals: Real Madrid 2.08 — 0.7 Malaga

Likely scores

2-013.4%
1-012.6%
2-19.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS44.4%

Corners (90 min)

Real Madrid5.6
Malaga3.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Real Madrid1.8
Malaga2.5
1H total1.4
2H total2.9

Second half

Real Madrid
58%
Level
34%
Malaga
8%
Expected 2H goals Real Madrid 1.1 — 0.24 Malaga

2H corners split

Expected total4.9
Real Madrid2.9
Malaga2

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.9
Real Madrid1.2
Malaga1.7
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Real Madrid
37%
1H · Draw
39%
1H · Malaga
24%
Expected 1H goals Real Madrid 0.8 — 0.57 Malaga · Over 0.5: Over (75%) · Over 1.5: Under (40%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.6
Real Madrid2.7
Malaga1.9
O/U 4.5Even · 49%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.4
Real Madrid0.6
Malaga0.8
O/U 1.5Under · 59%
2H expected total2.9
Real Madrid 2H1.2
Malaga 2H1.7

Kylian Mbappe-Lottin (0.34 xG) is Real Madrid's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Real Madrid · 5 listed

Vinicius Juniorsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Aurelien Tchouamenidoubt
1 · Muscle
Ferland Mendydoubt
1 · Hip
Rodrygoinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Raul Asenciodoubt
1 · Lower leg

Malaga · 5 listed

Carlos Pugadoubt
1 · Other
Rafitadoubt
1 · Hamstring
Diego Murilloinjury
1 · Other
Julen Lobeteinjury
1 · Knee
Aaron Ochoadoubt
1 · Other

Match analysis

Real Madrid vs Malaga (La Liga). Model call: Real Madrid to win match full time (83% / 11% / 6%).

Real Madrid holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Real Madrid 2.08 — 0.7 Malaga. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Real Madrid. Real Madrid home form +1.68; Malaga away form -1.33.

First-half lean: Level. Without Vinicius Junior, Real Madrid's full-time attack is trimmed. Without Julen Lobete, Malaga's full-time attack is trimmed.