Real Madrid v Málaga CF

Head-to-head — last 5 at Real Madrid (home)

W 2026-08-30 Real Madrid 4–0 Malaga

W 2017-11-25 Real Madrid 3–2 Malaga

W 2017-01-21 Real Madrid 2–1 Malaga

D 2015-09-26 Real Madrid 0–0 Malaga

W 2015-04-18 Real Madrid 3–1 Malaga

Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.28 → Real Madrid (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-15

AElche

W

3–2

0–0

2026-09-12

HVallecano

W

4–1

0–0

2026-08-30

HMalaga

W

4–0

0–0

2026-08-26

HSociedad

W

4–1

4–7

3–3

0–0

2026-08-22

AEspanol

W

2–1

8–0

1–5

0–0

2026-05-23

HAth Bilbao

W

4–2

2–1

2–0

0–0

2026-05-17

ASevilla

W

1–0

4–4

0–4

0–0

2026-05-14

HOviedo

W

2–0

4–5

0–0

2026-05-10

ABarcelona

L

0–2

8–4

4–2

0–0

2026-05-03

AEspanol

W

2–0

6–5

4–3

0–0

2026-04-24

ABetis

D

1–1

6–7

2–1

0–0

2026-04-21

HAlaves

W

2–1

9–6

1–1

0–0

2026-04-10

HGirona

D

1–1

10–1

2–1

0–0

2026-04-04

AMallorca

L

1–2

4–6

2–3

0–0

2026-03-22

HAth Madrid

W

3–2

4–1

1–4

1–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-13

ACelta

D

1–1

0–0

2026-08-30

AReal Madrid

L

0–4

0–0

2026-08-24

HLa Coruna

D

1–1

7–4

1–4

0–0

2026-08-19

AAth Madrid

L

0–2

1–6

3–2

0–0

2018-05-19

HGetafe

L

0–1

2–9

4–1

0–0

2018-05-13

AEspanol

L

1–4

3–5

2–0

0–0

2018-05-06

HAlaves

L

0–3

6–7

2–1

0–0

2018-04-30

ABetis

L

1–2

4–6

4–1

0–0

2018-04-22

HSociedad

W

2–0

5–3

4–1

0–0

2018-04-19

ALevante

L

0–1

3–4

1–1

0–0

2018-04-15

HReal Madrid

L

1–2

4–7

4–0

0–0

2018-04-06

ALa Coruna

L

2–3

6–7

3–4

0–0

2018-04-01

HVillarreal

W

1–0

3–6

2–3

0–0

2018-03-18

ACelta

D

0–0

5–4

2–3

0–0

2018-03-10

HBarcelona

L

0–2

2–5

1–1

1–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-08-30

HMalaga

W

4–0

0–0

2018-04-15

AMalaga

W

2–1

7–4

0–4

0–0

2017-11-25

HMalaga

W

3–2

6–0

1–2

0–0

2017-05-21

AMalaga

W

2–0

7–9

0–2

0–0

2017-01-21

HMalaga

W

2–1

5–4

2–3

0–0

2016-02-21

AMalaga

D

1–1

6–6

2–5

0–0

2015-09-26

HMalaga

D

0–0

12–6

4–4

0–1

2015-04-18

HMalaga

W

3–1

4–3

2–2

0–0

2014-11-29

AMalaga

W

2–1

6–5

2–2

1–0

2014-03-15

AMalaga

W

1–0

6–7

0–2

0–0

2013-10-19

HMalaga

W

2–0

10–1

1–5

0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call

Real Madrid

Malaga

Possession %

70

—

xG

0.69

—

Shots

7.6

—

On target

3.0

—

Off target

3.2

—

Corners (est.)

2.0

1.9

Yellow cards (est.)

1.1

0.8

Red cards (est.)

0.0

Too close to call

Real Madrid

Malaga

Possession %

69

—

xG

1.08

—

Shots

8.7

—

On target

3.9

—

Off target

2.7

—

Corners (est.)

0.9

2.0

Yellow cards (est.)

0.0

1.7

Red cards (est.)

0.0

Full-time call

BET · HOME (83.8%)

1 · Real Madrid

84%

X · Draw

11%

2 · Malaga

5%

Real Madrid at home

Expected goals: 2.66

Conceded goals: 0.98

Malaga away

Expected goals: 0.57

Conceded goals: 1.9

Projected for this match: Real Madrid 2.12 — 0.69 Malaga

Expected goals: Real Madrid 2.12 — 0.69 Malaga

Likely scores

2-013.5%

1-012.5%

3-09.6%

Goals markets

Over 1.577.3%

Over 2.553.2%

Over 3.530.9%

BTTS44.1%

Corners (90 min)

Real Madrid5.6

Malaga3.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Real Madrid1.8

Malaga2.5

1H total1.4

2H total2.9

Second half

Real Madrid

58%

Level

34%

Malaga

8%

Expected 2H goals Real Madrid 1.1 — 0.24 Malaga

2H corners split

Expected total4.9

Real Madrid2.9

Malaga2

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.9

Real Madrid1.2

Malaga1.7

2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

Level medium confidence

1H · Real Madrid

37%

1H · Draw

39%

1H · Malaga

24%

Expected 1H goals Real Madrid 0.8 — 0.57 Malaga · Over 0.5: Over (75%) · Over 1.5: Under (40%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.6

Real Madrid2.7

Malaga1.9

O/U 4.5Even · 49%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.4

Real Madrid0.6

Malaga0.8

O/U 1.5Under · 59%

2H expected total2.9

Real Madrid 2H1.2

Malaga 2H1.7

Kylian Mbappe-Lottin (0.34 xG) is Real Madrid's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Real Madrid · 3 listed

Ferland Mendyinjury

1 · Hip

Rodrygoinjury

1 · Cruciate ligame

Eder Militaoinjury

1 · Muscle

Malaga · 5 listed

Carlos Dotordoubt

1 · Illness

Julen Lobeteinjury

1 · Knee

Fernando Caleroinjury

1 · Rib

Diego Murilloinjury

1 · Other

Aaron Ochoadoubt

1 · Other

Match analysis

Real Madrid vs Malaga (La Liga). Model call: Real Madrid to win match full time (84% / 11% / 5%).

Real Madrid holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Real Madrid 2.12 — 0.69 Malaga. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Real Madrid. Real Madrid home form +1.68; Malaga away form -1.33.

First-half lean: Level. Without Rodrygo, Real Madrid's full-time attack is trimmed. Without Julen Lobete, Malaga's full-time attack is trimmed.