Ath Madrid
v
Malaga

La Liga · Wed 19 Aug · 21:00 · Referee: Adrián Cordero Vega

Head-to-head — last 5 at Ath Madrid (home)

W 2026-08-19 Ath Madrid 2–0 Malaga
W 2017-09-16 Ath Madrid 1–0 Malaga
W 2016-10-29 Ath Madrid 4–2 Malaga
W 2016-04-23 Ath Madrid 1–0 Malaga
W 2014-11-22 Ath Madrid 3–1 Malaga
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.35 → Ath Madrid (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
ASociedad
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ASevilla
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HVillarreal
D
2–2
5–3
3–2
1–0
2026-08-19
HMalaga
W
2–0
6–1
2–3
0–0
2026-05-24
AVillarreal
L
1–5
9–5
1–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HGirona
W
1–0
9–8
2–0
0–0
2026-05-12
AOsasuna
W
2–1
4–8
5–6
1–0
2026-05-09
HCelta
L
0–1
10–0
1–2
0–0
2026-05-02
AValencia
W
2–0
7–1
3–1
0–0
2026-04-25
HAth Bilbao
W
3–2
3–4
0–0
0–0
2026-04-22
AElche
L
2–3
3–13
2–2
1–0
2026-04-11
ASevilla
L
1–2
6–6
4–4
0–0
2026-04-04
HBarcelona
L
1–2
1–9
6–2
1–0
2026-03-22
AReal Madrid
L
2–3
1–4
4–1
0–1
2026-03-14
HGetafe
W
1–0
10–3
3–3
0–1
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
ACelta
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AReal Madrid
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
HLa Coruna
D
1–1
7–4
1–4
0–0
2026-08-19
AAth Madrid
L
0–2
1–6
3–2
0–0
2018-05-19
HGetafe
L
0–1
2–9
4–1
0–0
2018-05-13
AEspanol
L
1–4
3–5
2–0
0–0
2018-05-06
HAlaves
L
0–3
6–7
2–1
0–0
2018-04-30
ABetis
L
1–2
4–6
4–1
0–0
2018-04-22
HSociedad
W
2–0
5–3
4–1
0–0
2018-04-19
ALevante
L
0–1
3–4
1–1
0–0
2018-04-15
HReal Madrid
L
1–2
4–7
4–0
0–0
2018-04-06
ALa Coruna
L
2–3
6–7
3–4
0–0
2018-04-01
HVillarreal
W
1–0
3–6
2–3
0–0
2018-03-18
ACelta
D
0–0
5–4
2–3
0–0
2018-03-10
HBarcelona
L
0–2
2–5
1–1
1–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-19
HMalaga
W
2–0
6–1
2–3
0–0
2018-02-10
AMalaga
W
1–0
3–3
2–3
0–0
2017-09-16
HMalaga
W
1–0
8–4
2–2
0–0
2017-04-01
AMalaga
W
2–0
0–6
2–2
0–0
2016-10-29
HMalaga
W
4–2
6–2
2–4
1–1
2016-04-23
HMalaga
W
1–0
10–4
3–3
0–0
2015-12-20
AMalaga
L
0–1
1–4
4–3
1–0
2015-04-11
AMalaga
D
2–2
1–6
3–2
0–0
2014-11-22
HMalaga
W
3–1
4–3
1–3
1–1
2014-05-11
HMalaga
D
1–1
11–4
3–3
0–1
2014-01-04
AMalaga
W
1–0
8–5
6–4
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Ath Madrid
Malaga
Possession %
48
—
xG
1.02
—
Shots
5.7
—
On target
2.1
—
Off target
3.1
—
Corners (est.)
2.0
2.0
Yellow cards (est.)
1.0
0.7
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Ath Madrid
Malaga
Possession %
46
—
xG
1.65
—
Shots
9.4
—
On target
3.4
—
Off target
3.6
—
Corners (est.)
7.0
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
1.0
1.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1

Full-time call

BET · HOME (70.7%)
1 · Ath Madrid
71%
X · Draw
21%
2 · Malaga
8%
Ath Madrid at home
Expected goals: 1.84
Conceded goals: 0.98
Malaga away
Expected goals: 0.57
Conceded goals: 1.9
Projected for this match: Ath Madrid 1.68 — 0.89 Malaga
Expected goals: Ath Madrid 1.68 — 0.89 Malaga

Likely scores

1-012.5%
1-111.8%
2-010.8%

Goals markets

Over 1.573%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS48.2%

Corners (90 min)

Ath Madrid5.8
Malaga4.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Ath Madrid2.1
Malaga2.2
1H total1.4
2H total2.9

Second half

Ath Madrid
47%
Level
37%
Malaga
16%
Expected 2H goals Ath Madrid 0.97 — 0.44 Malaga

2H corners split

Expected total5.2
Ath Madrid3
Malaga2.2

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.9
Ath Madrid1.4
Malaga1.5
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Ath Madrid
30%
1H · Draw
41%
1H · Malaga
29%
Expected 1H goals Ath Madrid 0.66 — 0.64 Malaga · Over 0.5: Over (73%) · Over 1.5: Under (37%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.8
Ath Madrid2.8
Malaga2
O/U 4.5Over · 52%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.4
Ath Madrid0.7
Malaga0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 59%
2H expected total2.9
Ath Madrid 2H1.4
Malaga 2H1.5
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Ademola Lookman (0.53 xG) is Ath Madrid's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Ath Madrid · 4 listed

Robin Le Normandsuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Pablo Barriosdoubt
1 · Lower leg
Julian Alvarezdoubt
1 · Muscle
Alexander Soerlothdoubt
1 · Muscle

Malaga · 5 listed

Carlos Dotordoubt
1 · Illness
Julen Lobeteinjury
1 · Knee
Fernando Caleroinjury
1 · Rib
Diego Murilloinjury
1 · Other
Aaron Ochoadoubt
1 · Other

Match analysis

Ath Madrid vs Malaga (La Liga). Model call: Ath Madrid to win match full time (71% / 21% / 8%).

Ath Madrid holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Ath Madrid 1.68 — 0.89 Malaga. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Ath Madrid. Ath Madrid home form +0.86; Malaga away form -1.33.

First-half lean: Level. Without Julen Lobete, Malaga's full-time attack is trimmed.