Brighton
v
Leeds

Premier League · Sat 5 Sep · 16:00 · Referee: Stuart Attwell

Head-to-head — last 4 at Brighton (home)

W 2025-11-01 Brighton 3–0 Leeds
W 2022-08-27 Brighton 1–0 Leeds
D 2021-11-27 Brighton 0–0 Leeds
W 2021-05-01 Brighton 2–0 Leeds
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Brighton (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
ACoventry
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AChelsea
L
3–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HAston Villa
W
4–0
5–2
2–3
0–1
2026-05-24
HMan United
L
0–3
0–3
0–1
0–0
2026-05-17
ALeeds
L
0–1
8–7
0–1
0–0
2026-05-09
HWolves
W
3–0
7–1
1–2
0–0
2026-05-02
ANewcastle
L
1–3
10–2
3–3
0–0
2026-04-21
HChelsea
W
3–0
6–5
1–1
0–0
2026-04-18
ATottenham
D
2–2
5–7
1–3
0–0
2026-04-11
ABurnley
W
2–0
2–8
1–2
0–0
2026-03-21
HLiverpool
W
2–1
4–8
5–5
0–0
2026-03-14
ASunderland
W
1–0
3–7
2–1
0–0
2026-03-04
HArsenal
L
0–1
4–3
4–1
0–0
2026-03-01
HNott'm Forest
W
2–1
4–4
3–1
0–0
2026-02-21
ABrentford
W
2–0
4–6
2–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
2–3
1–2
0–0
2026-05-24
AWest Ham
L
0–3
4–6
3–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBrighton
W
1–0
7–8
1–0
0–0
2026-05-11
ATottenham
D
1–1
2–14
1–3
0–0
2026-05-01
HBurnley
W
3–1
5–0
4–3
0–0
2026-04-22
ABournemouth
D
2–2
1–12
0–3
0–0
2026-04-18
HWolves
W
3–0
5–6
2–1
0–0
2026-04-13
AMan United
W
2–1
4–11
2–3
0–1
2026-03-21
HBrentford
D
0–0
6–2
2–0
0–0
2026-03-15
ACrystal Palace
D
0–0
3–8
1–2
1–0
2026-03-03
HSunderland
L
0–1
9–2
1–3
0–0
2026-02-28
HMan City
L
0–1
5–3
0–3
0–0
2026-02-21
AAston Villa
D
1–1
2–7
4–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-05-17
ALeeds
L
0–1
8–7
0–1
0–0
2025-11-01
HLeeds
W
3–0
4–7
0–1
0–0
2023-03-11
ALeeds
D
2–2
7–4
1–1
0–0
2022-08-27
HLeeds
W
1–0
5–3
2–3
0–0
2022-05-15
ALeeds
D
1–1
1–8
2–3
0–0
2021-11-27
HLeeds
D
0–0
6–1
1–3
0–0
2021-05-01
HLeeds
W
2–0
2–9
1–1
0–0
2021-01-16
ALeeds
W
1–0
2–5
1–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Brighton — higher 1H possession, shots and corners
Brighton
Leeds
Possession %
59
44
xG
0.77
0.79
Shots
5.6
4.8
On target
1.7
1.6
Off target
2.5
1.8
Corners
2.0
1.2
Yellow cards
0.5
0.9
Red cards
0.0
0.1
Second half lean: Brighton — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Brighton
Leeds
Possession %
56
46
xG
0.93
0.83
Shots
8.1
6.6
On target
2.9
2.2
Off target
2.6
2.6
Corners
2.3
1.6
Yellow cards
1.2
1.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Brighton
64%
X · Draw
23%
2 · Leeds
13%
Brighton at home
Expected goals: 1.81
Conceded goals: 0.92
Leeds away
Expected goals: 1.08
Conceded goals: 1.47
Projected for this match: Brighton 1.57 — 1.05 Leeds
Expected goals: Brighton 1.57 — 1.05 Leeds

Likely scores

1-112.4%
1-011.1%
2-19.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS51.7%

Corners (90 min)

Brighton5.7
Leeds4.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Brighton1.7
Leeds1.9
1H total1.3
2H total2.2
Attwell averages 3.8 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Brighton
34%
Level
40%
Leeds
26%
Expected 2H goals Brighton 0.74 — 0.61 Leeds

2H corners

Expected total5.5
Brighton3
Leeds2.5

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.2
Brighton1.1
Leeds1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Brighton
30%
1H · Draw
45%
1H · Leeds
25%
Expected 1H goals Brighton 0.58 — 0.51 Leeds · Over 0.5: Over (66%) · Over 1.5: Under (30%)

1H corners

Expected total4.5
Brighton2.8
Leeds1.7
O/U 4.5Under · 53%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.3
Brighton0.6
Leeds0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 63%
2H expected total2.2
Brighton 2H1.1
Leeds 2H1.2
Attwell averages 1.0 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Attwell averages 3.3 yellows after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Danny Welbeck (0.25 xG) is Brighton's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (0.26 xG) is Leeds' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Brighton · 7 listed

Zadok Yohannainjury
1 · Other
Mats Wiefferinjury
1 · Knee
Kaoru Mitomainjury
1 · Hamstring
Stefanos Tzimasinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Yankuba Mintehinjury
1 · Calf
Evan Fergusoninjury
1 · Ankle
Carlos Balebainjury
1 · Ankle

Leeds · 2 listed

Joe Rodoninjury
1 · Thigh
Mateo Josephinjury
1 · Ankle

Match analysis

Brighton vs Leeds (Premier League). Model call: Brighton to win match full time (64% / 23% / 13%).

Projected xG Brighton 1.57 — 1.05 Leeds. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Brighton. Brighton home form +0.89; Leeds away form -0.4.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Zadok Yohanna, Brighton's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Mateo Joseph, Leeds' full-time attack is trimmed.