Bournemouth
v
Leeds

Premier League · Sat 31 Oct · 17:00 · Referee: Michael Salisbury

Head-to-head — last 3 at Bournemouth (home)

W 2026-10-31 Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds
D 2026-04-22 Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds
W 2023-04-30 Bournemouth 4–1 Leeds
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Bournemouth (4 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AIpswich
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HLeeds
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AMan United
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AChelsea
L
1–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLiverpool
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ANewcastle
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
3–8
2–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
3–6
1–1
0–0
2026-05-19
HMan City
D
1–1
7–6
4–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HTottenham
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABournemouth
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ASunderland
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HMan United
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AArsenal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HCrystal Palace
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ABrighton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
2–3
1–2
0–0
2026-08-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AWest Ham
L
0–3
4–6
3–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBrighton
W
1–0
7–8
1–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-31
HLeeds
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-04-22
HLeeds
D
2–2
12–1
3–0
0–0
2025-09-27
ALeeds
D
2–2
4–7
2–2
0–0
2023-04-30
HLeeds
W
4–1
2–6
1–0
0–0
2022-11-05
ALeeds
L
3–4
3–13
2–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Bournemouth — higher 1H SOT, possession and shots
Bournemouth
Leeds
Possession %
50
44
xG
0.69
0.79
Shots
5.6
4.8
On target
2.2
1.6
Off target
2.2
1.8
Corners
3.8
1.2
Yellow cards
0.7
0.9
Red cards
0.0
0.1
Second half lean: Bournemouth — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Bournemouth
Leeds
Possession %
51
46
xG
1.14
0.83
Shots
8.8
6.6
On target
2.9
2.2
Off target
2.6
2.6
Corners
3.5
1.6
Yellow cards
1.6
1.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Bournemouth
44%
X · Draw
33%
2 · Leeds
23%
Bournemouth at home
Expected goals: 1.61
Conceded goals: 1.11
Leeds away
Expected goals: 1.08
Conceded goals: 1.47
Projected for this match: Bournemouth 1.23 — 1.18 Leeds
Expected goals: Bournemouth 1.23 — 1.18 Leeds

Likely scores

1-113.4%
1-010.7%
0-110.3%

Goals markets

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS49.3%

Corners (90 min)

Bournemouth5.8
Leeds5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Bournemouth2
Leeds1.7
1H total1.4
2H total2.2
Salisbury averages 3.9 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Bournemouth
35%
Level
36%
Leeds
29%
Expected 2H goals Bournemouth 0.86 — 0.74 Leeds

2H corners

Expected total5.9
Bournemouth2.6
Leeds3.3

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.2
Bournemouth1.2
Leeds1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Bournemouth
22%
1H · Draw
55%
1H · Leeds
23%
Expected 1H goals Bournemouth 0.36 — 0.36 Leeds · Over 0.5: Over (52%) · Over 1.5: Under (16%)

1H corners

Expected total4.9
Bournemouth3.2
Leeds1.8
O/U 4.5Over · 54%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.4
Bournemouth0.7
Leeds0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 59%
2H expected total2.2
Bournemouth 2H1.2
Leeds 2H1
1H reds (exp.)0.1
Salisbury averages 1.7 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Salisbury averages 2.1 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Evanilson (0.27 xG) is Bournemouth's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (0.26 xG) is Leeds' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Bournemouth · 3 listed

Veljko Milosavljevicdoubt
1 · Knee
Juanlu Sanchezdoubt
1 · Ankle
Julian Araujodoubt
1 · Thigh

Leeds · 2 listed

Anton Stachdoubt
1 · Ankle
Mateo Josephinjury
1 · Ankle

Match analysis

Bournemouth vs Leeds (Premier League). Model call: Bournemouth to win match full time (44% / 33% / 23%).

Projected xG Bournemouth 1.23 — 1.18 Leeds. H2H (4 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Bournemouth. Bournemouth home form +0.5; Leeds away form -0.4.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Mateo Joseph, Leeds' full-time attack is trimmed.