Man United
v
Ipswich

Premier League · Sun 30 Aug · 17:30 · Referee: Craig Pawson

Head-to-head — last 2 at Man United (home)

W 2026-08-30 Man United 5–2 Ipswich
W 2025-02-26 Man United 3–2 Ipswich
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Man United (2 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
HMan City
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HIpswich
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AHull
L
0–2
6–1
1–2
0–0
2026-05-24
ABrighton
W
3–0
3–0
1–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HNott'm Forest
W
3–2
7–6
2–1
0–0
2026-05-09
ASunderland
D
0–0
8–7
3–0
0–0
2026-05-03
HLiverpool
W
3–2
3–2
2–2
0–0
2026-04-27
HBrentford
W
2–1
7–8
2–4
0–0
2026-04-18
AChelsea
W
1–0
1–7
3–1
0–0
2026-04-13
HLeeds
L
1–2
11–4
3–2
1–0
2026-03-20
ABournemouth
D
2–2
8–6
2–2
1–0
2026-03-15
HAston Villa
W
3–1
6–6
3–2
0–0
2026-03-04
ANewcastle
L
1–2
4–2
3–2
0–1
2026-03-01
HCrystal Palace
W
2–1
7–1
2–2
0–1
2026-02-23
AEverton
W
1–0
1–10
3–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
ACrystal Palace
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AMan United
L
2–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HSunderland
W
2–1
3–5
0–3
0–0
2025-05-25
HWest Ham
L
1–3
4–0
1–1
0–0
2025-05-18
ALeicester
L
0–2
2–2
0–1
0–0
2025-05-10
HBrentford
L
0–1
5–6
2–4
0–0
2025-05-03
AEverton
D
2–2
3–3
4–4
0–0
2025-04-26
ANewcastle
L
0–3
2–11
2–1
1–0
2025-04-20
HArsenal
L
0–4
0–12
0–0
1–0
2025-04-13
AChelsea
D
2–2
4–15
2–2
0–0
2025-04-05
HWolves
L
1–2
4–8
2–2
0–0
2025-04-02
ABournemouth
W
2–1
3–8
2–1
0–0
2025-03-15
HNott'm Forest
L
2–4
6–3
1–1
0–0
2025-03-08
ACrystal Palace
L
0–1
4–5
3–4
0–0
2025-02-26
AMan United
L
2–3
6–5
4–4
0–1
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-30
HIpswich
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-02-26
HIpswich
W
3–2
5–6
4–4
1–0
2024-11-24
AIpswich
D
1–1
3–4
0–0
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Man United
Ipswich
Possession %
48
—
xG
1.07
—
Shots
8.1
—
On target
3.0
—
Off target
2.6
—
Corners (est.)
3.0
1.8
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Man United
Ipswich
Possession %
45
—
xG
1.39
—
Shots
10.9
—
On target
4.3
—
Off target
3.1
—
Corners (est.)
3.1
1.9
Yellow cards (est.)
1.7
1.0
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Man United
61%
X · Draw
25%
2 · Ipswich
14%
Man United at home
Expected goals: 2.21
Conceded goals: 1.33
Ipswich away
Expected goals: 1.11
Conceded goals: 1.99
Projected for this match: Man United 1.6 — 1.21 Ipswich
Expected goals: Man United 1.6 — 1.21 Ipswich

Likely scores

1-112%
1-09.3%
2-19.3%

Goals markets

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
BTTS56.2%

Corners (90 min)

Man United5.6
Ipswich3.7

Yellow cards (90 min)

Man United2
Ipswich1.5
1H total1.1
2H total2.4
Pawson averages 3.6 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Man United
46%
Level
34%
Ipswich
20%
Expected 2H goals Man United 1.05 — 0.59 Ipswich

2H corners split

Expected total4.9
Man United2.9
Ipswich1.9

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.4
Man United1.3
Ipswich1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Man United
45%
1H · Draw
37%
1H · Ipswich
18%
Expected 1H goals Man United 0.94 — 0.49 Ipswich · Over 0.5: Over (76%) · Over 1.5: Under (42%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.5
Man United2.7
Ipswich1.8
O/U 4.5Under · 53%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Man United0.6
Ipswich0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.4
Man United 2H1.3
Ipswich 2H1
1H reds (exp.)0.1
Pawson averages 0.6 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Pawson averages 3.1 yellows after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Benjamin Sesko (0.28 xG) is Man United's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Man United · 5 listed

Luke Shawdoubt
1 · Thigh
Tom Heatondoubt
1 · Thigh
Matthijs de Ligtinjury
1 · Low back
Amad Dialloinjury
1 · Ankle
Manuel Ugarteinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Ipswich · 3 listed

Azor Matusiwainjury
1 · Muscle
Emersonndoubt
1 · Other
Jack Taylorinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Man United vs Ipswich (Premier League). Model call: Man United to win match full time (61% / 25% / 14%).

Man United holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Man United 1.6 — 1.21 Ipswich. H2H (2 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Man United. Man United home form +0.88; Ipswich away form -0.88.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Manuel Ugarte, Man United's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Azor Matusiwa, Ipswich's full-time chance creation is trimmed.