Man City
v
Ipswich

Premier League · Sat 17 Oct · 16:00 · Referee: Farai Hallam

Head-to-head — last 2 at Man City (home)

W 2026-10-17 Man City 3–2 Ipswich
W 2024-08-24 Man City 4–1 Ipswich
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.14 → Man City (2 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
ANott'm Forest
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HBrighton
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AAston Villa
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HIpswich
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ALiverpool
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HSunderland
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
AMan United
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
AMan United
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HCoventry
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ACrystal Palace
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ACrystal Palace
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HBournemouth
W
2–1
8–3
1–2
0–0
2026-08-23
HBournemouth
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HAston Villa
L
1–2
9–4
1–0
0–0
2026-05-19
ABournemouth
D
1–1
6–7
2–4
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HBournemouth
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
HNott'm Forest
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AMan City
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HFulham
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
AEverton
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ACrystal Palace
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ACrystal Palace
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
HLiverpool
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AMan United
L
2–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AMan United
L
2–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HSunderland
W
2–1
3–5
0–3
0–0
2026-08-22
HSunderland
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-05-25
HWest Ham
L
1–3
4–0
1–1
0–0
2025-05-18
ALeicester
L
0–2
2–2
0–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-17
HIpswich
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-01-19
AIpswich
W
6–0
7–4
1–0
0–0
2024-08-24
HIpswich
W
4–1
10–1
2–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Man City
Ipswich
Possession %
65
—
xG
1.29
—
Shots
9.7
—
On target
3.1
—
Off target
3.6
—
Corners (est.)
5.0
1.7
Yellow cards (est.)
0.3
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Man City
Ipswich
Possession %
57
—
xG
1.12
—
Shots
7.3
—
On target
2.6
—
Off target
2.5
—
Corners (est.)
3.1
1.8
Yellow cards (est.)
1.2
1.3
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1

Full-time call

BET · HOME (74.1%)
1 · Man City
74%
X · Draw
17%
2 · Ipswich
9%
Man City at home
Expected goals: 2.22
Conceded goals: 0.81
Ipswich away
Expected goals: 1.11
Conceded goals: 1.99
Projected for this match: Man City 1.87 — 1.04 Ipswich
Expected goals: Man City 1.87 — 1.04 Ipswich

Likely scores

1-110.9%
2-19.9%
1-09.8%

Goals markets

Over 1.579%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS55.1%

Corners (90 min)

Man City7
Ipswich3.5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Man City1.8
Ipswich1.9
1H total1.2
2H total2.5
Hallam averages 2.7 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Man City
49%
Level
33%
Ipswich
18%
Expected 2H goals Man City 1.11 — 0.55 Ipswich

2H corners split

Expected total5.5
Man City3.7
Ipswich1.8

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.5
Man City1.2
Ipswich1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

Man City lead medium confidence
1H · Man City
47%
1H · Draw
37%
1H · Ipswich
16%
Expected 1H goals Man City 0.97 — 0.43 Ipswich · Over 0.5: Over (75%) · Over 1.5: Under (41%)

1H corners split

Expected total5.1
Man City3.4
Ipswich1.7
O/U 4.5Over · 58%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Man City0.6
Ipswich0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.5
Man City 2H1.2
Ipswich 2H1.3
Hallam averages 0.6 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Hallam averages 2.0 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Erling Haaland (0.44 xG) is Man City's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Man City · 5 listed

Mateo Kovacicsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Abdukodir Khusanovdoubt
1 · Other
Marc Guehidoubt
1 · Hip
Jack Grealishsuspension
1 · Banned by club
Antoine Semenyoinjury
1 · Knee

Ipswich · 1 listed

Jack Taylorinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Man City vs Ipswich (Premier League). Model call: Man City to win match full time (74% / 17% / 9%).

Man City holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Man City 1.87 — 1.04 Ipswich. H2H (2 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Man City. Man City home form +1.41; Ipswich away form -0.88.

First-half lean: Man City lead. Without Mateo Kovacic, Man City's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Jack Taylor, Ipswich's full-time chance creation is trimmed.