Lecce
v
Genoa

Serie A · Sun 1 Nov · 19:00 · Referee: Matteo Marchetti

Head-to-head — last 5 at Lecce (home)

L 2026-11-01 Lecce 1–2 Genoa
W 2026-05-24 Lecce 1–0 Genoa
D 2025-01-05 Lecce 0–0 Genoa
W 2023-09-22 Lecce 1–0 Genoa
D 2019-12-08 Lecce 2–2 Genoa
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Genoa (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
ATorino
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HGenoa
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-29
AFrosinone
L
1–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AUdinese
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HBologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AMilan
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMonza
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMonza
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
ACagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
ACagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HRoma
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AVenezia
W
2–0
3–5
3–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HGenoa
W
1–0
1–6
2–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HMilan
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ALecce
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HJuventus
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HVenezia
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ARoma
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HFiorentina
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AParma
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFrosinone
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFrosinone
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
HComo
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALazio
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALazio
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HNapoli
L
0–2
5–5
2–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HNapoli
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ALecce
L
0–1
6–1
0–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-01
HGenoa
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HGenoa
W
1–0
1–6
2–0
0–0
2025-08-23
AGenoa
D
0–0
7–3
3–2
0–0
2025-03-14
AGenoa
L
1–2
3–3
2–3
0–0
2025-01-05
HGenoa
D
0–0
9–4
0–1
0–0
2024-01-28
AGenoa
L
1–2
8–3
2–0
0–0
2023-09-22
HGenoa
W
1–0
4–3
1–3
0–1
2020-07-19
AGenoa
L
1–2
8–3
3–2
0–0
2019-12-08
HGenoa
D
2–2
11–3
5–6
0–2

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Lecce
Genoa
Possession %
—
50
xG
—
0.32
Shots
—
4.5
On target
—
0.9
Off target
—
2.6
Corners (est.)
1.8
1.7
Yellow cards (est.)
0.7
0.3
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Lecce
Genoa
Possession %
—
54
xG
—
0.26
Shots
—
3.6
On target
—
1.0
Off target
—
1.9
Corners (est.)
2.0
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
1.5
0.0
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Lecce
55%
X · Draw
32%
2 · Genoa
13%
Lecce at home
Expected goals: 0.7
Conceded goals: 1.19
Genoa away
Expected goals: 0.78
Conceded goals: 1.04
Projected for this match: Lecce 1.3 — 0.7 Genoa
Expected goals: Lecce 1.3 — 0.7 Genoa

Likely scores

1-017.3%
0-014%
1-112.7%

Goals markets

Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%
BTTS36.9%

Corners (90 min)

Lecce3.8
Genoa4.7

Yellow cards (90 min)

Lecce2.2
Genoa1.3
1H total1.1
2H total2.4

Second half

Lecce
35%
Level
41%
Genoa
24%
Expected 2H goals Lecce 0.71 — 0.54 Genoa

2H corners split

Expected total4.4
Lecce2
Genoa2.4

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.4
Lecce1.5
Genoa0.9
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Lecce
27%
1H · Draw
53%
1H · Genoa
20%
Expected 1H goals Lecce 0.44 — 0.34 Genoa · Over 0.5: Over (54%) · Over 1.5: Under (18%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.1
Lecce1.8
Genoa2.3
O/U 3.5Over · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Lecce0.7
Genoa0.4
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.4
Lecce 2H1.5
Genoa 2H0.9

Lameck Banda (0.26 xG) is Lecce's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Leo Østigard (0.10 xG) is Genoa's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Lecce · 5 listed

Riccardo Sottilinjury
1 · Low back
Joel Monteirodoubt
1 · Calf
Santiago Pierottiinjury
1 · Ankle
Medon Berishadoubt
1 · Thigh
Ivan Ilicdoubt
1 · Thigh

Genoa · 2 listed

Morten Frendrupdoubt
1 · Ankle
Joi Xheto Nurediniinjury
1 · Other

Match analysis

Lecce vs Genoa (Serie A). Model call: Lecce to win match full time (55% / 32% / 13%).

Lecce holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Lecce 1.3 — 0.7 Genoa. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Genoa. Lecce home form -0.48; Genoa away form -0.27.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Riccardo Sottil, Lecce's full-time attack is trimmed. Without Joi Xheto Nuredini, Genoa's full-time attack is trimmed.