Roma
v
Fiorentina

Serie A · Mon 24 Aug · 20:45 · Referee: Matteo Marcenaro

Head-to-head — last 5 at Roma (home)

W 2026-08-24 Roma 4–0 Fiorentina
W 2026-05-04 Roma 4–0 Fiorentina
W 2025-05-04 Roma 1–0 Fiorentina
D 2023-12-10 Roma 1–1 Fiorentina
W 2023-01-15 Roma 2–0 Fiorentina
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.21 → Roma (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
ATorino
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
HFiorentina
W
4–0
2–3
2–2
0–0
2026-05-24
AVerona
W
2–0
6–6
1–3
0–1
2026-05-17
HLazio
W
2–0
8–3
2–3
1–1
2026-05-10
AParma
W
3–2
6–3
0–4
0–1
2026-05-04
HFiorentina
W
4–0
4–5
2–2
0–0
2026-04-25
ABologna
W
2–0
7–7
3–0
0–0
2026-04-18
HAtalanta
D
1–1
7–6
1–2
0–0
2026-04-10
HPisa
W
3–0
1–3
1–1
0–0
2026-04-05
AInter
L
2–5
4–7
1–0
0–0
2026-03-22
HLecce
W
1–0
10–2
2–2
0–0
2026-03-15
AComo
L
1–2
1–7
3–2
1–0
2026-03-08
AGenoa
L
1–2
6–3
3–1
0–0
2026-03-01
HJuventus
D
3–3
4–1
1–0
0–0
2026-02-22
HCremonese
W
3–0
9–1
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-11
AVenezia
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HFrosinone
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
ARoma
L
0–4
3–2
2–2
0–0
2026-05-22
HAtalanta
D
1–1
3–3
0–2
0–0
2026-05-17
AJuventus
W
2–0
2–6
3–1
1–0
2026-05-10
HGenoa
D
0–0
4–3
0–0
0–0
2026-05-04
ARoma
L
0–4
5–4
2–2
0–0
2026-04-26
HSassuolo
D
0–0
7–4
2–1
0–0
2026-04-20
ALecce
D
1–1
2–5
4–2
0–0
2026-04-13
HLazio
W
1–0
5–6
3–2
0–0
2026-04-04
AVerona
W
1–0
1–9
1–3
1–1
2026-03-22
HInter
D
1–1
3–5
3–3
0–0
2026-03-16
ACremonese
W
4–1
6–4
0–1
0–0
2026-03-08
HParma
D
0–0
7–1
2–0
0–0
2026-03-02
AUdinese
L
0–3
2–5
4–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-24
HFiorentina
W
4–0
2–3
2–2
0–0
2026-05-04
HFiorentina
W
4–0
4–5
2–2
0–0
2025-10-05
AFiorentina
W
2–1
4–3
3–2
0–0
2025-05-04
HFiorentina
W
1–0
7–4
2–2
0–1
2024-10-27
AFiorentina
L
1–5
2–6
5–2
1–0
2024-03-10
AFiorentina
D
2–2
2–8
5–2
0–0
2023-12-10
HFiorentina
D
1–1
1–6
5–3
2–1
2023-05-27
AFiorentina
L
1–2
4–7
3–5
0–0
2023-01-15
HFiorentina
W
2–0
5–9
3–4
0–1
2022-05-09
AFiorentina
L
0–2
3–5
1–3
0–0
2021-08-22
HFiorentina
W
3–1
4–4
3–2
1–1
2021-03-03
AFiorentina
W
2–1
3–2
2–1
0–0
2020-11-01
HFiorentina
W
2–0
7–4
3–2
0–1
2020-07-26
HFiorentina
W
2–1
8–3
1–4
0–0
2019-12-20
AFiorentina
W
4–1
4–5
3–4
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Roma
Fiorentina
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.2
1.9
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1
Too close to call
Roma
Fiorentina
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.4
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
1.2
1.3
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.1

Full-time call

BET · HOME (85%)
1 · Roma
85%
X · Draw
10%
2 · Fiorentina
5%
Roma at home
Expected goals: 2.3
Conceded goals: 0.43
Fiorentina away
Expected goals: 1.08
Conceded goals: 1.82
Projected for this match: Roma 2.31 — 0.61 Fiorentina
Expected goals: Roma 2.31 — 0.61 Fiorentina

Likely scores

2-014.4%
1-012.3%
3-011.1%

Goals markets

Over 1.579%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
BTTS41.2%

Corners (90 min)

Roma4.6
Fiorentina3.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Roma1.7
Fiorentina2
1H total1.2
2H total2.5

Second half

Roma
50%
Level
34%
Fiorentina
16%
Expected 2H goals Roma 1.08 — 0.5 Fiorentina

2H corners split

Expected total4.5
Roma2.4
Fiorentina2.1

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.5
Roma1.2
Fiorentina1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Roma
42%
1H · Draw
43%
1H · Fiorentina
15%
Expected 1H goals Roma 0.75 — 0.33 Fiorentina · Over 0.5: Over (66%) · Over 1.5: Under (29%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.1
Roma2.2
Fiorentina1.9
O/U 3.5Over · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Roma0.5
Fiorentina0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.5
Roma 2H1.2
Fiorentina 2H1.3
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Mario Hermoso (0.29 xG) is Roma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Roberto Piccoli (0.14 xG) is Fiorentina's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Roma · 4 listed

Wesleysuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Evan N'Dickadoubt
1 · Illness
Artem Dovbykdoubt
1 · Thigh
Jan Ziolkowskiinjury
1 · Foot

Fiorentina · 3 listed

Luca Ranierisuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Matias Morenodoubt
1 · Other
Fabiano Parisiinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Match analysis

Roma vs Fiorentina (Serie A). Model call: Roma to win match full time (85% / 10% / 5%).

Roma holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Roma 2.31 — 0.61 Fiorentina. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Roma. Roma home form +1.87; Fiorentina away form -0.74.

First-half lean: Level.