Inter
v
Fiorentina

Serie A · Sun 25 Oct · 13:30 · Referee: Maurizio Mariani

Head-to-head — last 5 at Inter (home)

W 2026-10-25 Inter 2–1 Fiorentina
W 2025-10-29 Inter 3–0 Fiorentina
W 2025-02-10 Inter 2–1 Fiorentina
W 2023-09-03 Inter 4–0 Fiorentina
L 2023-04-01 Inter 0–1 Fiorentina
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.14 → Inter (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HComo
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AMilan
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
AVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HFiorentina
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ABologna
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HParma
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ARoma
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HUdinese
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HUdinese
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HNapoli
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACagliari
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACagliari
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HMonza
W
4–1
3–3
2–2
0–0
2026-08-22
HMonza
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-23
ABologna
D
3–3
4–1
2–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HJuventus
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
ASassuolo
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-29
HAtalanta
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AInter
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HComo
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AGenoa
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HNapoli
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
AVenezia
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
AVenezia
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HTorino
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HFrosinone
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HFrosinone
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
ARoma
L
0–4
3–2
2–2
0–0
2026-08-24
ARoma
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-22
HAtalanta
D
1–1
3–3
0–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-25
HFiorentina
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-22
AFiorentina
D
1–1
5–3
3–3
0–0
2025-10-29
HFiorentina
W
3–0
8–5
1–2
0–1
2025-02-10
HFiorentina
W
2–1
8–1
4–3
0–0
2025-02-06
AFiorentina
L
0–3
8–1
0–0
0–0
2024-01-28
AFiorentina
W
1–0
6–7
3–2
0–0
2023-09-03
HFiorentina
W
4–0
1–1
1–1
0–0
2023-04-01
HFiorentina
L
0–1
10–8
2–3
0–0
2022-10-22
AFiorentina
W
4–3
2–1
3–4
0–0
2022-03-19
HFiorentina
D
1–1
5–3
1–2
0–0
2021-09-21
AFiorentina
W
3–1
8–4
3–2
0–1
2021-02-05
AFiorentina
W
2–0
7–7
1–3
0–0
2020-09-26
HFiorentina
W
4–3
5–1
1–1
0–0
2020-07-22
HFiorentina
D
0–0
11–2
1–3
0–0
2019-12-15
AFiorentina
D
1–1
1–5
4–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Inter
Fiorentina
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.2
1.7
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Inter
Fiorentina
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.4
1.8
Yellow cards (est.)
1.2
1.2
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1

Full-time call

BET · HOME (83.9%)
1 · Inter
84%
X · Draw
11%
2 · Fiorentina
5%
Inter at home
Expected goals: 2.71
Conceded goals: 0.86
Fiorentina away
Expected goals: 1.08
Conceded goals: 1.82
Projected for this match: Inter 2.37 — 0.77 Fiorentina
Expected goals: Inter 2.37 — 0.77 Fiorentina

Likely scores

2-012.2%
1-010.1%
3-09.6%

Goals markets

Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS48.7%

Corners (90 min)

Inter4.7
Fiorentina3.5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Inter1.7
Fiorentina1.7
1H total1.1
2H total2.3

Second half

Inter
55%
Level
31%
Fiorentina
14%
Expected 2H goals Inter 1.24 — 0.46 Fiorentina

2H corners split

Expected total4.2
Inter2.4
Fiorentina1.8

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.3
Inter1.2
Fiorentina1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Inter
36%
1H · Draw
41%
1H · Fiorentina
23%
Expected 1H goals Inter 0.73 — 0.53 Fiorentina · Over 0.5: Over (72%) · Over 1.5: Under (36%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.9
Inter2.2
Fiorentina1.7
O/U 3.5Over · 55%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Inter0.6
Fiorentina0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.3
Inter 2H1.2
Fiorentina 2H1.2
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Marcus Thuram (0.42 xG) is Inter's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Roberto Piccoli (0.14 xG) is Fiorentina's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Inter · 4 listed

Ange-Yoan Bonnyinjury
1 · Muscle
Aleksandar Stankovicdoubt
1 · Groin
Luis Henriquedoubt
1 · Thigh
Lautaro Martinezinjury
1 · Thigh

Fiorentina · 5 listed

Luca Ranierisuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Fabiano Parisiinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Moise Keaninjury
1 · Lower leg
Marin Pongracicinjury
1 · Thigh
Arthur Attadoubt
1 · Abdomen

Match analysis

Inter vs Fiorentina (Serie A). Model call: Inter to win match full time (84% / 11% / 5%).

Inter holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Inter 2.37 — 0.77 Fiorentina. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Inter. Inter home form +1.85; Fiorentina away form -0.74.

First-half lean: Level. Without Ange-Yoan Bonny, Inter's full-time attack is trimmed. Without Moise Kean, Fiorentina's full-time attack is trimmed.