Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 16:00 · Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Head-to-head — last 5 at Bournemouth (home)
D2026-08-29Bournemouth 1–1 Everton
L2025-12-02Bournemouth 0–1 Everton
W2025-01-04Bournemouth 1–0 Everton
W2024-03-30Bournemouth 2–1 Everton
W2022-11-12Bournemouth 3–0 Everton
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.21 → Bournemouth (5 meetings on file)
Last Matches
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
3–8
2–1
0–0
2026-05-24
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
3–6
1–1
0–0
2026-05-19
HMan City
D
1–1
7–6
4–2
0–0
2026-05-09
AFulham
W
1–0
2–11
2–4
1–1
2026-05-03
HCrystal Palace
W
3–0
7–1
0–2
0–0
2026-04-22
HLeeds
D
2–2
12–1
3–0
0–0
2026-04-18
ANewcastle
W
2–1
3–2
4–2
0–0
2026-04-11
AArsenal
W
2–1
1–10
3–1
0–0
2026-03-20
HMan United
D
2–2
6–8
2–2
0–1
2026-03-14
ABurnley
D
0–0
8–5
0–1
0–0
2026-03-03
HBrentford
D
0–0
4–3
2–1
0–0
2026-02-28
HSunderland
D
1–1
7–3
4–2
0–0
2026-02-21
AWest Ham
D
0–0
5–9
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
ATottenham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ABournemouth
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HCrystal Palace
W
2–0
4–0
0–1
0–0
2026-05-24
ATottenham
L
0–1
2–6
3–5
1–0
2026-05-17
HSunderland
L
1–3
3–2
3–0
0–0
2026-05-10
ACrystal Palace
D
2–2
10–5
2–0
0–0
2026-05-04
HMan City
D
3–3
5–9
4–1
0–0
2026-04-25
AWest Ham
L
1–2
4–3
4–3
0–0
2026-04-19
HLiverpool
L
1–2
1–6
2–0
0–0
2026-04-11
ABrentford
D
2–2
3–2
2–0
0–0
2026-03-21
HChelsea
W
3–0
3–9
0–2
0–0
2026-03-14
AArsenal
L
0–2
3–8
0–0
0–0
2026-03-03
HBurnley
W
2–0
6–3
0–1
0–0
2026-02-28
ANewcastle
W
3–2
2–7
3–2
0–0
2026-02-23
HMan United
L
0–1
10–1
2–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-02-10
AEverton
W
2–1
2–7
3–1
0–1
2025-12-02
HEverton
L
0–1
1–6
3–3
0–0
2025-01-04
HEverton
W
1–0
9–3
2–2
0–0
2024-08-31
AEverton
W
3–2
4–8
1–2
0–0
2024-03-30
HEverton
W
2–1
9–8
1–2
0–0
2023-10-07
AEverton
L
0–3
7–8
2–1
0–0
2023-05-28
AEverton
L
0–1
3–9
3–1
0–0
2022-11-12
HEverton
W
3–0
3–5
2–0
0–0
2020-07-26
AEverton
W
3–1
5–2
0–1
0–0
2019-09-15
HEverton
W
3–1
7–7
0–4
0–0
2019-01-13
AEverton
L
0–2
9–5
0–5
0–0
2018-08-25
HEverton
D
2–2
6–2
0–3
1–1
2017-12-30
HEverton
W
2–1
4–4
0–0
0–0
2017-09-23
AEverton
L
1–2
6–4
1–3
0–0
Venue tag: H = home, A = away.
Period stats — 1H / 2H
First half lean: Bournemouth — higher 1H xG, SOT and possession
Bournemouth
Everton
Possession %
50
44
xG
0.69
0.55
Shots
5.6
4.9
On target
2.2
1.4
Off target
2.2
1.6
Corners
3.8
2.4
Yellow cards
0.7
1.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Bournemouth — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Bournemouth
Everton
Possession %
51
47
xG
1.14
0.66
Shots
8.8
5.6
On target
2.9
2.1
Off target
2.6
1.8
Corners
3.5
3.3
Yellow cards
1.6
1.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Full-time call
NO BET
1 · Bournemouth
43%
X · Draw
32%
2 · Everton
25%
Bournemouth at home
Expected goals: 1.61
Conceded goals: 1.11
Everton away
Expected goals: 1.16
Conceded goals: 1.33
Projected for this match: Bournemouth 1.31 — 1.38 Everton
Expected goals: Bournemouth 1.31 — 1.38 Everton
Likely scores
1-112.6%
0-19%
1-08.6%
Goals markets
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS55%
Corners (90 min)
Bournemouth4.7
Everton5.1
Yellow cards (90 min)
Bournemouth1.8
Everton1.8
1H total1.2
2H total2.5
Kavanagh averages 3.5 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.
Second half
Bournemouth
36%
Level
34%
Everton
30%
Expected 2H goals Bournemouth 0.93 — 0.81 Everton
2H corners
Expected total4.9
Bournemouth1.9
Everton3
2H yellow cards
Expected total2.5
Bournemouth1.4
Everton1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1
First half
No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Bournemouth
30%
1H · Draw
48%
1H · Everton
22%
Expected 1H goals Bournemouth 0.54 — 0.42 Everton · Over 0.5: Over (62%)
· Over 1.5: Under (25%)
1H corners
Expected total4.9
Bournemouth2.8
Everton2.1
O/U 4.5Over · 54%
1H yellow cards
Expected total1.2
Bournemouth0.5
Everton0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.5
Bournemouth 2H1.4
Everton 2H1.1
1H reds (exp.)0.1
Kavanagh averages 1.4 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Kavanagh averages 2.9 yellows and 0.2 reds after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.
Evanilson (0.27 xG) is Bournemouth's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Beto (0.21 xG) is Everton's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Squad availability
Bournemouth · 5 listed
Tyler Adamsdoubt
1 · Other
Veljko Milosavljevicinjury
1 · Knee
Amine Adliinjury
1 · Calf
Julian Araujoinjury
1 · Thigh
Eli Junior Kroupiinjury
1 · Foot
Everton · 1 listed
Christian Noergaardinjury
1 · Other
Match analysis
Bournemouth vs Everton (Premier League). Model call: Bournemouth to win match full time (43% / 32% / 25%).
Bournemouth holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Bournemouth 1.31 — 1.38 Everton. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Bournemouth. Bournemouth home form +0.5; Everton away form -0.16.
First-half lean: No bet. Without Veljko Milosavljevic, Bournemouth's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Christian Noergaard, Everton's full-time chance creation is trimmed.