Expected 1H goals Fulham 0.78 — 0.6 Crystal Palace · Over 0.5: Over (75%)
· Over 1.5: Under (40%)
1H corners
Expected total5.7
Fulham3.3
Crystal Palace2.4
O/U 5.5Even · 51%
1H yellow cards
Expected total0.9
Fulham0.3
Crystal Palace0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 77%
2H expected total2.3
Fulham 2H1.1
Crystal Palace 2H1.1
1H reds (exp.)0.1
Barrott averages 0.9 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Barrott averages 2.5 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.
Issa Diop (0.20 xG) is Fulham's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Without Jean-Philippe Mateta (0.26 xG), Crystal Palace's first-half goal line is trimmed.
Squad availability
Fulham · 2 listed
Ryan Sessegnondoubt
1 · Groin
Tom Cairneyinjury
1 · Knee
Crystal Palace · 7 listed
Axel Disasisuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Jaydee Canvotdoubt
1 · Other
Dean Hendersondoubt
1 · Foot
Edward Nketiahdoubt
1 · Other
Ismaila Sarrdoubt
1 · Groin
Jean-Philippe Matetainjury
1 · Thigh
Chadi Riadinjury
1 · Knee
Match analysis
Fulham vs Crystal Palace (Premier League). Model call: Fulham to win match full time (62% / 24% / 14%).
Fulham holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Fulham 1.55 — 1.06 Crystal Palace. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Crystal Palace. Fulham home form +0.36; Crystal Palace away form -0.9.
First-half lean: No bet. Without Tom Cairney, Fulham's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Jean-Philippe Mateta, Crystal Palace's full-time attack is trimmed as well.