Nott'm Forest
v
Coventry

Premier League · Sat 19 Sep · 18:30 · Referee: Jarred Gillett

Head-to-head — last 1 at Nott'm Forest (home)

L 2026-09-19 Nott'm Forest 0–1 Coventry
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Nott'm Forest (0 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HMan City
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABrentford
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
AIpswich
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ACrystal Palace
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HCoventry
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAston Villa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAston Villa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HTottenham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ALiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ALiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HLeeds
L
0–1
3–2
2–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HLeeds
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HBournemouth
D
1–1
6–3
1–1
0–0
2026-05-17
AMan United
L
2–3
6–7
1–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-06
AEverton
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HSunderland
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HFulham
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
ATottenham
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HBrighton
L
0–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HBrighton
L
0–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AMan City
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HHull
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HHull
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-21
AArsenal
L
0–3
2–8
1–1
0–0
2026-08-21
AArsenal
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-19
HCoventry
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Nott'm Forest
Coventry
Possession %
49
—
xG
0.60
—
Shots
6.8
—
On target
2.4
—
Off target
1.9
—
Corners (est.)
2.8
1.6
Yellow cards (est.)
0.3
0.4
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Nott'm Forest
Coventry
Possession %
42
—
xG
0.91
—
Shots
8.0
—
On target
2.0
—
Off target
3.3
—
Corners (est.)
2.0
1.7
Yellow cards (est.)
0.9
0.9
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Nott'm Forest
79%
X · Draw
15%
2 · Coventry
6%
Nott'm Forest at home
Expected goals: 0.95
Conceded goals: 0.99
Coventry away
Expected goals: 0
Conceded goals: 3
Projected for this match: Nott'm Forest 1.78 — 0.58 Coventry
Expected goals: Nott'm Forest 1.78 — 0.58 Coventry

Likely scores

1-016.5%
2-014.9%
1-110%

Goals markets

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS36.9%

Corners (90 min)

Nott'm Forest6.2
Coventry3.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Nott'm Forest1.3
Coventry1.3
1H total0.8
2H total1.8
Gillett averages 3.7 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Nott'm Forest
50%
Level
37%
Coventry
13%
Expected 2H goals Nott'm Forest 0.96 — 0.35 Coventry

2H corners split

Expected total5
Nott'm Forest3.2
Coventry1.7

2H yellow cards split

Expected total1.8
Nott'm Forest0.9
Coventry0.9

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Nott'm Forest
67%
1H · Draw
28%
1H · Coventry
5%
Expected 1H goals Nott'm Forest 1.35 — 0.21 Coventry · Over 0.5: Over (79%) · Over 1.5: Under (46%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.6
Nott'm Forest3
Coventry1.6
O/U 4.5Even · 49%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total0.8
Nott'm Forest0.4
Coventry0.4
O/U 1.5Under · 81%
2H expected total1.8
Nott'm Forest 2H0.9
Coventry 2H0.9
Gillett averages 1.5 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Gillett averages 2.4 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Lorenzo Lucca (0.19 xG) is Nott'm Forest's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Nott'm Forest · 2 listed

Nicolas Dominguezinjury
1 · Other
Nicolo Savonainjury
1 · Knee

Coventry · 7 listed

Frank Onyekadoubt
1 · Other
Frank Onyekadoubt
1 · Other
Bobby Thomasdoubt
1 · Calf
Luke Woolfendeninjury
1 · Knee
Josh Ecclesinjury
1 · Other
Haji Wrightinjury
1 · Thigh
Aurele Amendainjury
1 · Calf

Match analysis

Nott'm Forest vs Coventry (Premier League). Model call: Nott'm Forest to win match full time (79% / 15% / 6%).

Nott'm Forest holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Nott'm Forest 1.78 — 0.58 Coventry. Nott'm Forest home form -0.04; Coventry away form -3.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Nicolas Dominguez, Nott'm Forest's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Josh Eccles, Coventry's full-time chance creation is trimmed.