Brentford
v
Chelsea

Premier League · Fri 18 Sep · 21:00 · Referee not yet confirmed

Head-to-head — last 5 at Brentford (home)

D 2025-09-13 Brentford 2–2 Chelsea
D 2025-04-06 Brentford 0–0 Chelsea
D 2024-03-02 Brentford 2–2 Chelsea
D 2022-10-19 Brentford 0–0 Chelsea
L 2021-10-16 Brentford 0–1 Chelsea
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Chelsea (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
7–3
1–1
0–0
2026-05-24
ALiverpool
D
1–1
2–14
3–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HCrystal Palace
D
2–2
9–4
1–3
0–0
2026-05-09
AMan City
L
0–3
2–10
2–4
0–0
2026-05-02
HWest Ham
W
3–0
2–6
1–3
0–0
2026-04-27
AMan United
L
1–2
8–7
4–2
0–0
2026-04-18
HFulham
D
0–0
9–3
0–1
0–0
2026-04-11
HEverton
D
2–2
2–3
0–2
0–0
2026-03-21
ALeeds
D
0–0
2–6
0–2
0–0
2026-03-16
HWolves
D
2–2
1–5
2–4
0–0
2026-03-03
ABournemouth
D
0–0
3–4
1–2
0–0
2026-02-28
ABurnley
W
4–3
8–4
2–2
0–0
2026-02-21
HBrighton
L
0–2
6–4
1–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
HHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrighton
W
4–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
AFulham
W
3–2
4–6
3–2
0–0
2026-05-24
ASunderland
L
1–2
7–7
2–3
0–0
2026-05-19
HTottenham
W
2–1
3–4
4–3
0–0
2026-05-09
ALiverpool
D
1–1
2–5
4–2
0–0
2026-05-04
HNott'm Forest
L
1–3
10–1
3–1
0–0
2026-04-21
ABrighton
L
0–3
5–6
1–1
0–0
2026-04-18
HMan United
L
0–1
7–1
1–3
0–0
2026-04-12
HMan City
L
0–3
4–12
3–1
0–0
2026-03-21
AEverton
L
0–3
9–3
2–0
0–0
2026-03-14
HNewcastle
L
0–1
8–1
2–2
0–0
2026-03-04
AAston Villa
W
4–1
8–3
2–3
0–0
2026-03-01
AArsenal
L
1–2
10–5
3–1
1–0
2026-02-21
HBurnley
D
1–1
9–5
2–2
1–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-01-17
AChelsea
L
0–2
9–3
2–3
0–0
2025-09-13
HChelsea
D
2–2
5–6
3–2
0–0
2025-04-06
HChelsea
D
0–0
3–6
1–3
0–0
2024-12-15
AChelsea
L
1–2
5–8
2–0
0–1
2024-03-02
HChelsea
D
2–2
0–6
3–1
0–0
2023-10-28
AChelsea
W
2–0
1–10
4–1
0–0
2023-04-26
AChelsea
W
2–0
2–5
2–1
0–0
2022-10-19
HChelsea
D
0–0
6–2
0–0
0–0
2022-04-02
AChelsea
W
4–1
7–12
0–0
0–0
2021-10-16
HChelsea
L
0–1
5–5
1–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Brentford
Chelsea
Possession %
48
53
xG
0.89
0.73
Shots
5.2
4.8
On target
2.1
1.7
Off target
2.1
1.4
Corners
2.6
2.5
Yellow cards
0.1
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Brentford — higher 2H xG, shots and corners
Brentford
Chelsea
Possession %
57
57
xG
1.22
0.72
Shots
7.7
5.4
On target
2.4
2.1
Off target
3.4
1.9
Corners
2.9
2.3
Yellow cards
0.8
2.2
Red cards
0.0
0.3

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Brentford
54%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Chelsea
20%
Brentford at home
Expected goals: 1.82
Conceded goals: 1
Chelsea away
Expected goals: 1.62
Conceded goals: 1.68
Projected for this match: Brentford 1.74 — 1.35 Chelsea
Expected goals: Brentford 1.74 — 1.35 Chelsea

Likely scores

1-111%
2-19.3%
1-07.6%

Goals markets

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS61.4%

Corners (90 min)

Brentford4.7
Chelsea6

Yellow cards (90 min)

Brentford1.8
Chelsea2.4
1H total1
2H total3.2

Second half

Brentford
37%
Level
36%
Chelsea
27%
Expected 2H goals Brentford 0.87 — 0.7 Chelsea

2H corners

Expected total5.5
Brentford2.4
Chelsea3.2

2H yellow cards

Expected total3.2
Brentford1.4
Chelsea1.8

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Brentford
36%
1H · Draw
39%
1H · Chelsea
25%
Expected 1H goals Brentford 0.78 — 0.59 Chelsea · Over 0.5: Over (75%) · Over 1.5: Under (40%)

1H corners

Expected total5.2
Brentford2.4
Chelsea2.8
O/U 5.5Under · 58%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1
Brentford0.4
Chelsea0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total3.2
Brentford 2H1.4
Chelsea 2H1.8

Igor Thiago (0.45 xG) is Brentford's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Mamadou Sarr (0.57 xG) is Chelsea's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Brentford · 5 listed

Sepp van den Berginjury
1 · Groin
Nathan Collinsinjury
1 · Calf
Joshua Dasilvainjury
1 · Thigh
Mathias Jenseninjury
1 · Other
Antoni Milamboinjury
1 · Knee

Chelsea · 4 listed

Mykhaylo Mudrykinjury
1 · Ankle
Moises Caicedodoubt
1 · Calf
Jordan Hendersondoubt
1 · Wrist
Marco Palestrainjury
1 · Other

Match analysis

Brentford vs Chelsea (Premier League). Model call: Brentford to win match full time (54% / 26% / 20%).

Brentford holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Brentford 1.74 — 1.35 Chelsea. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Chelsea. Brentford home form +0.82; Chelsea away form -0.06.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Joshua Dasilva, Brentford's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Mykhaylo Mudryk, Chelsea's full-time attack is trimmed.