Vallecano
v
Celta

La Liga · Sat 31 Oct · 17:15 · Referee: Manuel Orellana Cid

Head-to-head — last 5 at Vallecano (home)

W 2026-10-31 Vallecano 3–0 Celta
D 2025-09-21 Vallecano 1–1 Celta
W 2025-01-10 Vallecano 2–1 Celta
D 2023-12-11 Vallecano 0–0 Celta
D 2022-11-10 Vallecano 0–0 Celta
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Vallecano (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ASociedad
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HCelta
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HElche
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
AGetafe
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
AOsasuna
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HEspanol
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HEspanol
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AReal Madrid
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AReal Madrid
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HSantander
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
ABarcelona
L
2–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-20
HAlaves
D
1–1
9–7
1–2
0–0
2026-08-20
HAlaves
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-15
ASevilla
L
1–2
2–1
4–4
0–1
2026-08-15
ASevilla
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HLevante
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AVallecano
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBetis
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HAlaves
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
AElche
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HSantander
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AGetafe
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AGetafe
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-03
ASociedad
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HAth Bilbao
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HAth Bilbao
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-27
HOsasuna
L
1–2
5–3
0–1
1–0
2026-08-27
HOsasuna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-31
HCelta
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-01-18
ACelta
L
0–3
7–5
3–4
1–0
2025-09-21
HCelta
D
1–1
5–7
1–1
0–0
2025-05-18
ACelta
W
2–1
2–9
3–2
0–0
2025-01-10
HCelta
W
2–1
3–3
2–3
0–1
2024-03-31
ACelta
D
0–0
2–3
3–3
0–0
2023-12-11
HCelta
D
0–0
8–1
3–0
0–0
2023-03-11
ACelta
L
0–3
7–3
3–2
0–0
2022-11-10
HCelta
D
0–0
5–3
7–1
0–0
2022-02-05
ACelta
L
0–2
2–7
2–0
0–0
2021-11-01
HCelta
D
0–0
4–7
2–5
0–0
2019-05-18
ACelta
D
2–2
5–3
4–0
0–0
2019-01-11
HCelta
W
4–2
7–5
4–1
0–0
2016-01-23
HCelta
W
3–0
7–1
3–5
0–0
2015-08-29
ACelta
L
0–3
4–5
2–2
1–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Vallecano
Celta
Possession %
58
43
xG
0.37
0.38
Shots
5.5
3.5
On target
1.6
1.7
Off target
2.1
0.9
Corners
2.8
0.0
Yellow cards
0.5
2.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Vallecano — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Vallecano
Celta
Possession %
54
41
xG
1.07
0.35
Shots
9.8
2.9
On target
4.4
1.3
Off target
3.3
0.5
Corners
1.8
0.0
Yellow cards
1.1
0.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Vallecano
52%
X · Draw
32%
2 · Celta
16%
Vallecano at home
Expected goals: 1.44
Conceded goals: 0.83
Celta away
Expected goals: 1.05
Conceded goals: 0.94
Projected for this match: Vallecano 1.25 — 1 Celta
Expected goals: Vallecano 1.25 — 1 Celta

Likely scores

1-113.6%
1-012.8%
0-011%

Goals markets

Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539%
Over 3.519%
BTTS45.4%

Corners (90 min)

Vallecano4.5
Celta4.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Vallecano2.1
Celta2.1
1H total1.4
2H total2.9

Second half

Vallecano
39%
Level
37%
Celta
24%
Expected 2H goals Vallecano 0.87 — 0.61 Celta

2H corners split

Expected total5.3
Vallecano2.7
Celta2.6

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.9
Vallecano1.4
Celta1.5
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Vallecano
25%
1H · Draw
47%
1H · Celta
28%
Expected 1H goals Vallecano 0.48 — 0.52 Celta · Over 0.5: Over (63%) · Over 1.5: Under (26%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.6
Vallecano1.8
Celta1.8
O/U 3.5Even · 48%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.4
Vallecano0.7
Celta0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 59%
2H expected total2.9
Vallecano 2H1.4
Celta 2H1.5
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Randy Nteka (0.38 xG) is Vallecano's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Javier Rueda (0.15 xG) is Celta's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Vallecano · 5 listed

Unai Lopezsuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Oscar Valentindoubt
1 · Knee
Alvaro Garciadoubt
1 · Other
Luiz Felipedoubt
1 · Other
Augusto Batallainjury
1 · Lower leg

Celta · 7 listed

Ilaix Moribadoubt
1 · Knee
Manuel Sanchezdoubt
1 · Hamstring
Alvaro Nunezdoubt
1 · Groin
Borja Iglesiasdoubt
1 · Calf
Carl Starfeltdoubt
1 · Hamstring
Miguel Romandoubt
1 · Knee
Jones El-Abdellaouidoubt
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Vallecano vs Celta (La Liga). Model call: Vallecano to win match full time (52% / 32% / 16%).

Vallecano holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Vallecano 1.25 — 1 Celta. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Vallecano. Vallecano home form +0.61; Celta away form +0.12.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Unai Lopez, Vallecano's full-time chance creation is trimmed.