Roma
v
Cagliari

Serie A · Tue 27 Oct · 21:45 · Referee: Ermanno Feliciani

Head-to-head — last 5 at Roma (home)

W 2026-10-27 Roma 4–2 Cagliari
W 2026-02-09 Roma 2–0 Cagliari
W 2025-03-16 Roma 1–0 Cagliari
W 2024-02-05 Roma 4–0 Cagliari
W 2022-01-16 Roma 1–0 Cagliari
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.14 → Roma (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HSassuolo
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AUdinese
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
HCagliari
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
ANapoli
D
3–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HGenoa
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
AComo
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HInter
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ATorino
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ATorino
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HAtalanta
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
ALecce
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
HFiorentina
W
4–0
2–3
2–2
0–0
2026-08-24
HFiorentina
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AVerona
W
2–0
6–6
1–3
0–1
2026-05-17
HLazio
W
2–0
8–3
2–3
1–1
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HFrosinone
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ALazio
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
ARoma
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HBologna
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
AMonza
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HJuventus
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
AUdinese
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAtalanta
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAtalanta
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HLecce
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HLecce
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HInter
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HInter
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AParma
W
1–0
2–3
2–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AParma
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-27
HCagliari
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-02-09
HCagliari
W
2–0
7–1
2–4
0–0
2025-12-07
ACagliari
L
0–1
1–4
1–2
1–0
2025-03-16
HCagliari
W
1–0
8–3
0–2
0–0
2024-08-18
ACagliari
D
0–0
3–5
0–2
0–0
2024-02-05
HCagliari
W
4–0
7–5
1–1
0–0
2023-10-08
ACagliari
W
4–1
3–4
3–2
0–0
2022-01-16
HCagliari
W
1–0
1–1
3–4
0–0
2021-10-27
ACagliari
W
2–1
10–2
4–3
0–0
2021-04-25
ACagliari
L
2–3
10–4
1–3
0–0
2020-12-23
HCagliari
W
3–2
6–0
3–2
0–0
2020-03-01
ACagliari
W
4–3
7–2
5–4
0–0
2019-10-06
HCagliari
D
1–1
7–1
1–4
0–0
2019-04-27
HCagliari
W
3–0
5–5
1–2
0–0
2018-12-08
ACagliari
D
2–2
5–7
1–3
0–2

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Roma
Cagliari
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.3
2.0
Yellow cards (est.)
0.4
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1
Too close to call
Roma
Cagliari
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.5
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
0.9
1.3
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.1

Full-time call

BET · HOME (75.9%)
1 · Roma
76%
X · Draw
17%
2 · Cagliari
7%
Roma at home
Expected goals: 2.3
Conceded goals: 0.43
Cagliari away
Expected goals: 0.92
Conceded goals: 1.42
Projected for this match: Roma 1.89 — 0.79 Cagliari
Expected goals: Roma 1.89 — 0.79 Cagliari

Likely scores

1-012.6%
2-012.2%
1-110.6%

Goals markets

Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS46.7%

Corners (90 min)

Roma4.7
Cagliari4.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Roma1.3
Cagliari1.9
1H total1
2H total2.2

Second half

Roma
45%
Level
35%
Cagliari
20%
Expected 2H goals Roma 1.03 — 0.57 Cagliari

2H corners split

Expected total4.6
Roma2.5
Cagliari2.2

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.2
Roma0.9
Cagliari1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Roma
41%
1H · Draw
43%
1H · Cagliari
16%
Expected 1H goals Roma 0.75 — 0.36 Cagliari · Over 0.5: Over (67%) · Over 1.5: Under (31%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.3
Roma2.3
Cagliari2
O/U 4.5Under · 57%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1
Roma0.4
Cagliari0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total2.2
Roma 2H0.9
Cagliari 2H1.3
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Mario Hermoso (0.29 xG) is Roma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Gennaro Borrelli (0.38 xG) is Cagliari's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Roma · 8 listed

Wesleysuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Neil El Aynaouidoubt
1 · Ankle
Gianluca Mancinidoubt
1 · Thigh
Paulo Dybalainjury
1 · Calf
Devyne Renschdoubt
1 · Thigh
Pierluigi Gollinidoubt
1 · Low back
Lorenzo Pellegriniinjury
1 · Thigh
Mile Svilardoubt
1 · Foot

Cagliari · 10 listed

Adam Obertsuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Yerry Minadoubt
1 · Thigh
Giuseppe Aureliodoubt
1 · Thigh
Yael Trepydoubt
1 · Thigh
Harry Winksdoubt
1 · Low back
Kingstone Mutandwainjury
1 · Ankle
Mattia Feliciinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Riyad Idrissiinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Alieu Faderadoubt
1 · Hamstring
Michael Folorunshodoubt
1 · Calf

Match analysis

Roma vs Cagliari (Serie A). Model call: Roma to win match full time (76% / 17% / 7%).

Roma holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Roma 1.89 — 0.79 Cagliari. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Roma. Roma home form +1.87; Cagliari away form -0.49.

First-half lean: Level. Without Lorenzo Pellegrini, Roma's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Mattia Felici, Cagliari's full-time chance creation is trimmed.