Parma
v
Cagliari

Serie A · Sat 22 Aug · 20:45 · Referee: Daniele Perenzoni

Head-to-head — last 5 at Parma (home)

L 2026-08-22 Parma 0–1 Cagliari
D 2026-02-27 Parma 1–1 Cagliari
L 2024-09-30 Parma 2–3 Cagliari
D 2020-12-16 Parma 0–0 Cagliari
L 2019-09-15 Parma 1–3 Cagliari
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.28 → Cagliari (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HBologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
AAtalanta
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HUdinese
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
ALazio
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
HTorino
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AInter
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HGenoa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AComo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AComo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HMonza
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
3–2
0–2
0–0
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HSassuolo
W
1–0
1–1
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HFrosinone
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ALazio
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
ARoma
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HBologna
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
AMonza
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HJuventus
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
AUdinese
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAtalanta
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAtalanta
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HLecce
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HLecce
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HInter
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HInter
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AParma
W
1–0
2–3
2–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AParma
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
3–2
0–2
0–0
2026-02-27
HCagliari
D
1–1
6–3
2–4
0–0
2025-09-13
ACagliari
L
0–2
5–4
1–3
0–0
2025-02-09
ACagliari
L
1–2
6–7
0–0
0–0
2024-09-30
HCagliari
L
2–3
5–3
3–2
0–0
2021-04-17
ACagliari
L
3–4
4–0
2–4
0–0
2020-12-16
HCagliari
D
0–0
8–5
1–1
0–0
2020-02-01
ACagliari
D
2–2
7–8
2–3
0–0
2019-09-15
HCagliari
L
1–3
12–3
0–5
0–0
2019-02-16
ACagliari
L
1–2
4–1
1–5
0–1
2018-09-22
HCagliari
W
2–0
4–11
2–1
0–0
2015-05-04
ACagliari
L
0–4
4–4
1–3
0–0
2014-12-14
HCagliari
D
0–0
4–3
4–4
0–0
2014-04-27
ACagliari
L
0–1
9–5
1–1
1–0
2013-12-15
HCagliari
D
0–0
5–3
4–4
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Parma
Cagliari
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.9
2.3
Yellow cards (est.)
0.4
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Parma
Cagliari
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.1
2.5
Yellow cards (est.)
0.8
1.1
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.0

Full-time call

BET · UNDER 2 5 (72%)
1 · Parma
21%
X · Draw
40%
2 · Cagliari
39%
Parma at home
Expected goals: 0.83
Conceded goals: 1.25
Cagliari away
Expected goals: 0.92
Conceded goals: 1.42
Projected for this match: Parma 0.76 — 1.08 Cagliari
Expected goals: Parma 0.76 — 1.08 Cagliari

Likely scores

0-116.8%
0-016.3%
1-113.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.528%
Over 3.511.5%
BTTS35.6%

Corners (90 min)

Parma4
Cagliari4.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Parma1.2
Cagliari1.6
1H total0.9
2H total1.9

Second half

Parma
27%
Level
41%
Cagliari
32%
Expected 2H goals Parma 0.62 — 0.7 Cagliari

2H corners split

Expected total4.6
Parma2.1
Cagliari2.5

2H yellow cards split

Expected total1.9
Parma0.8
Cagliari1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Parma
19%
1H · Draw
55%
1H · Cagliari
26%
Expected 1H goals Parma 0.33 — 0.42 Cagliari · Over 0.5: Over (53%) · Over 1.5: Under (17%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.3
Parma1.9
Cagliari2.3
O/U 4.5Under · 57%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total0.9
Parma0.4
Cagliari0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 77%
2H expected total1.9
Parma 2H0.8
Cagliari 2H1.1

Gabriel Strefezza (0.25 xG) is Parma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Gennaro Borrelli (0.38 xG) is Cagliari's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Parma · 4 listed

Abdoulaye N'Diayesuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
David Romerodoubt
1 · Shoulder
Adrian Bernabedoubt
1 · Muscle
Lautaro Valentisuspension
1 · Banned by club

Cagliari · 10 listed

Adam Obertsuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Yerry Minadoubt
1 · Thigh
Giuseppe Aureliodoubt
1 · Thigh
Yael Trepydoubt
1 · Thigh
Harry Winksdoubt
1 · Low back
Kingstone Mutandwainjury
1 · Ankle
Mattia Feliciinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Riyad Idrissiinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Alieu Faderadoubt
1 · Hamstring
Michael Folorunshodoubt
1 · Calf

Match analysis

Parma vs Cagliari (Serie A). Model call: Draw (21% / 40% / 39%).

Cagliari holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Parma 0.76 — 1.08 Cagliari. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Cagliari. Parma home form -0.42; Cagliari away form -0.49.

First-half lean: Level. Without Mattia Felici, Cagliari's full-time chance creation is trimmed.