Monzav
Cagliari
Serie A · Mon 19 Oct · 18:30 · Referee: Andrea Calzavara
Head-to-head — last 3 at Monza (home)
W
2026-10-19
Monza 4–0 Cagliari
L
2025-01-05
Monza 1–2 Cagliari
W
2024-03-16
Monza 1–0 Cagliari
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Cagliari (4 meetings on file)
Last Matches
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HAtalanta
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HNapoli
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
ATorino
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
HCagliari
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ALazio
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
HSassuolo
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ALecce
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ALecce
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AParma
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HUdinese
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HUdinese
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AInter
L
1–4
3–3
2–2
0–0
2026-08-22
AInter
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-05-24
AMilan
L
0–2
6–4
1–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HFrosinone
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ALazio
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
ARoma
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HBologna
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
AMonza
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HJuventus
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
AUdinese
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAtalanta
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAtalanta
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HLecce
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HLecce
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HInter
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HInter
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AParma
W
1–0
2–3
2–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AParma
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-19
HCagliari
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-03-30
ACagliari
L
0–3
6–4
2–2
0–0
2025-01-05
HCagliari
L
1–2
1–3
2–2
1–0
2024-03-16
HCagliari
W
1–0
3–7
2–1
0–0
2023-11-26
ACagliari
D
1–1
11–10
2–1
0–0
Venue tag: H = home, A = away.
Period stats — 1H / 2H
Too close to call
Monza
CagliariPossession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.9
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Monza
CagliariPossession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.0
2.4
Yellow cards (est.)
1.0
1.1
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1
Full-time call
NO BET
1 · Monza
16%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Cagliari
54%
Monza at home
Expected goals: 0.6
Conceded goals: 1.9
Cagliari away
Expected goals: 0.92
Conceded goals: 1.42
Projected for this match: Monza 0.85 — 1.56 Cagliari
Expected goals: Monza 0.85 — 1.56 Cagliari
Likely scores
0-113.7%
1-112.2%
0-211%
Goals markets
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS45.5%
Corners (90 min)
Monza3.9
Cagliari4.6
Yellow cards (90 min)
Monza1.5
Cagliari1.7
1H total1
2H total2.1
Second half
Monza
15%
Level
33%
Cagliari
52%
2H corners split
Expected total4.4
Monza2
Cagliari2.4
2H yellow cards split
Expected total2.1
Monza1
Cagliari1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1
First half
No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Monza
21%
1H · Draw
46%
1H · Cagliari
33%
1H corners split
Expected total4.1
Monza1.9
Cagliari2.2
O/U 3.5Over · 59%
1H yellow cards split
Expected total1
Monza0.5
Cagliari0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total2.1
Monza 2H1
Cagliari 2H1.1
Gennaro Borrelli (0.38 xG) is Cagliari's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Squad availability
Monza · 2 listed
Ivan Juricsuspension
Samuele Birindellidoubt
Cagliari · 10 listed
Adam Obertsuspension
Yerry Minadoubt
Giuseppe Aureliodoubt
Yael Trepydoubt
Harry Winksdoubt
Kingstone Mutandwainjury
Mattia Feliciinjury
Riyad Idrissiinjury
Alieu Faderadoubt
Michael Folorunshodoubt
Match analysis
Monza vs Cagliari (Serie A). Model call: Cagliari to win match full time (16% / 30% / 54%).
Cagliari holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Monza 0.85 — 1.56 Cagliari. H2H (4 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Cagliari. Monza home form -1.3; Cagliari away form -0.49.
First-half lean: No bet. Without Ivan Juric, Monza's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Mattia Felici, Cagliari's full-time chance creation is trimmed.