Leeds
v
Brentford

Premier League · Sun 30 Aug · 15:00 · Referee: Tony Harrington

Head-to-head — last 4 at Leeds (home)

D 2026-08-30 Leeds 1–1 Brentford
D 2026-03-21 Leeds 0–0 Brentford
D 2023-01-22 Leeds 0–0 Brentford
D 2021-12-05 Leeds 2–2 Brentford
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Leeds (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HTottenham
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABournemouth
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ASunderland
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HMan United
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AArsenal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HCrystal Palace
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ABrighton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
2–3
1–2
0–0
2026-08-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AWest Ham
L
0–3
4–6
3–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBrighton
W
1–0
7–8
1–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ABrighton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HNott'm Forest
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AHull
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HLiverpool
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AAston Villa
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
HChelsea
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HSunderland
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
7–3
1–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ALiverpool
D
1–1
2–14
3–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HCrystal Palace
D
2–2
9–4
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-21
HBrentford
D
0–0
6–2
2–0
0–0
2025-12-14
ABrentford
D
1–1
3–0
0–0
0–0
2023-01-22
HBrentford
D
0–0
2–3
2–2
0–0
2022-09-03
ABrentford
L
2–5
6–2
2–2
0–0
2022-05-22
ABrentford
W
2–1
2–3
1–2
0–1
2021-12-05
HBrentford
D
2–2
5–1
5–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Leeds — higher 1H xG, SOT and possession
Leeds
Brentford
Possession %
51
44
xG
0.84
0.48
Shots
6.7
3.5
On target
1.9
1.3
Off target
2.6
1.1
Corners
3.1
1.8
Yellow cards
0.8
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Leeds — higher 2H xG, SOT and shots
Leeds
Brentford
Possession %
46
47
xG
0.93
0.73
Shots
7.3
5.5
On target
2.5
1.9
Off target
2.4
2.1
Corners
2.9
1.8
Yellow cards
1.1
2.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Leeds
34%
X · Draw
35%
2 · Brentford
31%
Leeds at home
Expected goals: 1.51
Conceded goals: 0.95
Brentford away
Expected goals: 1.11
Conceded goals: 1.52
Projected for this match: Leeds 1.19 — 1.35 Brentford
Expected goals: Leeds 1.19 — 1.35 Brentford

Likely scores

1-113%
0-110.3%
1-09%

Goals markets

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS52%

Corners (90 min)

Leeds5.1
Brentford5.7

Yellow cards (90 min)

Leeds1.9
Brentford1.7
1H total1.2
2H total2.5
Harrington averages 3.6 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Leeds
30%
Level
36%
Brentford
34%
Expected 2H goals Leeds 0.76 — 0.84 Brentford

2H corners

Expected total5.3
Leeds1.9
Brentford3.4

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.5
Leeds1.3
Brentford1.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Leeds
26%
1H · Draw
50%
1H · Brentford
24%
Expected 1H goals Leeds 0.46 — 0.44 Brentford · Over 0.5: Over (59%) · Over 1.5: Under (23%)

1H corners

Expected total5.5
Leeds3.2
Brentford2.3
O/U 5.5Under · 53%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.2
Leeds0.7
Brentford0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.5
Leeds 2H1.3
Brentford 2H1.2
Harrington averages 3.6 yellows a match, which trims the 1H card line.
Harrington averages 3.6 yellows a match, which trims the 2H card line.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (0.26 xG) is Leeds' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Igor Thiago (0.45 xG), Brentford's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Leeds · 2 listed

Anton Stachdoubt
1 · Ankle
Mateo Josephinjury
1 · Ankle

Brentford · 5 listed

Igor Thiagosuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Joshua Dasilvainjury
1 · Thigh
Fabio Carvalhoinjury
1 · Knock
Rico Henryinjury
1 · Groin
Antoni Milamboinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Leeds vs Brentford (Premier League). Model call: Draw (34% / 35% / 31%).

Leeds holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Leeds 1.19 — 1.35 Brentford. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Leeds. Leeds home form +0.56; Brentford away form -0.42.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Mateo Joseph, Leeds' full-time attack is trimmed. Without Joshua Dasilva, Brentford's full-time chance creation is trimmed.