Brighton
v
Brentford

Premier League · Sun 8 Nov · 16:00 · Referee: Michael Oliver

Head-to-head — last 5 at Brighton (home)

W 2026-11-08 Brighton 2–0 Brentford
W 2025-11-22 Brighton 2–1 Brentford
D 2024-12-27 Brighton 0–0 Brentford
W 2023-12-06 Brighton 2–1 Brentford
D 2023-04-01 Brighton 3–3 Brentford
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Brighton (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HBrentford
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AMan City
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ALiverpool
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HCrystal Palace
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
ASunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HArsenal
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACoventry
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACoventry
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HLeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AChelsea
L
3–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AChelsea
L
3–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HAston Villa
W
4–0
5–2
2–3
0–1
2026-08-23
HAston Villa
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HMan United
L
0–3
0–3
0–1
0–0
2026-05-17
ALeeds
L
0–1
8–7
0–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ABrighton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HNott'm Forest
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AHull
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HLiverpool
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AAston Villa
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
HChelsea
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HSunderland
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
7–3
1–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ALiverpool
D
1–1
2–14
3–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HCrystal Palace
D
2–2
9–4
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HBrentford
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-02-21
ABrentford
W
2–0
4–6
2–1
0–0
2025-11-22
HBrentford
W
2–1
7–4
4–2
0–0
2025-04-19
ABrentford
L
2–4
8–4
3–3
1–0
2024-12-27
HBrentford
D
0–0
5–3
0–2
0–0
2024-04-03
ABrentford
D
0–0
5–1
1–1
0–0
2023-12-06
HBrentford
W
2–1
7–3
3–1
0–0
2023-04-01
HBrentford
D
3–3
14–0
2–1
0–0
2022-10-14
ABrentford
L
0–2
11–2
1–3
0–0
2021-12-26
HBrentford
W
2–0
6–9
1–3
0–0
2021-09-11
ABrentford
W
1–0
6–1
2–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Brighton — higher 1H xG, SOT and possession
Brighton
Brentford
Possession %
59
44
xG
0.77
0.48
Shots
5.6
3.5
On target
1.7
1.3
Off target
2.5
1.1
Corners
2.0
1.8
Yellow cards
0.5
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Brighton — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Brighton
Brentford
Possession %
56
47
xG
0.93
0.73
Shots
8.1
5.5
On target
2.9
1.9
Off target
2.6
2.1
Corners
2.3
1.8
Yellow cards
1.2
2.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Brighton
56%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Brentford
18%
Brighton at home
Expected goals: 1.81
Conceded goals: 0.92
Brentford away
Expected goals: 1.11
Conceded goals: 1.52
Projected for this match: Brighton 1.61 — 1.35 Brentford
Expected goals: Brighton 1.61 — 1.35 Brentford

Likely scores

1-111.6%
2-19.1%
1-08%

Goals markets

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS59.6%

Corners (90 min)

Brighton5.6
Brentford4.7

Yellow cards (90 min)

Brighton1.9
Brentford1.8
1H total1.1
2H total2.6
Oliver averages 3.3 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Brighton
31%
Level
41%
Brentford
28%
Expected 2H goals Brighton 0.66 — 0.6 Brentford

2H corners

Expected total5.4
Brighton2.6
Brentford2.8

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.6
Brighton1.3
Brentford1.3

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Brighton
34%
1H · Draw
38%
1H · Brentford
28%
Expected 1H goals Brighton 0.77 — 0.67 Brentford · Over 0.5: Over (76%) · Over 1.5: Under (42%)

1H corners

Expected total4.9
Brighton3
Brentford1.9
O/U 4.5Over · 54%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.1
Brighton0.6
Brentford0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.6
Brighton 2H1.3
Brentford 2H1.3
Oliver averages 0.8 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Oliver averages 2.9 yellows after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Danny Welbeck (0.25 xG) is Brighton's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Igor Thiago (0.45 xG), Brentford's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Brighton · 8 listed

Matias Orozcosuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Pascal Struijkdoubt
1 · Thigh
Femi Azeezinjury
1 · Thigh
Zadok Yohannainjury
1 · Other
Kaoru Mitomainjury
1 · Hamstring
Stefanos Tzimasinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Evan Fergusoninjury
1 · Ankle
Carlos Balebainjury
1 · Thigh

Brentford · 5 listed

Igor Thiagosuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Joshua Dasilvainjury
1 · Thigh
Fabio Carvalhoinjury
1 · Knock
Rico Henryinjury
1 · Groin
Antoni Milamboinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Brighton vs Brentford (Premier League). Model call: Brighton to win match full time (56% / 26% / 18%).

Brighton holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Brighton 1.61 — 1.35 Brentford. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Brighton. Brighton home form +0.89; Brentford away form -0.42.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Matias Orozco, Brighton's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Joshua Dasilva, Brentford's full-time chance creation is trimmed.