Bournemouth v Brentford

Head-to-head — last 5 at Bournemouth (home)

D 2026-09-12 Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford

D 2026-03-03 Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford

L 2025-03-15 Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford

L 2024-05-11 Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford

D 2022-10-01 Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford

Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.28 → Brentford (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-12

HBrentford

D

2–2

0–0

2026-08-29

HEverton

D

1–1

0–0

2026-08-23

AMan City

L

1–2

3–8

2–1

0–0

2026-05-24

ANott'm Forest

D

1–1

3–6

1–1

0–0

2026-05-19

HMan City

D

1–1

7–6

4–2

0–0

2026-05-09

AFulham

W

1–0

2–11

2–4

1–1

2026-05-03

HCrystal Palace

W

3–0

7–1

0–2

0–0

2026-04-22

HLeeds

D

2–2

12–1

3–0

0–0

2026-04-18

ANewcastle

W

2–1

3–2

4–2

0–0

2026-04-11

AArsenal

W

2–1

1–10

3–1

0–0

2026-03-20

HMan United

D

2–2

6–8

2–2

0–1

2026-03-14

ABurnley

D

0–0

8–5

0–1

0–0

2026-03-03

HBrentford

D

0–0

4–3

2–1

0–0

2026-02-28

HSunderland

D

1–1

7–3

4–2

0–0

2026-02-21

AWest Ham

D

0–0

5–9

1–1

0–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-12

ABournemouth

D

2–2

0–0

2026-08-30

ALeeds

D

1–1

0–0

2026-08-22

HTottenham

W

3–0

7–3

1–1

0–0

2026-05-24

ALiverpool

D

1–1

2–14

3–2

0–0

2026-05-17

HCrystal Palace

D

2–2

9–4

1–3

0–0

2026-05-09

AMan City

L

0–3

2–10

2–4

0–0

2026-05-02

HWest Ham

W

3–0

2–6

1–3

0–0

2026-04-27

AMan United

L

1–2

8–7

4–2

0–0

2026-04-18

HFulham

D

0–0

9–3

0–1

0–0

2026-04-11

HEverton

D

2–2

2–3

0–2

0–0

2026-03-21

ALeeds

D

0–0

2–6

0–2

0–0

2026-03-16

HWolves

D

2–2

1–5

2–4

0–0

2026-03-03

ABournemouth

D

0–0

3–4

1–2

0–0

2026-02-28

ABurnley

W

4–3

8–4

2–2

0–0

2026-02-21

HBrighton

L

0–2

6–4

1–2

0–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-12

HBrentford

D

2–2

0–0

2026-03-03

HBrentford

D

0–0

4–3

2–1

0–0

2025-12-27

ABrentford

L

1–4

15–2

2–2

0–0

2025-03-15

HBrentford

L

1–2

4–3

3–0

0–0

2024-11-09

ABrentford

L

2–3

4–6

4–2

0–0

2024-05-11

HBrentford

L

1–2

3–8

2–2

0–0

2023-09-02

ABrentford

D

2–2

2–5

2–1

0–0

2023-01-14

ABrentford

L

0–2

3–5

1–1

0–0

2022-10-01

HBrentford

D

0–0

7–8

1–2

0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Bournemouth — higher 1H xG, SOT and possession

Bournemouth

Brentford

Possession %

50

44

xG

0.69

0.48

Shots

5.6

3.5

On target

2.2

1.3

Off target

2.2

1.1

Corners

3.8

1.8

Yellow cards

0.7

0.3

Red cards

0.0

Second half lean: Bournemouth — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession

Bournemouth

Brentford

Possession %

51

47

xG

1.14

0.73

Shots

8.8

5.5

On target

2.9

1.9

Off target

2.6

2.1

Corners

3.5

1.8

Yellow cards

1.6

2.0

Red cards

0.0

Full-time call

NO BET

1 · Bournemouth

33%

X · Draw

32%

2 · Brentford

35%

Bournemouth at home

Expected goals: 1.61

Conceded goals: 1.11

Brentford away

Expected goals: 1.11

Conceded goals: 1.52

Projected for this match: Bournemouth 1.24 — 1.48 Brentford

Expected goals: Bournemouth 1.24 — 1.48 Brentford

Likely scores

1-112.4%

0-19.4%

1-29%

Goals markets

Over 1.576%

Over 2.551.3%

Over 3.529.2%

BTTS55.3%

Corners (90 min)

Bournemouth5.6

Brentford5.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Bournemouth2.2

Brentford1.6

1H total1.2

2H total2.6

Gillett averages 3.7 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Bournemouth

32%

Level

38%

Brentford

30%

Expected 2H goals Bournemouth 0.77 — 0.73 Brentford

2H corners

Expected total5.7

Bournemouth2.2

Brentford3.5

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.6

Bournemouth1.5

Brentford1.1

2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence

1H · Bournemouth

28%

1H · Draw

45%

1H · Brentford

27%

Expected 1H goals Bournemouth 0.54 — 0.52 Brentford · Over 0.5: Over (66%) · Over 1.5: Under (29%)

1H corners

Expected total5.3

Bournemouth3.4

Brentford1.9

O/U 5.5Under · 56%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.2

Bournemouth0.7

Brentford0.5

O/U 1.5Under · 66%

2H expected total2.6

Bournemouth 2H1.5

Brentford 2H1.1

Gillett averages 1.5 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.

Gillett averages 2.4 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Evanilson (0.27 xG) is Bournemouth's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Igor Thiago (0.45 xG) is Brentford's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Bournemouth · 5 listed

Tyler Adamsdoubt

1 · Other

Veljko Milosavljevicinjury

1 · Knee

Amine Adliinjury

1 · Calf

Julian Araujoinjury

1 · Thigh

Eli Junior Kroupiinjury

1 · Foot

Brentford · 5 listed

Sepp van den Berginjury

1 · Groin

Nathan Collinsinjury

1 · Calf

Joshua Dasilvainjury

1 · Thigh

Mathias Jenseninjury

1 · Other

Antoni Milamboinjury

1 · Knee

Match analysis

Bournemouth vs Brentford (Premier League). Model call: Brentford to win match full time (33% / 32% / 35%).

Bournemouth holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Bournemouth 1.24 — 1.48 Brentford. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Brentford. Bournemouth home form +0.5; Brentford away form -0.42.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Veljko Milosavljevic, Bournemouth's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Joshua Dasilva, Brentford's full-time chance creation is trimmed.