Bournemouth
v
Brentford

Premier League · Sat 12 Sep · 16:00 · Referee: Jarred Gillett

Head-to-head — last 5 at Bournemouth (home)

D 2026-09-12 Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford
D 2026-03-03 Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford
L 2025-03-15 Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford
L 2024-05-11 Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford
D 2022-10-01 Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.28 → Brentford (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AIpswich
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HLeeds
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AMan United
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AChelsea
L
1–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLiverpool
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ANewcastle
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
3–8
2–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
3–6
1–1
0–0
2026-05-19
HMan City
D
1–1
7–6
4–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ABrighton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HNott'm Forest
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AHull
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HLiverpool
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AAston Villa
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
HChelsea
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HSunderland
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
7–3
1–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ALiverpool
D
1–1
2–14
3–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HCrystal Palace
D
2–2
9–4
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-03
HBrentford
D
0–0
4–3
2–1
0–0
2025-12-27
ABrentford
L
1–4
15–2
2–2
0–0
2025-03-15
HBrentford
L
1–2
4–3
3–0
0–0
2024-11-09
ABrentford
L
2–3
4–6
4–2
0–0
2024-05-11
HBrentford
L
1–2
3–8
2–2
0–0
2023-09-02
ABrentford
D
2–2
2–5
2–1
0–0
2023-01-14
ABrentford
L
0–2
3–5
1–1
0–0
2022-10-01
HBrentford
D
0–0
7–8
1–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Bournemouth — higher 1H xG, SOT and possession
Bournemouth
Brentford
Possession %
50
44
xG
0.69
0.48
Shots
5.6
3.5
On target
2.2
1.3
Off target
2.2
1.1
Corners
3.8
1.8
Yellow cards
0.7
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Bournemouth — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Bournemouth
Brentford
Possession %
51
47
xG
1.14
0.73
Shots
8.8
5.5
On target
2.9
1.9
Off target
2.6
2.1
Corners
3.5
1.8
Yellow cards
1.6
2.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Bournemouth
34%
X · Draw
32%
2 · Brentford
34%
Bournemouth at home
Expected goals: 1.61
Conceded goals: 1.11
Brentford away
Expected goals: 1.11
Conceded goals: 1.52
Projected for this match: Bournemouth 1.28 — 1.47 Brentford
Expected goals: Bournemouth 1.28 — 1.47 Brentford

Likely scores

1-112.4%
0-19%
1-28.8%

Goals markets

Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS56%

Corners (90 min)

Bournemouth5.6
Brentford5.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Bournemouth2.2
Brentford1.6
1H total1.2
2H total2.6
Gillett averages 3.7 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Bournemouth
32%
Level
38%
Brentford
30%
Expected 2H goals Bournemouth 0.77 — 0.73 Brentford

2H corners

Expected total5.7
Bournemouth2.2
Brentford3.5

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.6
Bournemouth1.5
Brentford1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Bournemouth
28%
1H · Draw
45%
1H · Brentford
27%
Expected 1H goals Bournemouth 0.54 — 0.52 Brentford · Over 0.5: Over (66%) · Over 1.5: Under (29%)

1H corners

Expected total5.3
Bournemouth3.4
Brentford1.9
O/U 5.5Under · 56%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.2
Bournemouth0.7
Brentford0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.6
Bournemouth 2H1.5
Brentford 2H1.1
Gillett averages 1.5 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Gillett averages 2.4 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Evanilson (0.27 xG) is Bournemouth's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Igor Thiago (0.45 xG), Brentford's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Bournemouth · 3 listed

Veljko Milosavljevicdoubt
1 · Knee
Juanlu Sanchezdoubt
1 · Ankle
Julian Araujodoubt
1 · Thigh

Brentford · 5 listed

Igor Thiagosuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Joshua Dasilvainjury
1 · Thigh
Fabio Carvalhoinjury
1 · Knock
Rico Henryinjury
1 · Groin
Antoni Milamboinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Bournemouth vs Brentford (Premier League). Model call: Bournemouth to win match full time (34% / 32% / 34%).

Bournemouth holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Bournemouth 1.28 — 1.47 Brentford. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Brentford. Bournemouth home form +0.5; Brentford away form -0.42.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Joshua Dasilva, Brentford's full-time chance creation is trimmed.