Aston Villa
v
Brentford

Premier League · Sat 10 Oct · 16:00 · Referee: Craig Pawson

Head-to-head — last 5 at Aston Villa (home)

D 2026-10-10 Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford
L 2026-02-01 Aston Villa 0–1 Brentford
W 2024-12-04 Aston Villa 3–1 Brentford
D 2024-04-06 Aston Villa 3–3 Brentford
W 2022-10-23 Aston Villa 4–0 Brentford
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Aston Villa (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AMan United
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HMan City
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ANewcastle
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ATottenham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HNott'm Forest
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HNott'm Forest
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AHull
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ABrighton
L
0–4
2–5
3–2
1–0
2026-08-23
ABrighton
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AMan City
W
2–1
4–9
0–1
0–0
2026-05-15
HLiverpool
W
4–2
4–9
3–1
0–0
2026-05-10
ABurnley
D
2–2
8–2
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ABrighton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HNott'm Forest
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AHull
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HLiverpool
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AAston Villa
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
HChelsea
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HSunderland
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
7–3
1–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ALiverpool
D
1–1
2–14
3–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HCrystal Palace
D
2–2
9–4
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-10
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-02-01
HBrentford
L
0–1
12–1
0–3
0–0
2025-08-23
ABrentford
L
0–1
9–2
2–1
0–0
2025-03-08
ABrentford
W
1–0
5–6
2–2
0–0
2024-12-04
HBrentford
W
3–1
10–5
2–2
0–0
2024-04-06
HBrentford
D
3–3
11–3
2–2
0–0
2023-12-17
ABrentford
W
2–1
12–7
4–6
1–1
2023-04-22
ABrentford
D
1–1
4–8
2–3
0–0
2022-10-23
HBrentford
W
4–0
7–6
1–0
0–0
2022-01-02
ABrentford
L
1–2
7–3
2–2
0–0
2021-08-28
HBrentford
D
1–1
3–2
3–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Aston Villa — higher 1H xG, SOT and shots
Aston Villa
Brentford
Possession %
47
44
xG
0.70
0.48
Shots
5.2
3.5
On target
2.0
1.3
Off target
1.6
1.1
Corners
1.8
1.8
Yellow cards
0.6
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Aston Villa — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Aston Villa
Brentford
Possession %
53
47
xG
1.25
0.73
Shots
8.0
5.5
On target
3.6
1.9
Off target
2.1
2.1
Corners
3.2
1.8
Yellow cards
1.1
2.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Aston Villa
26%
X · Draw
31%
2 · Brentford
43%
Aston Villa at home
Expected goals: 1.91
Conceded goals: 1.43
Brentford away
Expected goals: 1.11
Conceded goals: 1.52
Projected for this match: Aston Villa 1.26 — 1.8 Brentford
Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.26 — 1.8 Brentford

Likely scores

1-111%
1-29.6%
0-18.1%

Goals markets

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559%
Over 3.536.6%
BTTS60.1%

Corners (90 min)

Aston Villa5.5
Brentford5.1

Yellow cards (90 min)

Aston Villa1.9
Brentford1.8
1H total1.2
2H total2.5
Pawson averages 3.6 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Aston Villa
35%
Level
36%
Brentford
29%
Expected 2H goals Aston Villa 0.86 — 0.74 Brentford

2H corners

Expected total5.5
Aston Villa2.6
Brentford2.9

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.5
Aston Villa1.3
Brentford1.3

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Aston Villa
18%
1H · Draw
37%
1H · Brentford
45%
Expected 1H goals Aston Villa 0.49 — 0.95 Brentford · Over 0.5: Over (76%) · Over 1.5: Under (42%)

1H corners

Expected total5.1
Aston Villa2.8
Brentford2.3
O/U 4.5Over · 58%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.2
Aston Villa0.6
Brentford0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.5
Aston Villa 2H1.3
Brentford 2H1.3
Pawson averages 0.6 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Pawson averages 3.1 yellows after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Ollie Watkins (0.28 xG) is Aston Villa's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Igor Thiago (0.45 xG), Brentford's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Aston Villa · 4 listed

Matty Cashsuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Johan Manzambidoubt
1 · Calf
Matteo Ruggeriinjury
1 · Thigh
Amadou Onanainjury
1 · Knee

Brentford · 5 listed

Igor Thiagosuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Joshua Dasilvainjury
1 · Thigh
Fabio Carvalhoinjury
1 · Knock
Rico Henryinjury
1 · Groin
Antoni Milamboinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Aston Villa vs Brentford (Premier League). Model call: Brentford to win match full time (26% / 31% / 43%).

Projected xG Aston Villa 1.26 — 1.8 Brentford. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Aston Villa. Aston Villa home form +0.49; Brentford away form -0.42.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Matteo Ruggeri, Aston Villa's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Joshua Dasilva, Brentford's full-time chance creation is trimmed.