Newcastle
v
Bournemouth

Premier League · Sat 5 Sep · 13:30 · Referee: Robert Jones

Head-to-head — last 5 at Newcastle (home)

D 2026-09-05 Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth
L 2026-04-18 Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth
L 2025-01-18 Newcastle 1–4 Bournemouth
D 2024-02-17 Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth
D 2022-09-17 Newcastle 1–1 Bournemouth
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Bournemouth (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
HEverton
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ACrystal Palace
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HAston Villa
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
ACoventry
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HHull
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ALeeds
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ALeeds
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HBournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ATottenham
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ATottenham
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HLiverpool
D
2–2
2–6
5–3
0–0
2026-08-23
HLiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AFulham
L
0–2
6–6
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HWest Ham
W
3–1
9–1
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AIpswich
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HLeeds
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AMan United
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AChelsea
L
1–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLiverpool
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ANewcastle
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
3–8
2–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
3–6
1–1
0–0
2026-05-19
HMan City
D
1–1
7–6
4–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-05
HBournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-04-18
HBournemouth
L
1–2
2–3
2–4
0–0
2025-09-21
ABournemouth
D
0–0
2–5
1–2
0–0
2025-01-18
HBournemouth
L
1–4
7–6
1–6
0–0
2024-08-25
ABournemouth
D
1–1
9–8
2–2
0–0
2024-02-17
HBournemouth
D
2–2
4–2
1–3
0–0
2023-11-11
ABournemouth
L
0–2
5–6
1–2
0–0
2023-02-11
ABournemouth
D
1–1
6–4
3–2
0–0
2022-09-17
HBournemouth
D
1–1
8–1
2–2
0–0
2020-07-01
ABournemouth
W
4–1
3–6
0–2
0–0
2019-11-09
HBournemouth
W
2–1
5–4
2–0
0–0
2019-03-16
ABournemouth
D
2–2
6–6
2–3
0–0
2018-11-10
HBournemouth
W
2–1
7–10
2–1
0–0
2018-02-24
ABournemouth
D
2–2
1–8
4–1
0–0
2017-11-04
HBournemouth
L
0–1
11–9
2–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Newcastle — higher 1H xG, SOT and corners
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Possession %
51
49
xG
0.98
0.88
Shots
6.2
6.1
On target
2.6
1.6
Off target
1.9
2.3
Corners
3.4
1.8
Yellow cards
0.3
0.3
Red cards
0.1
0.2
Second half lean: Newcastle — higher 2H xG and corners
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Possession %
51
49
xG
1.23
0.96
Shots
7.9
7.1
On target
2.9
2.9
Off target
2.6
2.2
Corners
2.2
1.5
Yellow cards
1.5
1.8
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Newcastle
41%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Bournemouth
30%
Newcastle at home
Expected goals: 2
Conceded goals: 1.68
Bournemouth away
Expected goals: 1.34
Conceded goals: 1.33
Projected for this match: Newcastle 1.45 — 1.45 Bournemouth
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.45 — 1.45 Bournemouth

Likely scores

1-111.9%
2-18.4%
1-28.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533%
BTTS58.9%

Corners (90 min)

Newcastle5.3
Bournemouth4.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Newcastle1.9
Bournemouth2.4
1H total1
2H total3.3
Jones averages 3.9 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Newcastle
25%
Level
36%
Bournemouth
39%
Expected 2H goals Newcastle 0.67 — 0.92 Bournemouth

2H corners

Expected total5.4
Newcastle2.5
Bournemouth2.8

2H yellow cards

Expected total3.3
Newcastle1.6
Bournemouth1.8
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Newcastle
27%
1H · Draw
44%
1H · Bournemouth
29%
Expected 1H goals Newcastle 0.55 — 0.57 Bournemouth · Over 0.5: Over (67%) · Over 1.5: Under (31%)

1H corners

Expected total4.8
Newcastle2.8
Bournemouth2
O/U 4.5Over · 52%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1
Newcastle0.4
Bournemouth0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total3.3
Newcastle 2H1.6
Bournemouth 2H1.8
Jones averages 2.8 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Jones averages 2.5 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Nick Woltemade (0.31 xG) is Newcastle's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Evanilson (0.27 xG) is Bournemouth's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Newcastle · 3 listed

Jacob Ramseysuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Joelintoninjury
1 · Other
Ewen Jaoueninjury
1 · Thigh

Bournemouth · 3 listed

Veljko Milosavljevicdoubt
1 · Knee
Juanlu Sanchezdoubt
1 · Ankle
Julian Araujodoubt
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Newcastle vs Bournemouth (Premier League). Model call: Newcastle to win match full time (41% / 29% / 30%).

Bournemouth holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Newcastle 1.45 — 1.45 Bournemouth. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Bournemouth. Newcastle home form +0.32; Bournemouth away form +0.01.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Jacob Ramsey, Newcastle's full-time chance creation is trimmed.