Man United
v
Bournemouth

Premier League · Sun 25 Oct · 16:00 · Referee: Jarred Gillett

Head-to-head — last 5 at Man United (home)

L 2026-10-25 Man United 0–3 Bournemouth
D 2025-12-15 Man United 4–4 Bournemouth
L 2024-12-22 Man United 0–3 Bournemouth
L 2023-12-09 Man United 0–3 Bournemouth
W 2023-01-03 Man United 3–0 Bournemouth
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Bournemouth (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HAston Villa
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AChelsea
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBournemouth
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HTottenham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMan City
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMan City
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AEverton
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HIpswich
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HIpswich
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AHull
L
0–2
6–1
1–2
0–0
2026-08-22
AHull
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ABrighton
W
3–0
3–0
1–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HNott'm Forest
W
3–2
7–6
2–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AIpswich
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HLeeds
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AMan United
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AChelsea
L
1–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLiverpool
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ANewcastle
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
3–8
2–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
3–6
1–1
0–0
2026-05-19
HMan City
D
1–1
7–6
4–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-25
HBournemouth
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-20
ABournemouth
D
2–2
8–6
2–2
1–0
2025-12-15
HBournemouth
D
4–4
5–4
2–3
0–0
2025-04-27
ABournemouth
D
1–1
10–5
2–4
0–1
2024-12-22
HBournemouth
L
0–3
13–1
1–3
0–0
2024-04-13
ABournemouth
D
2–2
2–7
0–4
0–0
2023-12-09
HBournemouth
L
0–3
10–4
3–1
0–0
2023-05-20
ABournemouth
W
1–0
6–3
0–1
0–0
2023-01-03
HBournemouth
W
3–0
6–5
0–3
0–0
2020-07-04
HBournemouth
W
5–2
8–3
0–1
0–0
2019-11-02
ABournemouth
L
0–1
10–4
3–4
0–0
2018-12-30
HBournemouth
W
4–1
4–5
2–0
1–0
2018-11-03
ABournemouth
W
2–1
5–9
3–4
0–0
2018-04-18
ABournemouth
W
2–0
5–8
1–3
0–0
2017-12-13
HBournemouth
W
1–0
4–9
1–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Man United — higher 1H xG, SOT and shots
Man United
Bournemouth
Possession %
48
49
xG
1.07
0.88
Shots
8.1
6.1
On target
3.0
1.6
Off target
2.6
2.3
Corners
3.0
1.8
Yellow cards
0.5
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.2
Second half lean: Man United — higher 2H xG, SOT and shots
Man United
Bournemouth
Possession %
45
49
xG
1.39
0.96
Shots
10.9
7.1
On target
4.3
2.9
Off target
3.1
2.2
Corners
3.1
1.5
Yellow cards
1.7
1.8
Red cards
0.1
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Man United
45%
X · Draw
32%
2 · Bournemouth
23%
Man United at home
Expected goals: 2.21
Conceded goals: 1.33
Bournemouth away
Expected goals: 1.34
Conceded goals: 1.33
Projected for this match: Man United 1.37 — 1.31 Bournemouth
Expected goals: Man United 1.37 — 1.31 Bournemouth

Likely scores

1-112.7%
1-09.1%
0-18.6%

Goals markets

Over 1.575%
Over 2.550%
Over 3.528%
BTTS54.7%

Corners (90 min)

Man United5.7
Bournemouth4.6

Yellow cards (90 min)

Man United1.8
Bournemouth1.9
1H total0.9
2H total2.7
Gillett averages 3.7 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Man United
34%
Level
36%
Bournemouth
30%
Expected 2H goals Man United 0.84 — 0.75 Bournemouth

2H corners

Expected total5.4
Man United2.9
Bournemouth2.5

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.7
Man United1.4
Bournemouth1.4
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Man United
27%
1H · Draw
46%
1H · Bournemouth
27%
Expected 1H goals Man United 0.53 — 0.53 Bournemouth · Over 0.5: Over (65%) · Over 1.5: Under (29%)

1H corners

Expected total4.9
Man United2.8
Bournemouth2.1
O/U 4.5Over · 54%

1H yellow cards

Expected total0.9
Man United0.4
Bournemouth0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 77%
2H expected total2.7
Man United 2H1.4
Bournemouth 2H1.4
1H reds (exp.)0.1
Gillett averages 1.5 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Gillett averages 2.4 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Without Benjamin Sesko (0.28 xG), Man United's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Evanilson (0.27 xG) is Bournemouth's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Man United · 6 listed

Lisandro Martinezsuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Harry Maguiredoubt
1 · Low back
Marcus Rashforddoubt
1 · Groin
Benjamin Seskoinjury
1 · Calf
Luke Shawinjury
1 · Other
Manuel Ugarteinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Bournemouth · 3 listed

Veljko Milosavljevicdoubt
1 · Knee
Juanlu Sanchezdoubt
1 · Ankle
Julian Araujodoubt
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Man United vs Bournemouth (Premier League). Model call: Man United to win match full time (45% / 32% / 23%).

Man United holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Man United 1.37 — 1.31 Bournemouth. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Bournemouth. Man United home form +0.88; Bournemouth away form +0.01.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Manuel Ugarte, Man United's full-time chance creation is trimmed.