Man City
v
Bournemouth

Premier League · Sun 23 Aug · 15:00 · Referee: Adrian Gillett

Head-to-head — last 5 at Man City (home)

W 2026-08-23 Man City 2–1 Bournemouth
W 2025-11-02 Man City 3–1 Bournemouth
W 2025-05-20 Man City 3–1 Bournemouth
W 2023-11-04 Man City 6–1 Bournemouth
W 2022-08-13 Man City 4–0 Bournemouth
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.14 → Man City (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
ANott'm Forest
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HBrighton
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AAston Villa
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HIpswich
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ALiverpool
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HSunderland
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
AMan United
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
AMan United
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HCoventry
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ACrystal Palace
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ACrystal Palace
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HBournemouth
W
2–1
8–3
1–2
0–0
2026-08-23
HBournemouth
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HAston Villa
L
1–2
9–4
1–0
0–0
2026-05-19
ABournemouth
D
1–1
6–7
2–4
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AIpswich
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HLeeds
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AMan United
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AChelsea
L
1–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLiverpool
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ANewcastle
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
3–8
2–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
3–6
1–1
0–0
2026-05-19
HMan City
D
1–1
7–6
4–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-23
HBournemouth
W
2–1
8–3
1–2
0–0
2026-05-19
ABournemouth
D
1–1
6–7
2–4
0–0
2025-11-02
HBournemouth
W
3–1
10–4
2–2
0–0
2025-05-20
HBournemouth
W
3–1
3–1
1–3
1–1
2024-11-02
ABournemouth
L
1–2
10–3
1–2
0–0
2024-02-24
ABournemouth
W
1–0
8–3
2–2
0–0
2023-11-04
HBournemouth
W
6–1
12–1
0–1
0–0
2023-02-25
ABournemouth
W
4–1
6–4
2–2
0–0
2022-08-13
HBournemouth
W
4–0
11–1
0–3
0–0
2020-07-15
HBournemouth
W
2–1
3–5
1–1
0–0
2019-08-25
ABournemouth
W
3–1
5–4
3–1
0–0
2019-03-02
ABournemouth
W
1–0
14–0
2–1
0–0
2018-12-01
HBournemouth
W
3–1
8–4
0–0
0–0
2017-12-23
HBournemouth
W
4–0
4–6
0–1
0–0
2017-08-26
ABournemouth
W
2–1
5–2
4–5
1–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Man City — higher 1H xG, SOT and possession
Man City
Bournemouth
Possession %
65
49
xG
1.29
0.88
Shots
9.7
6.1
On target
3.1
1.6
Off target
3.6
2.3
Corners
5.0
1.8
Yellow cards
0.3
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.2
Second half lean: Man City — higher 2H xG, possession and corners
Man City
Bournemouth
Possession %
57
49
xG
1.12
0.96
Shots
7.3
7.1
On target
2.6
2.9
Off target
2.5
2.2
Corners
3.1
1.5
Yellow cards
1.2
1.8
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Man City
64%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Bournemouth
12%
Man City at home
Expected goals: 2.22
Conceded goals: 0.81
Bournemouth away
Expected goals: 1.34
Conceded goals: 1.33
Projected for this match: Man City 1.66 — 1.12 Bournemouth
Expected goals: Man City 1.66 — 1.12 Bournemouth

Likely scores

1-111.9%
1-010%
2-19.6%

Goals markets

Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS54.8%

Corners (90 min)

Man City7.1
Bournemouth4.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Man City1.6
Bournemouth2.2
1H total0.8
2H total3
Gillett averages 3.7 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Man City
37%
Level
36%
Bournemouth
27%
Expected 2H goals Man City 0.89 — 0.71 Bournemouth

2H corners

Expected total6.1
Man City3.4
Bournemouth2.7

2H yellow cards

Expected total3
Man City1.3
Bournemouth1.7
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Man City
30%
1H · Draw
46%
1H · Bournemouth
24%
Expected 1H goals Man City 0.56 — 0.47 Bournemouth · Over 0.5: Over (64%) · Over 1.5: Under (28%)

1H corners

Expected total5.4
Man City3.7
Bournemouth1.7
O/U 5.5Under · 55%

1H yellow cards

Expected total0.8
Man City0.3
Bournemouth0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 81%
2H expected total3
Man City 2H1.3
Bournemouth 2H1.7
Gillett averages 1.5 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Gillett averages 2.4 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Erling Haaland (0.44 xG) is Man City's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Evanilson (0.27 xG) is Bournemouth's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Man City · 5 listed

Mateo Kovacicsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Abdukodir Khusanovdoubt
1 · Other
Marc Guehidoubt
1 · Hip
Jack Grealishsuspension
1 · Banned by club
Antoine Semenyoinjury
1 · Knee

Bournemouth · 3 listed

Veljko Milosavljevicdoubt
1 · Knee
Juanlu Sanchezdoubt
1 · Ankle
Julian Araujodoubt
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Man City vs Bournemouth (Premier League). Model call: Man City to win match full time (64% / 24% / 12%).

Man City holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Man City 1.66 — 1.12 Bournemouth. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Man City. Man City home form +1.41; Bournemouth away form +0.01.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Mateo Kovacic, Man City's full-time chance creation is trimmed.