Alaves
v
Ath Madrid

La Liga · Sat 10 Oct · 16:15 · Referee: Alejandro Quintero González

Head-to-head — last 5 at Alaves (home)

L 2026-10-10 Alaves 1–2 Ath Madrid
D 2025-08-30 Alaves 1–1 Ath Madrid
D 2025-05-03 Alaves 0–0 Ath Madrid
W 2024-04-21 Alaves 2–0 Ath Madrid
W 2021-09-25 Alaves 1–0 Ath Madrid
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Ath Madrid (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-06
ASevilla
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABarcelona
L
1–6
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ACelta
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HAth Madrid
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
AAth Bilbao
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HValencia
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HValencia
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASantander
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ASantander
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HOsasuna
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-20
AVallecano
D
1–1
7–9
2–1
0–0
2026-08-20
AVallecano
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HBarcelona
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ALevante
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HLa Coruna
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AEspanol
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AAlaves
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HReal Madrid
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-16
HOsasuna
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ASociedad
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ASociedad
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AAth Bilbao
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ASevilla
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ASevilla
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HVillarreal
D
2–2
5–3
3–2
1–0
2026-08-23
HVillarreal
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-19
HMalaga
W
2–0
6–1
2–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-10
HAth Madrid
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-01-18
AAth Madrid
L
0–1
6–6
1–1
0–0
2025-08-30
HAth Madrid
D
1–1
1–6
2–3
0–0
2025-05-03
HAth Madrid
D
0–0
3–5
3–2
0–0
2024-11-23
AAth Madrid
L
1–2
0–5
3–3
0–0
2024-04-21
HAth Madrid
W
2–0
1–11
5–3
0–0
2023-10-29
AAth Madrid
L
1–2
4–4
2–3
0–0
2022-04-02
AAth Madrid
L
1–4
2–8
0–1
0–0
2021-09-25
HAth Madrid
W
1–0
3–8
2–3
0–0
2021-03-21
AAth Madrid
L
0–1
5–5
3–3
0–0
2021-01-03
HAth Madrid
L
1–2
1–5
0–2
1–0
2020-06-27
AAth Madrid
L
1–2
1–3
2–3
0–0
2019-10-29
HAth Madrid
D
1–1
4–1
3–3
0–0
2019-03-30
HAth Madrid
L
0–4
9–2
2–2
0–0
2018-12-08
AAth Madrid
L
0–3
5–5
4–5
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Alaves — higher 1H corners
Alaves
Ath Madrid
Possession %
41
50
xG
0.73
0.88
Shots
5.6
5.5
On target
2.4
3.0
Off target
1.4
1.9
Corners
4.5
3.6
Yellow cards
0.0
0.5
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Alaves
Ath Madrid
Possession %
32
44
xG
0.42
0.56
Shots
6.2
4.6
On target
3.4
2.2
Off target
0.8
2.1
Corners
3.7
3.1
Yellow cards
2.1
1.4
Red cards
0.0
0.5

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Alaves
45%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Ath Madrid
26%
Alaves at home
Expected goals: 1.55
Conceded goals: 1.32
Ath Madrid away
Expected goals: 1.36
Conceded goals: 1.74
Projected for this match: Alaves 1.52 — 1.39 Ath Madrid
Expected goals: Alaves 1.52 — 1.39 Ath Madrid

Likely scores

1-111.8%
2-18.8%
1-28%

Goals markets

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS59%

Corners (90 min)

Alaves5
Ath Madrid5.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Alaves2.3
Ath Madrid2.4
1H total1.5
2H total3.2

Second half

Alaves
31%
Level
33%
Ath Madrid
36%
Expected 2H goals Alaves 0.9 — 1 Ath Madrid

2H corners split

Expected total5.6
Alaves2.6
Ath Madrid3.1

2H yellow cards split

Expected total3.2
Alaves1.6
Ath Madrid1.6
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Alaves
35%
1H · Draw
43%
1H · Ath Madrid
22%
Expected 1H goals Alaves 0.67 — 0.47 Ath Madrid · Over 0.5: Over (68%) · Over 1.5: Under (32%)

1H corners split

Expected total5.2
Alaves2.4
Ath Madrid2.8
O/U 5.5Under · 58%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.5
Alaves0.7
Ath Madrid0.8
O/U 1.5Under · 56%
2H expected total3.2
Alaves 2H1.6
Ath Madrid 2H1.6
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Toni Martínez (0.53 xG) is Alaves' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Ademola Lookman (0.53 xG), Ath Madrid's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Alaves · 2 listed

Facundo Garcesinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Mikel Rodriguezinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Ath Madrid · 3 listed

Robin Le Normandsuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Ademola Lookmandoubt
1 · Calf
Cristian Romerodoubt
1 · Other

Match analysis

Alaves vs Ath Madrid (La Liga). Model call: Alaves to win match full time (45% / 29% / 26%).

Ath Madrid holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Alaves 1.52 — 1.39 Ath Madrid. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Ath Madrid. Alaves home form +0.23; Ath Madrid away form -0.38.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Mikel Rodriguez, Alaves' full-time chance creation is trimmed.