Celta
v
Ath Bilbao

La Liga · Sun 30 Aug · 21:30 · Referee not yet confirmed

Head-to-head — last 5 at Celta (home)

L 2026-08-30 Celta 0–2 Ath Bilbao
W 2025-12-14 Celta 2–0 Ath Bilbao
L 2025-01-19 Celta 1–2 Ath Bilbao
W 2024-05-15 Celta 2–1 Ath Bilbao
W 2023-01-29 Celta 1–0 Ath Bilbao
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Celta (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HLevante
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AVallecano
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBetis
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HAlaves
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
AElche
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HSantander
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AGetafe
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AGetafe
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-03
ASociedad
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HAth Bilbao
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HAth Bilbao
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-27
HOsasuna
L
1–2
5–3
0–1
1–0
2026-08-27
HOsasuna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AOsasuna
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HSociedad
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HGetafe
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-21
ALevante
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AValencia
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HAlaves
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HElche
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HElche
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HAth Madrid
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACelta
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACelta
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-27
ABarcelona
L
0–2
5–12
2–1
0–0
2026-08-27
ABarcelona
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HSevilla
L
1–3
10–3
2–5
1–0
2026-08-22
HSevilla
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-30
HAth Bilbao
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-17
AAth Bilbao
D
1–1
0–5
2–2
0–0
2025-12-14
HAth Bilbao
W
2–0
1–4
3–2
0–0
2025-01-19
HAth Bilbao
L
1–2
3–4
0–0
0–0
2024-09-22
AAth Bilbao
L
1–3
6–3
2–3
0–0
2024-05-15
HAth Bilbao
W
2–1
2–3
2–0
0–0
2023-11-10
AAth Bilbao
L
3–4
2–7
2–2
0–0
2023-05-20
AAth Bilbao
L
1–2
5–8
1–4
0–0
2023-01-29
HAth Bilbao
W
1–0
2–5
3–2
0–0
2022-04-17
AAth Bilbao
W
2–0
4–5
2–2
0–0
2021-08-28
HAth Bilbao
L
0–1
5–4
2–1
0–0
2021-03-14
HAth Bilbao
D
0–0
1–3
3–1
0–0
2020-12-04
AAth Bilbao
W
2–0
5–4
1–2
0–0
2020-01-19
AAth Bilbao
D
1–1
0–13
3–4
0–0
2019-10-06
HAth Bilbao
W
1–0
6–4
0–5
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Ath Bilbao — higher 1H xG, SOT and shots
Celta
Ath Bilbao
Possession %
52
30
xG
0.40
0.49
Shots
5.7
6.6
On target
1.7
2.8
Off target
2.7
2.6
Corners
1.5
3.3
Yellow cards
0.5
0.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Celta — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Celta
Ath Bilbao
Possession %
59
33
xG
1.17
0.31
Shots
7.7
4.1
On target
2.8
1.1
Off target
3.3
1.4
Corners
2.5
1.4
Yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Celta
49%
X · Draw
32%
2 · Ath Bilbao
19%
Celta at home
Expected goals: 1.6
Conceded goals: 1.63
Ath Bilbao away
Expected goals: 1.14
Conceded goals: 2.2
Projected for this match: Celta 1.4 — 1.04 Ath Bilbao
Expected goals: Celta 1.4 — 1.04 Ath Bilbao

Likely scores

1-113.1%
1-011.9%
0-09.2%

Goals markets

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS49%

Corners (90 min)

Celta3.9
Ath Bilbao5.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Celta1.9
Ath Bilbao1.7
1H total1.1
2H total2.4

Second half

Celta
35%
Level
34%
Ath Bilbao
31%
Expected 2H goals Celta 0.91 — 0.82 Ath Bilbao

2H corners split

Expected total5
Celta2.1
Ath Bilbao2.9

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.4
Celta1.3
Ath Bilbao1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Celta
38%
1H · Draw
44%
1H · Ath Bilbao
18%
Expected 1H goals Celta 0.69 — 0.39 Ath Bilbao · Over 0.5: Over (66%) · Over 1.5: Under (29%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.1
Celta1.7
Ath Bilbao2.3
O/U 3.5Over · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Celta0.6
Ath Bilbao0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.4
Celta 2H1.3
Ath Bilbao 2H1.1
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Javier Rueda (0.15 xG) is Celta's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Nico Williams (0.30 xG) is Ath Bilbao's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Celta · 7 listed

Ilaix Moribadoubt
1 · Knee
Manuel Sanchezdoubt
1 · Hamstring
Alvaro Nunezdoubt
1 · Groin
Borja Iglesiasdoubt
1 · Calf
Carl Starfeltdoubt
1 · Hamstring
Miguel Romandoubt
1 · Knee
Jones El-Abdellaouidoubt
1 · Knee

Ath Bilbao · 6 listed

Yuri Berchichesuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Nico Serranodoubt
1 · Muscle
Aitor Paredesdoubt
1 · Muscle
Maroan Sannadiinjury
1 · Muscle
Gorka Guruzetainjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Unai Eguiluzinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Celta vs Ath Bilbao (La Liga). Model call: Celta to win match full time (49% / 32% / 19%).

Celta holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Celta 1.4 — 1.04 Ath Bilbao. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Celta. Celta home form -0.04; Ath Bilbao away form -1.06.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Maroan Sannadi, Ath Bilbao's full-time attack is trimmed.